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23

OFIX

🏥 Healthcare

Orthofix Medical Inc.

Conservative #1231Aggressive #1209Moderate RiskF↑ 19pt
$13.17+1.00%
Day High$13.57
Day Low$12.91
Volume0.3M
Mkt Cap$522M
52W Low $1052W High $19
Market Cap
$549M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
7.1%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
16.8%
Profit Margin
-14.6%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.46

Why This Score

OFIX scores 23.2 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (13.3%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-6.1 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score23.2
Fundamental Score31.3
ML Score9.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
28.1
6 Month
31.4
Primary
1 Year
33.1

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality — significant fundamental weaknesses

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
52
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
59
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
49
Grade Clow dollar volume
Base
21.8
SHAP
+1.8
Factors
+0.7
Divergence
-1.1
Final
23.2
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

46AVG
Value50
Quality0
Growth60
Stability70
Investment48

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)54.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)45.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)78.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-3.7% to +0.7%
Medium-term
-5.2% to +1.4%
Long-term
-6.7% to +2.0%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 9

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score58.8/100
Target Upside+48.1%
Coverage17 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score51.7/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum-0.2%
6M Momentum-0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-12.3%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.46)
Relative Strength vs Sector-47.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (1.7)
Momentum Quality-0.156
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
6%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P52
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P53
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 31 relative to sector peers31/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 9th percentileP9
Blended score: 80% fundamental (31) + 20% ML (9) = 26.826.8
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 32% → 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered — see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +1.8pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -1.1pt (ML 22pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -5.0pt (grade C)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #260 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
OFIX23.2N/A7.1%-14.6%$549M
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%—

Company Overviewvia FMP

Orthofix Medical Inc. operates as a medical device and biologics company in the United States, Italy, Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Brazil, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Global Spine and Global Orthopedics. The Global Spine segment manufactures, distributes, and provides support services for bone growth stimulator devices that enhance bone fusion, as well as used as a therapeutic treatment for non-spinal and appendicular fractures. This segment also designs, develops, and markets a portfolio of motion preservation and fixation implant products, which are used in surgical procedures of the spine; and a portfolio of products and tissue forms that allow physicians to treat a range of spinal and orthopedic conditions, as well as markets regenerative non-tissue biologic solutions derived from synthetic materials. The Global Orthopedics segment designs, develops, and markets orthopedic products that are used in fracture repair, deformity correction, and bone reconstruction procedures. The company markets and distributes its products through direct sales representatives; independent distributors; and employed and independent sales representatives to physicians, hospitals, ambulatory surgery centers, integrated health delivery systems, and other purchasing organizations. The company was formerly known as Orthofix International N.V. and changed its name to Orthofix Medical Inc. in July 2018. Orthofix Medical Inc. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Lewisville, Texas.

CEO
Massimo Calafiore
Employees
1,616
Beta
0.76
Industry
Medical - Devices
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
57.4
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-29.4%
High: $18.66
From 52W Low
+28.6%
Low: $10.24
Moving Averages
10-Day
$13.40
Below
20-Day
$13.30
Below
50-Day
$14.20
Below
200-Day
$13.60
Below
60-Day Support
$12.25
60-Day Resistance
$16.42
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 24/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Transition signal: 3→4
Price vs 200 SMA
-3.2%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-2.33%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1.38x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
4
Confidence: 50%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$220M$206M$203M$194M
Gross Profit$156M$149M$140M$122M
Operating Income$494,000$-17M$-16M$-49M
Net Income$-2M$-23M$-14M$-53M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.06$-0.57$-0.36$-1.35
Gross Margin71.1%72.2%68.7%62.8%
Operating Margin0.2%-8.3%-7.9%-25.2%
Net Margin-1.0%-11.1%-6.9%-27.4%

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade C — 49/100Score impact: -14.0pt

Volume
51
206K avg/day
Dollar Vol
22
$3M/day
Float
69
39M shares
Mkt Cap
31
$549M
Range
100
100% spread
Composite Liquidity Score49/100
FDCBA
low dollar volume

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$28.65$48.5051.5%Wide
2022$13.76$36.1389.7%Wide
2023$9.57$23.1983.1%Wide
2024$12.08$20.7352.7%Wide
2025$10.24$20.4866.7%Wide
3-Year Range
83.1%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
98.7%
Outstanding Shares
40M
Bid-Ask Spread
100.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.