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23

NAVN

💻 Technology

Navan, Inc.

Conservative #1258Aggressive #765Moderate RiskMixed 53ML↑ 23pt
$9.30-1.74%
Day High$9.87
Day Low$9.12
Volume1.3M
Mkt Cap$2.2B
52W Low $952W High $23
Market Cap
$2.4B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
33.5%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
45.4%
Profit Margin
-30.8%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
7.67

Why This Score

NAVN scores 23.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (20.0%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 7.67) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Minor adjustments (0.0 points) applied. NAVN's rank of #1258 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score23.3
Fundamental Score22.3
ML Score20.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
53.6
6 Month
59.9
Primary
1 Year
63.0

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality
Quality Flags
Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 7.7x — balance sheet risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
50
Basing
Sentiment (2.5%)
71
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
80
Grade A
Base
23.8
SHAP
+0.6
Factors
+0.9
Divergence
-2.0
Final
23.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)50.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)52.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)87.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage72%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-1.7% to +2.4%
Medium-term
-2.1% to +4.1%
Long-term
-2.5% to +5.8%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 20

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+149.4%
Coverage3 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score71.3/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage1 — Basing
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+0.0%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (0.00)
Relative Strength vs Sector-3.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.0)
Momentum Quality+0.000
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
1%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P92
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P78
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P17
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
+0.5σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 40 relative to sector peers40/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 63th percentileP63
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +0.6pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (39.7) + 9% ML (61.3) + SHAP(+0.6) = 42.2—
Factor quality: +0.9pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 20.0%Moderate
Market cap adjustment: -4.0 points ($2.4B market cap)-4.0 pts
Divergence penalty: -2.0pt (ML 23pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade A: strong earnings quality and financial health. Score adjusted by -10 pointsGrade A
Quality concern: Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 7.7x — balance sheet riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology — Rank #266 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
NAVN23.3N/A33.5%-30.8%$2.4B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy3 analysts
Buy: 3
Price Target
$24consensus
Low $20Median $25High $26
+153.3% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Navan, Inc. operates an AI-powered software platform to simplify the travel and expense experience, benefiting users, customers, and suppliers. The company offers AI-powered travel, payments, and expense management solutions to streamline the travel lifecycle, from booking and policy enforcement to payment processing, expense reconciliation, and reporting. It serves finance, human resources, travel managers, inventory, and other markets. The company was formerly known as TripActions, Inc. and changed its name to Navan, Inc. in February 2023. Navan, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Palo Alto, California.

CEO
Ariel Cohen
Employees
3,400
Beta
0.00
Industry
Software - Application
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
34.6
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-59.1%
High: $22.75
From 52W Low
+5.3%
Low: $8.83
Moving Averages
10-Day
$10.00
Below
20-Day
$10.60
Below
50-Day
$13.60
Below
200-Day
N/A
60-Day Support
$8.83
60-Day Resistance
$18.55

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025Q3 2024
Revenue$172M$157M$132M$151M
Gross Profit$124M$111M$88M$105M
Operating Income$-12M$-16M$-33M$-19M
Net Income$-39M$-61M$-47M$-42M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.16$-0.25$-0.19$-0.17
Gross Margin72.0%70.2%66.7%69.7%
Operating Margin-7.1%-10.1%-24.9%-12.9%
Net Margin-22.5%-38.9%-35.3%-27.7%

Why This Stock

TechnologyRevenue growth 33.5%

Tradability FilterGrade A — 80/100Score impact: -16.4pt

Volume
100
1.9M avg/day
Dollar Vol
74
$17M/day
Float
60
0K shares
Mkt Cap
60
$2.4B
Range
100
152% spread
Composite Liquidity Score80/100
FDCBA

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
152.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.