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40

ON

💻 Technology

ON Semiconductor Corporation

Conservative #854Aggressive #1263Low RiskMixed 59ML↑ 20pt
$69.68-0.50%
Day High$72.10
Day Low$69.39
Volume7.3M
Mkt Cap$28.0B
52W Low $3152W High $74
Market Cap
$29.1B
P/E Ratio
249.0
Sector avg: 87.8
Rev Growth
-15.3%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
-92.3%
Profit Margin
2.0%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
0.39

Why This Score

ON scores 40.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated valuation at 249.0x earnings — requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (10.9%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-4.4 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score40.1
Fundamental Score49.3
ML Score5.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
66.2
6 Month
74.0
Primary
1 Year
77.9

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
59
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
62
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
98
Grade A
Base
40.5
SHAP
+2.8
Factors
+1.2
Divergence
-4.4
Final
40.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

57AVG
Value40
Quality55
Growth35
Stability75
Investment80

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)19.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)90.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)55.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-1.9% to +4.3%
Medium-term
-2.6% to +6.8%
Long-term
-3.3% to +9.3%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 5

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score61.7/100
Target Upside-9.5%
Coverage45 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score58.6/100
News Volume6 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.5%
6M Momentum+0.5%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+7.9%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.85)
Relative Strength vs Sector+49.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (4.9)
Momentum Quality+0.468
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
2%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P4
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P2
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P73
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
-0.5σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 57 relative to sector peers57/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 78th percentileP78
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.1pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (57.1) + 9% ML (77.5) + SHAP(+3.1) = 62.1—
Factor quality: +1.4pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 10.9%. Max drawdown 13% (-1.8 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: +2.0 points ($29.1B market cap)+2.0 pts
Divergence penalty: -1.5pt (ML 20pt higher)—
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology — Rank #190 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
ON40.1249.0-15.3%2.0%$29.1B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%—

Company Overviewvia FMP

ON Semiconductor Corporation provides intelligent sensing and power solutions worldwide. Its intelligent power technologies enable the electrification of the automotive industry that allows for lighter and longer-range electric vehicles, empowers fast-charging systems, and propels sustainable energy for the solar strings, industrial power, and storage systems. The company operates through three segments the Power Solutions Group, the Advanced Solutions Group, and the Intelligent Sensing Group segments. It offers analog, discrete, module, and integrated semiconductor products that perform multiple application functions, including power switching and conversion, signal conditioning, circuit protection, signal amplification, and voltage regulation functions. The company also designs and develops analog, mixed-signal, advanced logic, application specific standard product and ASICs, radio frequency, and integrated power solutions for end-users in end-markets, as well as provides foundry and design services for government customers. In addition, it develops complementary metal oxide semiconductor image sensors, image signal processors, and single photon detectors, including silicon photomultipliers and single photon avalanche diode arrays, as well as actuator drivers for autofocus and image stabilization for a broad base of end-users in various end-markets. ON Semiconductor Corporation was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.

CEO
Hassane S. El-Khoury
Employees
26,400
Beta
1.54
Industry
Semiconductors
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
71.3
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-5.5%
High: $73.76
From 52W Low
+124.5%
Low: $31.04
Moving Averages
10-Day
$70.30
Below
20-Day
$66.70
Above
50-Day
$61.60
Above
200-Day
$53.50
Above
60-Day Support
$49.13
60-Day Resistance
$73.76
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 75/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+30.2%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+11.13%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.86x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
62
Confidence: 90%
Key Reversal Detected (2026-02-18)

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$1.5B$1.6B$1.5B$1.4B
Gross Profit$534M$587M$552M$294M
Operating Income$253M$264M$193M$-574M
Net Income$182M$255M$170M$-486M
EPS (Diluted)$0.45$0.63$0.41$-1.15
Gross Margin34.9%37.9%37.6%20.3%
Operating Margin16.5%17.0%13.2%-39.7%
Net Margin11.9%16.4%11.6%-33.6%

Why This Stock

Technology

Tradability FilterGrade A — 98/100Score impact: -6.9pt

Volume
100
9.7M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$672M/day
Float
100
392M shares
Mkt Cap
89
$29.1B
Range
100
138% spread
Composite Liquidity Score98/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$34.01$70.2769.5%Wide
2022$44.76$77.2853.3%Wide
2023$59.61$111.3560.5%Wide
2024$59.34$85.1635.7%Wide
2025$31.04$67.0073.4%Wide
3-Year Range
112.8%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.3x dampening
severe revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
97.5%
Outstanding Shares
402M
Bid-Ask Spread
138.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.