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34

AMCX

📡 Communication Services

AMC Networks Inc.

Conservative #1001Aggressive #1032Moderate RiskLow 6F↑ 32pt
$7.52+2.45%
Day High$7.66
Day Low$7.25
Volume0.5M
Mkt Cap$327M
52W Low $552W High $10
Market Cap
$363M
P/E Ratio
4.1
Sector avg: 120.6
Rev Growth
-4.5%
Sector avg: 15.8%
Earnings Growth
139.5%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Sector avg: -116.3%
Debt/Equity
1.89

Why This Score

AMCX scores 34.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Attractively valued at 4.1x earnings, below the market average.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (11.2%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.89) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Net penalties of -15.3 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, AMCX would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score34.3
Fundamental Score44.8
ML Score29.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
34.3
6 Month
38.3
Primary
1 Year
40.3

Quality Assessment

F
Earnings Grade
Weak fundamentals or significant quality concerns
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-222.3%) — earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
41
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
51
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
56
Grade Clow dollar volume, small cap
Base
34.9
SHAP
+3.0
Factors
+0.7
Conviction
-4.2
Divergence
-0.1
Final
34.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)55.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)69.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)73.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-1.9% to +2.2%
Medium-term
-2.5% to +3.7%
Long-term
-3.1% to +5.2%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 29

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score51.3/100
Target Upside+1.9%
Coverage40 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score41.2/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.0%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-3.5%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.49)
Relative Strength vs Sector+3.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.3)
Momentum Quality+0.027
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
57%
High risk — cheap + stagnating
Sector RevGr Rank
P11
Revenue growth vs Communication Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P68
Valuation vs Communication Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P95
Free cash flow vs Communication Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
YES
Below-sector growth + cheap PE
Value trap warning: This stock scores in the top quartile for value trap risk. The combination of below-sector-median revenue growth, low PE, and high free cash flow yield suggests the market is pricing in stagnation. The ML model's sector-relative features (trained on 30 years of data) reduce this stock's score accordingly.

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 76 relative to sector peers76/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 45th percentileP45
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.0pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (76.5) + 9% ML (44.7) + SHAP(+3.0) = 76.6—
Factor quality: +0.7pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 11.2%. Max drawdown 21% (-5.1 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: -20.0 points ($0.4B market cap)-20.0 pts
Conviction penalty: -4.2pt (conviction=6)—
Divergence penalty: -3.3pt (fund 32pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade F: assessed. Score adjusted by -30 pointsGrade F
Quality concern: Earnings growth (139%) far exceeds revenue growth (-4.5%) — margin expansion may not be sustainable; Earnings/revenue growth ratio of Infinityx — earnings quality suspect; High accrual ratio (-222.3%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Communication Services — Rank #41 of 60 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
AMCX34.34.1-4.5%3.9%$363M
GOOGL82.828.315.1%32.8%$3.7T
EA75.175.1-1.3%15.0%$50.2B
MTCH74.512.83.4%15.8%$7.3B
META72.027.222.2%30.1%$1.6T
TIGO69.810.12.5%4.4%$11.0B
BZ65.521.923.6%21.5%$8.1B
NXST65.214.49.6%13.4%$7.0B
SIRI63.69.5-1.6%9.4%$7.2B
CMCSA63.65.9-0.0%16.2%$115.0B
JOYY60.91.9-1.3%83.2%$3.3B
EVER60.610.473.7%8.4%$566M
NFLX59.630.415.9%24.3%$326.1B
TMUS59.322.68.5%12.4%$245.5B
NWS56.712.62.4%12.2%$14.7B
WMG56.451.74.4%5.4%$15.4B
Sector Average43.5120.615.8%-116.3%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Hold40 analysts
Buy: 10Hold: 22Sell: 8
Price Target
$8consensus
Low $6Median $8High $10
+6.4% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

AMC Networks Inc., an entertainment company, owns and operates a suite of video entertainment products that are delivered to audiences and a platform to distributors and advertisers in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Domestic Operations, and International and Other. The Domestic Operations segment operates various national programming networks, including the AMC, WE tv, BBC AMERICA, IFC, and SundanceTV; provides subscription streaming services comprising Acorn TV, Shudder, Sundance Now, ALLBLK, and HIDIVE, as well as AMC+ and other streaming initiatives; and engages in film distribution business under the IFC Films name. This segment also produces and licenses original programming for various programming networks, as well as services the national programming networks. The International and Other segment operates a portfolio of channels under the AMCNI name; and production and comedy venues activities under the Levity name. AMC Networks Inc. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

CEO
Kristin Aigner Dolan
Employees
1,800
Beta
1.07
Industry
Entertainment
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
44.0
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-26.8%
High: $10.28
From 52W Low
+39%
Low: $5.41
Moving Averages
10-Day
$7.90
Below
20-Day
$7.80
Below
50-Day
$8.50
Below
200-Day
$7.50
Above
60-Day Support
$7.12
60-Day Resistance
$10.28
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 69/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+0.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+7.45%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.36x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
0
Confidence: 90%
Breakout Volume Confirmed

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$595M$562M$600M$555M
Gross Profit$270M$271M$316M$288M
Operating Income$61M$56M$64M$64M
Net Income$-55M$77M$50M$18M
EPS (Diluted)$-1.26$1.38$0.91$0.34
Gross Margin45.4%48.2%52.7%51.8%
Operating Margin10.2%9.9%10.7%11.6%
Net Margin-9.3%13.6%8.4%3.3%

Why This Stock

Communication ServicesP/E ratio of 4.1Valuation below sector median (P/E 4.1)

Tradability FilterGrade C — 56/100Score impact: -20.3pt

Volume
73
431K avg/day
Dollar Vol
29
$3M/day
Float
73
43M shares
Mkt Cap
14
$363M
Range
100
90% spread
Composite Liquidity Score56/100
FDCBA
low dollar volumesmall cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$32.96$83.6386.9%Wide
2022$14.45$44.66102.2%Wide
2023$9.96$27.4693.5%Wide
2024$7.08$19.5593.7%Wide
2025$5.41$10.6064.8%Wide
3-Year Range
134.2%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
slight revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
97.8%
Outstanding Shares
44M
Bid-Ask Spread
90.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.