Back to Dashboard
25

JFIN

📡 Communication Services

Jiayin Group Inc.

Conservative #1226Aggressive #1370High RiskLow 24F↑ 38pt
$6.68+1.52%
Day High$6.69
Day Low$6.54
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$343M
52W Low $652W High $19
Market Cap
$336M
P/E Ratio
1.4
Sector avg: 120.6
Rev Growth
6.1%
Sector avg: 15.8%
Earnings Growth
-18.6%
Profit Margin
26.2%
Sector avg: -116.3%
Debt/Equity
0.01

Why This Score

JFIN scores 24.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 45.6% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • High net margin of 26.2%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Attractively valued at 1.4x earnings, below the market average.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.01) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (21.1%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -33.2 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, JFIN would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score24.9
Fundamental Score52.5
ML Score56.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
45.8
6 Month
51.2
Primary
1 Year
53.9

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
3.8%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
38
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
0
Grade Fvery low dollar volume, low volume
Base
32.4
SHAP
-1.6
Factors
+0.8
Conviction
-2.5
Divergence
-4.2
Final
24.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)77.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)25.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)66.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-4.3% to +0.1%
Medium-term
-6.4% to +0.2%
Long-term
-8.4% to +0.3%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 56

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage1 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score37.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum-0.3%
6M Momentum-0.5%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+17.3%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.66)
Relative Strength vs Sector-33.2%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (1.6)
Momentum Quality-0.126
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
5%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P56
Revenue growth vs Communication Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P71
Valuation vs Communication Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P18
Free cash flow vs Communication Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 92 relative to sector peers92/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 55th percentileP55
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: -1.6pt (features diverge from model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (92.3) + 9% ML (54.6) + SHAP(-1.6) = 87.3—
Factor quality: +0.8pt (multi-factor composite)—
Market cap adjustment: -20.0 points ($0.3B market cap)-20.0 pts
Conviction penalty: -2.5pt (conviction=24)—
Divergence penalty: -4.2pt (fund 38pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Risk assessment: high. Annualized volatility 21.1%. Max drawdown 62% (-12.0 pts). Price momentum -33% (-5.6 pts)High

Sector Peer Comparison(Communication Services — Rank #52 of 60 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
JFIN24.91.46.1%26.2%$336M
GOOGL82.828.315.1%32.8%$3.7T
EA75.175.1-1.3%15.0%$50.2B
MTCH74.512.83.4%15.8%$7.3B
META72.027.222.2%30.1%$1.6T
TIGO69.810.12.5%4.4%$11.0B
BZ65.521.923.6%21.5%$8.1B
NXST65.214.49.6%13.4%$7.0B
SIRI63.69.5-1.6%9.4%$7.2B
CMCSA63.65.9-0.0%16.2%$115.0B
JOYY60.91.9-1.3%83.2%$3.3B
EVER60.610.473.7%8.4%$566M
NFLX59.630.415.9%24.3%$326.1B
TMUS59.322.68.5%12.4%$245.5B
NWS56.712.62.4%12.2%$14.7B
WMG56.451.74.4%5.4%$15.4B
Sector Average43.5120.615.8%-116.3%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy1 analysts
Buy: 1

Company Overviewvia FMP

Jiayin Group Inc. provides online consumer finance services in the People's Republic of China. The company operates a fintech platform that facilitates transparent, secure, and fast connections between individual borrowers and financial institutions funding partners. It also provides referral services for investment products offered by the financial service providers; and software development, risk control, marketing support, and IT assistance services. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

CEO
Dinggui Yan
Employees
1,028
Beta
0.79
Industry
Internet Content & Information
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
55.6
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-65.3%
High: $19.23
From 52W Low
+16.6%
Low: $5.73
Moving Averages
10-Day
$6.40
Above
20-Day
$6.50
Above
50-Day
$6.60
Above
200-Day
$10.90
Below
60-Day Support
$5.73
60-Day Resistance
$7.39
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 10/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-38.7%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-10.94%
Falling
Volume Ratio
0.62x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$1.5B$1.9B$1.8B$1.4B
Gross Profit$1.2B$1.6B$1.4B$1.1B
Operating Income$457M$639M$607M$393M
Net Income$376M$519M$539M$276M
EPS (Diluted)$7.36$9.84$10.12$5.20
Gross Margin80.5%84.9%81.1%75.8%
Operating Margin31.1%33.9%34.2%28.0%
Net Margin25.6%27.5%30.4%19.6%

Why This Stock

Communication ServicesP/E ratio of 1.4Profit margin 26.2%Earnings quality grade AValuation below sector median (P/E 1.4)

Tradability FilterGrade F — 0/100Score impact: -32.8pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor — it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
0
154K avg/day
Dollar Vol
0
$984K/day
Float
0
48M shares
Mkt Cap
0
$336M
Range
0
236% spread
Composite Liquidity Score0/100
FDCBA
very low dollar volumelow volumesmall cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$2.10$14.95150.7%Wide
2022$1.57$3.1968.1%Wide
2023$2.26$8.19113.5%Wide
2024$4.00$8.5872.8%Wide
2025$5.73$19.23108.2%Wide
3-Year Range
157.9%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
93.8%
Outstanding Shares
51M
Bid-Ask Spread
236.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.