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NRC

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

National Research Corporation

Conservative #1184Aggressive #1326Moderate RiskMLโ†‘ 23pt
$13.41-0.22%
Day High$13.71
Day Low$13.19
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$304M
52W Low $1052W High $23
Market Cap
$310M
P/E Ratio
25.7
Sector avg: 41.9
Rev Growth
-4.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-53.2%
Profit Margin
8.4%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
5.65

Why This Score

NRC scores 25.5 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 58.5% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 15-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (20.2%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 5.65) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Net penalties of -15.0 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, NRC would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score25.5
Fundamental Score34.9
ML Score44.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
73.0
6 Month
81.6
Primary
1 Year
85.9

Quality Assessment

B
Quality Grade
Good quality โ€” solid metrics, minor concerns possible
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 5.6x โ€” balance sheet risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
33
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
22
Grade Dlow volume, low dollar volume
Base
21.7
SHAP
+2.5
Factors
+1.3
Final
25.5
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

47AVG
Value37
Quality69
Growth16
Stability40
Investment71

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)39.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)40.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)58.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-0.8% to +5.7%
Medium-term
-0.8% to +9.2%
Long-term
-0.8% to +12.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 44

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score33.4/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum-0.1%
6M Momentum-0.2%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+1.9%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.88)
Relative Strength vs Sector-38.8%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.7)
Momentum Quality-0.086
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
12%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P14
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P17
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P80
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 35 relative to sector peers35/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 44th percentileP44
Blended score: 80% fundamental (35) + 20% ML (44) = 36.736.7
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%; Drawdown 41% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade B
SHAP feature alignment: +2.5pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 5.6x โ€” balance sheet riskFlag
Liquidity penalty: -15.0pt (grade D)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #240 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
NRC25.525.7-4.0%8.4%$310M
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$20.2B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$18.1B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$2.9B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$14.0B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$125.2B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.3B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.8B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$210.2B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$48.0B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$81.3B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$177.8B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

National Research Corporation provides analytics and insights that facilitate measurement and enhancement of the patient and employee experience in the United States and Canada. Its portfolio of subscription-based solutions provides actionable information and analysis to healthcare organizations across a range of mission-critical, constituent-related elements, including patient experience, service recovery, care transitions, health risk assessments, employee engagement, reputation management, and brand loyalty. The company also offers market insights solutions that allow the tracking of awareness, perception, and consistency of healthcare brands; assessment of competitive differentiators; and enhanced segmentation tools to evaluate needs, wants, and behaviors of communities through real-time competitive assessments and enhanced segmentation tools. In addition, it provides experience solutions, such as patient and resident experience, workforce engagement, health risk assessments, transitions, and improvement tools. Further, the company offers health risk assessment solutions that enable clients to segment populations and manage care for those who are most at risk, engage individuals, enhance preventative care, and manage wellness programs; and transitions solutions, which enable organizations to identify and manage high-risk patients to reduce readmissions, enhance patient satisfaction and support safe care transitions. Additionally, it provides transparency solutions that allow healthcare organizations to share picture of their organization and ensure content informs in consumer decision-making; and governance solutions for not-for-profit hospital and health system boards of directors, executives, and physician leadership. The company serves integrated health systems, post-acute providers, and payer organizations. National Research Corporation was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Lincoln, Nebraska.

CEO
Trent Green
Employees
368
Beta
0.50
Industry
Medical - Healthcare Information Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
33.6
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-41.2%
High: $22.79
From 52W Low
+37.4%
Low: $9.76
Moving Averages
10-Day
$12.70
Above
20-Day
$14.50
Below
50-Day
$17.70
Below
200-Day
$15.50
Below
60-Day Support
$11.74
60-Day Resistance
$22.79
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 26/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Transition signal: 3โ†’4
Price vs 200 SMA
-13.5%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+8.68%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.92x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
14
Confidence: 50%
Recent Gap Up

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
โ€”
No entry โ€” active downtrend
Exit Target
โ€”
Exit position if held
Stop Level
โ€”
No stop โ€” exit recommended

Stage 4 downtrend โ€” price is below both SMA50 and SMA200 with a declining 200-day average. Capital preservation takes priority. Do not buy into a downtrend.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$35M$35M$34M$34M
Gross Profit$19M$20M$19M$19M
Operating Income$5M$8M$2M$9M
Net Income$2M$4M$-106,000$6M
EPS (Diluted)$0.08$0.18$-0.00$0.25
Gross Margin54.3%57.8%56.8%56.5%
Operating Margin13.3%22.4%4.7%25.6%
Net Margin5.1%11.9%-0.3%17.2%

Why This Stock

HealthcareValuation below sector median (P/E 25.7)

Tradability FilterGrade D โ€” 22/100Score impact: -27.7pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor โ€” it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
16
97K avg/day
Dollar Vol
3
$1M/day
Float
26
13M shares
Mkt Cap
8
$310M
Range
100
134% spread
Composite Liquidity Score22/100
FDCBA
low volumelow dollar volumelow floatsmall cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 6/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$39.27$55.6734.5%Moderate
2022$30.93$42.9632.6%Moderate
2023$37.19$47.6024.6%Narrow
2024$16.74$42.1886.4%Wide
2025$9.76$19.3966.1%Wide
3-Year Range
131.9%
Narrow Years
1 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.49x dampening
weinstein basingslight revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
56.9%
Outstanding Shares
23M
Bid-Ask Spread
134.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.