Back to Dashboard
39

MBLY

๐Ÿ›๏ธ Consumer Cyclical

Mobileye Global Inc.

Conservative #876Aggressive #862Moderate Risk
$8.46-3.31%
Day High$8.61
Day Low$8.37
Volume2.9M
Mkt Cap$6.9B
52W Low $852W High $20
Market Cap
$7.4B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
14.5%
Sector avg: 6.3%
Earnings Growth
87.3%
Profit Margin
-20.7%
Sector avg: -6.5%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

MBLY scores 40.2 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.00) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • High conviction (87/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.

No material penalties applied. MBLY ranks #876 based on its factor profile and ML signal alignment.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score40.2
Fundamental Score39.4
ML Score24.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
46.0
6 Month
51.5
Primary
1 Year
54.2

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality โ€” significant fundamental weaknesses
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (256.4%) โ€” earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
56
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
65
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
96
Grade A
Base
36.3
SHAP
+1.6
Factors
+0.6
Conviction
+1.8
Divergence
-0.1
Final
40.2
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

54AVG
Value50
Quality7
Growth85
Stability64
Investment62

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)63.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)31.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)80.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-1.6% to +2.5%
Medium-term
-1.9% to +4.3%
Long-term
-2.3% to +6.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 24

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score65.0/100
Target Upside+93.5%
Coverage25 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score56.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum-0.4%
6M Momentum-0.3%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-7.3%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.83)
Relative Strength vs Sector-42.8%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (4.4)
Momentum Quality-0.208
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P84
Revenue growth vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector PE Rank
P43
Valuation vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector FCF Rank
P62
Free cash flow vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Growth Deviation
+0.6ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 39 relative to sector peers39/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 24th percentileP24
Blended score: 80% fundamental (39) + 20% ML (24) = 36.336.3
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 50% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered โ€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +1.6pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: +1.8pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Divergence penalty: -0.1pt (ML 15pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (256.4%) โ€” earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Consumer Cyclical โ€” Rank #81 of 114 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
MBLY40.2N/A14.5%-20.7%$7.4B
MAR76.937.24.3%9.9%$91.3B
ULTA75.526.20.8%10.6%$30.9B
ABNB75.530.110.3%20.5%$81.6B
ORLY73.132.55.7%14.3%$78.4B
HAS73.016.7-17.3%9.3%$14.0B
GTX71.611.83.1%8.6%$4.1B
ROST71.530.73.7%9.9%$66.4B
DPZ71.121.95.1%12.4%$13.7B
CART69.719.911.0%13.5%$10.0B
EBAY69.618.31.7%19.3%$40.2B
GNTX68.314.30.6%17.5%$5.1B
MCRI66.217.24.4%18.6%$1.7B
CASY65.541.07.3%3.4%$25.3B
AMZN65.527.712.4%10.8%$2.2T
TXRH65.227.616.0%8.1%$12.1B
Sector Average47.436.96.3%-6.5%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy25 analysts
Buy: 15Hold: 10
Price Target
$17consensus
Low $11Median $16High $28
+97.5% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Mobileye Global Inc. engages in the development and deployment of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving technologies and solutions worldwide. The company offers Driver Assist, which comprise ADAS and autonomous vehicle solutions that covers safety features, such as real-time detection of road users, geometry, semantics, and markings to provide safety alerts and emergency interventions; Cloud-Enhanced Driver Assist, a solution for drivers with interpretations of a scene in real-time; Mobileye SuperVision Lite, a driver assist solution; and Mobileye SuperVision, an operational point-to-point assisted driving navigation solution on various road types and includes cloud-based enhancements, such as road experience management and supports over-the-air updates. It also provides Mobileye Chauffeur, a generation solution; and Mobileye Drive, a Level 4 solution, which comprise a set of autonomous driving technology solutions, such as Self-Driving System & Vehicles and Autonomous Mobility as a Service. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Jerusalem, Israel. Mobileye Global Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Intel Overseas Funding Corporation.

CEO
Amnon Shashua
Employees
3,900
Beta
0.56
Industry
Auto - Parts
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
45.4
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-58.1%
High: $20.18
From 52W Low
+1.7%
Low: $8.32
Moving Averages
10-Day
$8.90
Below
20-Day
$9.00
Below
50-Day
$10.00
Below
200-Day
$13.40
Below
60-Day Support
$8.32
60-Day Resistance
$14.33
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 10/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-36.9%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-9.43%
Falling
Volume Ratio
0.48x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
โ€”
No entry โ€” active downtrend
Exit Target
โ€”
Exit position if held
Stop Level
โ€”
No stop โ€” exit recommended

Stage 4 downtrend โ€” price is below both SMA50 and SMA200 with a declining 200-day average. Capital preservation takes priority. Do not buy into a downtrend.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$446M$504M$506M$438M
Gross Profit$202M$243M$252M$207M
Operating Income$-140M$-109M$-74M$-117M
Net Income$-127M$-96M$-67M$-102M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.16$-0.12$-0.08$-0.13
Gross Margin45.3%48.2%49.8%47.3%
Operating Margin-31.4%-21.6%-14.6%-26.7%
Net Margin-28.5%-19.0%-13.2%-23.3%

Why This Stock

Consumer CyclicalRevenue growth 14.5%

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 96/100Score impact: -0.4pt

Volume
100
8.0M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$70M/day
Float
100
579M shares
Mkt Cap
73
$7.4B
Range
100
143% spread
Composite Liquidity Score96/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2023$28.73$48.1150.5%Wide
2024$10.48$43.40122.2%Wide
2025$10.04$22.5176.6%Wide
3-Year Range
130.9%
Narrow Years
0 / 3
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
71.2%
Outstanding Shares
813M
Bid-Ask Spread
143.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.