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22

RSVR

📡 Communication Services

Reservoir Media, Inc.

Conservative #1284Aggressive #1408Low RiskLow 4ML↑ 33pt
$7.58+1.20%
Day High$7.61
Day Low$7.48
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$497M
52W Low $752W High $8
Market Cap
$501M
P/E Ratio
76.2
Sector avg: 120.6
Rev Growth
9.6%
Sector avg: 15.8%
Earnings Growth
1101.7%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Sector avg: -116.3%
Debt/Equity
1.23

Why This Score

RSVR scores 21.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Low volatility (2.9% annualized) — well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated valuation at 76.2x earnings — requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.23) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Net penalties of -29.8 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, RSVR would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score21.9
Fundamental Score57.1
ML Score10.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
59.9
6 Month
67.0
Primary
1 Year
70.5

Quality Assessment

F
Earnings Grade
Weak fundamentals or significant quality concerns
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-677.3%) — earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
50
Basing
Sentiment (2.5%)
68
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
0
Grade Fvery low dollar volume, low volume
Base
22.7
SHAP
+3.5
Factors
+0.5
Divergence
-4.8
Final
21.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)48.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)65.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)86.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-2.9% to +1.2%
Medium-term
-3.9% to +2.2%
Long-term
-5.0% to +3.2%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 10

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+53.6%
Coverage1 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score68.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage1 — Basing
12M Momentum-0.0%
6M Momentum-0.0%
Volatility+0.0%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+0.6%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.79)
Relative Strength vs Sector-2.3%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.8)
Momentum Quality-0.021
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P63
Revenue growth vs Communication Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P15
Valuation vs Communication Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P6
Free cash flow vs Communication Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 36 relative to sector peers36/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 70th percentileP70
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +4.3pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (36.5) + 9% ML (69.5) + SHAP(+4.3) = 43.8—
Factor quality: +0.6pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 2.9%. Stability bonus of +12.0 pointsLow
Market cap adjustment: -20.0 points ($0.5B market cap)-20.0 pts
Conviction penalty: -4.4pt (conviction=4)—
Divergence penalty: -3.5pt (ML 33pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade F: assessed. Score adjusted by -30 pointsGrade F
Quality concern: Earnings growth (1102%) massively exceeds revenue growth (9.6%) — earnings spike likely non-recurring; Earnings/revenue growth ratio of 115x — earnings quality suspect; High accrual ratio (-677.3%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Communication Services — Rank #54 of 60 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
RSVR21.976.29.6%3.9%$501M
GOOGL82.828.315.1%32.8%$3.7T
EA75.175.1-1.3%15.0%$50.2B
MTCH74.512.83.4%15.8%$7.3B
META72.027.222.2%30.1%$1.6T
TIGO69.810.12.5%4.4%$11.0B
BZ65.521.923.6%21.5%$8.1B
NXST65.214.49.6%13.4%$7.0B
SIRI63.69.5-1.6%9.4%$7.2B
CMCSA63.65.9-0.0%16.2%$115.0B
JOYY60.91.9-1.3%83.2%$3.3B
EVER60.610.473.7%8.4%$566M
NFLX59.630.415.9%24.3%$326.1B
TMUS59.322.68.5%12.4%$245.5B
NWS56.712.62.4%12.2%$14.7B
WMG56.451.74.4%5.4%$15.4B
Sector Average43.5120.615.8%-116.3%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy1 analysts
Buy: 1
Price Target
$12consensus
Low $12Median $12High $12
+51.7% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Reservoir Media, Inc. operates as a music publishing company. It operates in two segments, Music Publishing and Recorded Music. The Music Publishing segment acquires interests in music catalogs, as well as signs songwriters. The Recorded Music segment engages in the acquisition of sound recording catalogs; discovery and development of recording artists; and marketing, distribution, sale, and licensing of the music catalogs. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Reservoir Media, Inc. is a subsidiary of Reservoir Holdings, Inc.

CEO
Golnar Khosrowshahi
Employees
99
Beta
0.88
Industry
Entertainment
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
55.1
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-10.4%
High: $8.46
From 52W Low
+15.5%
Low: $6.56
Moving Averages
10-Day
$7.60
Below
20-Day
$7.60
Below
50-Day
$7.50
Above
200-Day
$7.60
Below
60-Day Support
$7.15
60-Day Resistance
$7.79
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 1 — BasingScore: 40/100

Stock is building a base after a decline. The 200-day moving average is flattening. Watch for a breakout above the 200-day SMA on increased volume.

Monitor for breakout above 200-day SMA on volume
Transition signal: 1→2
Price vs 200 SMA
-0.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+0.29%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
0.64x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
3
Confidence: 80%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025
Revenue$46M$45M$37M$41M
Gross Profit$29M$29M$24M$27M
Operating Income$10M$11M$5M$10M
Net Income$2M$2M$-555,659$3M
EPS (Diluted)$0.03$0.03$-0.01$0.04
Gross Margin64.0%63.6%64.5%65.6%
Operating Margin22.6%23.5%14.7%25.2%
Net Margin4.8%5.0%-1.5%6.4%

Why This Stock

Communication Services

Tradability FilterGrade F — 0/100Score impact: -12.3pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor — it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
0
63K avg/day
Dollar Vol
0
$474K/day
Float
0
33M shares
Mkt Cap
0
$501M
Range
0
29% spread
Composite Liquidity Score0/100
FDCBA
very low dollar volumelow volumesmall cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 1/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$6.84$11.4550.4%Wide
2022$4.42$10.8484.1%Wide
2023$5.19$7.7739.8%Wide
2024$5.95$9.8349.2%Wide
2025$6.56$9.1633.1%Moderate
3-Year Range
61.8%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
50.6%
Outstanding Shares
66M
Bid-Ask Spread
29.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.