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25

QS

🛍️ Consumer Cyclical

QuantumScape Corporation

Conservative #1188Aggressive #795High Risk
$6.92-4.68%
Day High$7.03
Day Low$6.85
Volume11.8M
Mkt Cap$4.2B
52W Low $352W High $19
Market Cap
$4.1B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
N/A
Sector avg: 6.3%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -6.5%
Debt/Equity
0.06

Why This Score

QS scores 25.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.06) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • High conviction (74/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (31.7%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (-0.4 points) applied. QS's rank of #1188 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score25.3
Fundamental Score27.2
ML Score19.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
21.1
6 Month
23.6
Primary
1 Year
24.8

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality — significant fundamental weaknesses

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
2.5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
55
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
43
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
95
Grade A
Base
25.5
Factors
-0.2
Final
25.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

32AVG
Value50
Quality7
Growth50
Stability45
Investment10

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)50.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)41.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)62.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage88%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-12.7% to -3.6%
Medium-term
-17.3% to -4.2%
Long-term
-21.9% to -4.7%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 19

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score43.2/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage11 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score54.8/100
News Volume0 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum+0.6%
6M Momentum-0.0%
Volatility+0.3%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+67.3%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.04)
Relative Strength vs Sector+63.7%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.0)
Momentum Quality+0.272
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
2%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P27
Revenue growth vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector PE Rank
P43
Valuation vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector FCF Rank
P6
Free cash flow vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Growth Deviation
-0.2σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 27 relative to sector peers27/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 19th percentileP19
Blended score: 80% fundamental (27) + 20% ML (19) = 25.625.6
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.3%; Drawdown 58% → 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered — see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Consumer Cyclical — Rank #99 of 114 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
QS25.3N/AN/A0.0%$4.1B
MAR76.937.24.3%9.9%$91.3B
ULTA75.526.20.8%10.6%$30.9B
ABNB75.530.110.3%20.5%$81.6B
ORLY73.132.55.7%14.3%$78.4B
HAS73.016.7-17.3%9.3%$14.0B
GTX71.611.83.1%8.6%$4.1B
ROST71.530.73.7%9.9%$66.4B
DPZ71.121.95.1%12.4%$13.7B
CART69.719.911.0%13.5%$10.0B
EBAY69.618.31.7%19.3%$40.2B
GNTX68.314.30.6%17.5%$5.1B
MCRI66.217.24.4%18.6%$1.7B
CASY65.541.07.3%3.4%$25.3B
AMZN65.527.712.4%10.8%$2.2T
TXRH65.227.616.0%8.1%$12.1B
Sector Average47.436.96.3%-6.5%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Hold11 analysts
Hold: 8Sell: 3
Price Target
$10consensus
Low $8Median $10High $12
+46.8% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

QuantumScape Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, focuses on the development and commercialization of solid-state lithium-metal batteries for electric vehicles and other applications in the United States. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.

CEO
Siva Sivaram
Employees
800
Beta
2.50
Industry
Auto - Parts
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
29.8
Oversold
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-63.7%
High: $19.07
From 52W Low
+103.5%
Low: $3.4
Moving Averages
10-Day
$7.10
Below
20-Day
$7.90
Below
50-Day
$9.60
Below
200-Day
$10.10
Below
60-Day Support
$6.67
60-Day Resistance
$13.1
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 15/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-31.5%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+20.72%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.97x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
20
Confidence: 40%
Recent Gap Down

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
No entry — active downtrend
Exit Target
Exit position if held
Stop Level
No stop — exit recommended

Stage 4 downtrend — price is below both SMA50 and SMA200 with a declining 200-day average. Capital preservation takes priority. Do not buy into a downtrend.

Technical zones only — derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$-15M$-14M$-19M$-18M
Operating Income$-110M$-115M$-124M$-124M
Net Income$-100M$-106M$-115M$-114M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.17$-0.18$-0.20$-0.21
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Consumer Cyclical

Tradability FilterGrade A — 95/100Score impact: -10.8pt

Volume
100
16.1M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$110M/day
Float
100
474M shares
Mkt Cap
65
$4.1B
Range
100
461% spread
Composite Liquidity Score95/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$19.12$65.68109.8%Wide
2022$5.11$23.68129%Wide
2023$4.99$13.8694.1%Wide
2024$4.65$10.0373.3%Wide
2025$3.40$19.07139.5%Wide
3-Year Range
139.5%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.15x dampening
weinstein declining

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
78.8%
Outstanding Shares
601M
Bid-Ask Spread
461.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.