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16

PLAY

πŸ“‘ Communication Services

Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc.

Conservative #1345Aggressive #1426High RiskMixed 45ML↑ 27pt
$14.99+2.46%
Day High$15.06
Day Low$14.33
Volume1.0M
Mkt Cap$520M
52W Low $1352W High $36
Market Cap
$534M
P/E Ratio
1773.7
Sector avg: 120.6
Rev Growth
-3.3%
Sector avg: 15.8%
Earnings Growth
-54.1%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -116.3%
Debt/Equity
24.43

Why This Score

PLAY scores 16.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Elevated valuation at 1773.7x earnings β€” requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (19.1%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 24.43) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Moderate penalties (-3.5 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score16.3
Fundamental Score20.3
ML Score2.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
53.5
6 Month
59.8
Primary
1 Year
63.0

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-847.9%) β€” earnings quality concern
Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 24.4x β€” balance sheet risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4.2%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
51
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
62
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
77
Grade B
Base
14.6
SHAP
+1.8
Factors
+0.9
Conviction
-0.5
Divergence
-0.5
Final
16.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)10.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)28.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)78.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-3.7% to +2.5%
Medium-term
-4.8% to +4.2%
Long-term
-6.0% to +6.0%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs β†’ ML Score: 2

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score61.8/100
Target Upside+49.6%
Coverage19 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score51.2/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 β€” Declining
12M Momentum-0.3%
6M Momentum-0.4%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+13.2%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.69)
Relative Strength vs Sector-28.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (1.5)
Momentum Quality-0.141
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P16
Revenue growth vs Communication Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P0
Valuation vs Communication Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P2
Free cash flow vs Communication Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1Οƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 36 relative to sector peers36/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 63th percentileP63
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +1.8pt (features align with model priorities)β€”
Blend: 91% fund (35.6) + 9% ML (63.0) + SHAP(+1.8) = 39.9β€”
Factor quality: +0.9pt (multi-factor composite)β€”
Market cap adjustment: -15.0 points ($0.5B market cap)-15.0 pts
Divergence penalty: -2.6pt (ML 27pt higher)β€”
Risk Factors
Risk assessment: high. Annualized volatility 19.1%. Max drawdown 51% (-12.0 pts). Price momentum -29% (-4.8 pts)High
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -14 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-847.9%) β€” earnings quality concern; Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 24.4x β€” balance sheet riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Communication Services β€” Rank #56 of 60 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
PLAY16.31773.7-3.3%0.0%$534M
GOOGL82.828.315.1%32.8%$3.7T
EA75.175.1-1.3%15.0%$50.2B
MTCH74.512.83.4%15.8%$7.3B
META72.027.222.2%30.1%$1.6T
TIGO69.810.12.5%4.4%$11.0B
BZ65.521.923.6%21.5%$8.1B
NXST65.214.49.6%13.4%$7.0B
SIRI63.69.5-1.6%9.4%$7.2B
CMCSA63.65.9-0.0%16.2%$115.0B
JOYY60.91.9-1.3%83.2%$3.3B
EVER60.610.473.7%8.4%$566M
NFLX59.630.415.9%24.3%$326.1B
TMUS59.322.68.5%12.4%$245.5B
NWS56.712.62.4%12.2%$14.7B
WMG56.451.74.4%5.4%$15.4B
Sector Average43.5120.615.8%-116.3%β€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy19 analysts
Buy: 10Hold: 8Sell: 1
Price Target
$23consensus
Low $18Median $20High $30
+50.8% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. owns and operates entertainment and dining venues for adults and families in North America. Its venues offer a menu of entrΓ©es and appetizers, as well as a selection of non-alcoholic and alcoholic beverages; and an assortment of entertainment attractions centered on playing games and watching live sports, and other televised events. The company operates its venues under the Dave & Buster's name. As of January 30, 2022, it owned and operated 144 stores located in 40 states, Puerto Rico, and one Canadian Province. The company was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Coppell, Texas.

CEO
Tarun Lal
Employees
23,420
Beta
1.76
Industry
Entertainment
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
25.4
Oversold
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-57.8%
High: $35.53
From 52W Low
+15%
Low: $13.04
Moving Averages
10-Day
$15.60
Below
20-Day
$17.30
Below
50-Day
$17.70
Below
200-Day
$21.50
Below
60-Day Support
$14.33
60-Day Resistance
$22.1
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 β€” DecliningScore: 15/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-30.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-2.75%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1.06x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025
Revenue$448M$557M$568M$535M
Gross Profit$22M$90M$99M$457M
Operating Income$-11M$59M$63M$44M
Net Income$-42M$11M$22M$9M
EPS (Diluted)$-1.22$0.32$0.62$0.24
Gross Margin4.9%16.2%17.4%85.5%
Operating Margin-2.4%10.5%11.1%8.3%
Net Margin-9.4%2.0%3.8%1.7%

Why This Stock

Communication ServicesValuation below sector median (P/E 1773.7)

Tradability FilterGrade B β€” 77/100Score impact: -12.6pt

Volume
100
1.2M avg/day
Dollar Vol
78
$19M/day
Float
64
34M shares
Mkt Cap
30
$534M
Range
100
172% spread
Composite Liquidity Score77/100
FDCBA

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.49x dampening
weinstein basingslight revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
97.8%
Outstanding Shares
35M
Bid-Ask Spread
172.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.