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58

MFICL

🏦 Financial Services

MidCap Financial Investment Corporation 8.00% Notes due 2028

Conservative #374Aggressive #978Moderate Risk
$25.07-1.86%
Day High$25.13
Day Low$25.01
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$2.3B
52W Low $2552W High $25
Market Cap
$2.4B
P/E Ratio
10.4
Sector avg: 26.8
Rev Growth
-4.7%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
-16.8%
Profit Margin
42.3%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

MFICL scores 59.4 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High net margin of 42.3%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Attractively valued at 10.4x earnings, below the market average.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.00) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • High conviction (77/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (20.0%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-5.0 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score59.4
Fundamental Score63.2
ML Score58.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
48.0
6 Month
53.7
Primary
1 Year
56.5

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality — moderate profitability or leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
39
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
56
Grade Csideways trading
Base
57.2
SHAP
+1.8
Factors
+0.4
Final
59.4
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

54AVG
Value88
Quality56
Growth23
Stability73
Investment31

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)61.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)52.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)60.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage72%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-6.4% to +0.5%
Medium-term
-9.5% to +0.7%
Long-term
-12.7% to +1.0%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 58

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score38.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+0.0%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (0.00)
Relative Strength vs Sector-8.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.0)
Momentum Quality+0.000
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
12%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P12
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P81
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P17
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
YES
Below-sector growth + cheap PE

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 63 relative to sector peers63/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 58th percentileP58
Blended score: 80% fundamental (63) + 20% ML (58) = 62.262.2
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%Low
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +1.8pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -5.0pt (grade C)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #124 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
MFICL59.410.4-4.7%42.3%$2.4B
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$114.0B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.1B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$9.9B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.2B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.6B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.7B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.6B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$15.3B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.5B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.1B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

No analyst sentiment data available for MFICL.

Company Overviewvia FMP

MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (Former name Apollo Investment Corporation) is business development company and a closed-end, externally managed, non-diversified management investment company. It is elected to be treated as a business development company (BDC) under the Investment Company Act of 1940 (the 1940 Act) specializing in private equity investments in leveraged buyouts, acquisitions, recapitalizations, growth capital, refinancing and private middle market companies. It provides direct equity capital, mezzanine, first lien secured loans, stretch senior loans, unitranche loans, second lien secured loans and senior secured loans, unsecured debt, and subordinated debt and loans. It also seeks to invest in PIPES transactions. The fund may also invest in securities of public companies that are thinly traded and may acquire investments in the secondary market and structured products. It prefers to invest in preferred equity, common equity / interests and warrants and makes equity co-investments. It may invest in cash equivalents, U.S. government securities, high-quality debt investments that mature in one year or less, high-yield bonds, distressed debt, non-U.S. investments, or securities of public companies that are not thinly traded. It also focuses on other investments such as collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) and credit-linked notes (CLNs). The fund typically invests in construction and building materials, business services, plastics & rubber, advertising, capital equipment, education, cable television, chemicals, consumer products/goods durable and non-durable and customer services, direct marketing, energy – oil & gas, electricity and utilities. The fund also invest in aerospace & defense, wholesale, telecommunications, financial services, hotel, gaming, leisure, restaurants; environmental industries, healthcare and pharmaceuticals, high tech industries, beverages, food and tobacco, manufacturing, media – diversified & production, printing and publishing, retail, automation, aviation and consumer transport, transportation, cargo and distribution. It primarily invests in United States. It primarily invests between $20 million and $250 million in its portfolio companies and EBITDA with less than $75 million. The fund seeks to make investments with stated maturities of five to 10 years.

CEO
Tanner Powell
Beta
1.60
Industry
Asset Management
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
21.7
Oversold
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-2.9%
High: $25.83
From 52W Low
+244.8%
Low: $7.27
Moving Averages
10-Day
$25.40
Below
20-Day
$25.40
Below
50-Day
$23.90
Above
200-Day
$23.30
Above
60-Day Support
$7.57
60-Day Resistance
$25.54
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 59/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+7.6%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-5.1%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1.7x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
46
Confidence: 40%
Breakout Volume ConfirmedRecent Gap Down

Entry & Exit Zones

Above Entry Zone
$22.15
Stop Entry Now Target
$30.33
Entry Zone
$23.66$24.62
SMA50 pullback zone ($23.66–$24.62)
Exit Target
$29.45
52-week high / +22% target ($29.45)
Stop Level
$22.83
Below SMA200 ($22.83)
Risk / Reward:1 : 4.05Favorable

Stage 2 uptrend — institutional accumulation phase. SMA50 pullbacks are the highest-probability entry points. Stop below SMA200 preserves capital if trend breaks.

Technical zones only — derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$96M$64M$53M$62M
Gross Profit$126M$51M$20M$32M
Operating Income$22M$60M$18M$30M
Net Income$-13M$27M$18M$30M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.14$0.29$0.19$0.32
Gross Margin131.5%80.1%38.6%51.1%
Operating Margin22.9%94.1%34.2%48.7%
Net Margin-13.3%43.2%34.2%48.7%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 10.4Profit margin 42.3%

Tradability FilterGrade C — 56/100Score impact: -0.5pt

Volume
50
202K avg/day
Dollar Vol
50
$5M/day
Float
96
90M shares
Mkt Cap
61
$2.4B
Range
0
2% spread
Composite Liquidity Score56/100
FDCBA
sideways trading

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 15/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2024$25.00$25.843.3%Narrow
2025$7.27$25.83112.1%Wide
3-Year Range
112.2%
Narrow Years
1 / 2
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.49x dampening
weinstein basingslight revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
96.6%
Outstanding Shares
93M
Bid-Ask Spread
2.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.