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42

MBAV

🏦 Financial Services

M3-Brigade Acquisition V Corp. Class A Ordinary shares

Conservative #822Aggressive #1208Low RiskF↑ 22pt
$10.68-0.28%
Day High$10.80
Day Low$10.68
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$384M
52W Low $1052W High $14
Market Cap
$386M
P/E Ratio
38.9
Sector avg: 26.8
Rev Growth
0.0%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
0.0%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.01

Why This Score

MBAV scores 42.8 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Low volatility (4.6% annualized) — well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.01) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.

Moderate penalties (-8.8 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score42.8
Fundamental Score55.4
ML Score23.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
2.0
6 Month
2.2
Primary
1 Year
2.4

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality — weak profitability or high leverage
1 quality flag detected — see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
False stability: 0.046 vol with only 0.0% revenue growth — stagnation, not safety

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
50
Basing
Sentiment (2.5%)
41
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
50
Grade Clow dollar volume, small cap
Base
44.0
SHAP
+2.0
Factors
-0.3
Conviction
-0.3
Divergence
-2.6
Final
42.8
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

48AVG
Value61
Quality25
Growth40
Stability87
Investment29

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)38.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)75.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)60.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-10.2% to -3.3%
Medium-term
-13.6% to -3.9%
Long-term
-17.1% to -4.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 23

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score40.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage1 — Basing
12M Momentum+0.1%
6M Momentum+0.0%
Volatility+0.0%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+4.2%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.24)
Relative Strength vs Sector-3.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (1.2)
Momentum Quality+0.049
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
1%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P40
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P12
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P17
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 55 relative to sector peers55/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 23th percentileP23
Blended score: 80% fundamental (55) + 20% ML (23) = 48.948.9
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.0%; Drawdown 11% → 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
SHAP feature alignment: +2.0pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: -0.3pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Divergence penalty: -2.6pt (ML 32pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: False stability: 0.046 vol with only 0.0% revenue growth — stagnation, not safetyFlag
Liquidity penalty: -5.0pt (grade C)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #231 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
MBAV42.838.90.0%0.0%$386M
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$114.0B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.1B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$9.9B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.2B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.6B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.7B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.6B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$15.3B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.5B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.1B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

No analyst sentiment data available for MBAV.

Company Overviewvia FMP

M3-Brigade Acquisition V Corp. does not have significant operations. It focuses on effecting a merger, share exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, reorganization, or similar business combination with one or more businesses. M3-Brigade Acquisition V Corp. was incorporated in 2024 and is based in New York, New York.

CEO
Reeve Rivas Collins
Beta
0.26
Industry
Shell Companies
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
44.8
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-22.2%
High: $13.73
From 52W Low
+5.3%
Low: $10.14
Moving Averages
10-Day
$10.70
Below
20-Day
$10.70
Below
50-Day
$10.70
Below
200-Day
$10.80
Below
60-Day Support
$10.56
60-Day Resistance
$11.96
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 1 — BasingScore: 26/100

Stock is building a base after a decline. The 200-day moving average is flattening. Watch for a breakout above the 200-day SMA on increased volume.

Monitor for breakout above 200-day SMA on volume
Transition signal: 1→2
Price vs 200 SMA
-1.1%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+1.26%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
0.38x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
46
Confidence: 80%
Key Reversal Detected (2026-02-27)

Entry & Exit Zones

In Entry Zone
$9.93
Stop Entry Now Target
$14.14
Entry Zone
$10.58 – $11.02
Near SMA200 base ($10.58–$11.02)
Exit Target
$13.73
Prior high / breakout target ($13.73)
Stop Level
$10.24
60-day low ($10.24)
Risk / Reward:1 : 5.23Favorable

Stage 1 base-building — stock is consolidating above long-term support. Entry near SMA200 offers a defined risk level. Wait for volume confirmation before sizing up.

Technical zones only — derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$-765,773$0$0$0
Operating Income$-3M$-873,724$-171,860$-108,814
Net Income$-491,393$2M$3M$3M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.01$0.06$0.10$0.09
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Financial Services

Tradability FilterGrade C — 50/100Score impact: +0.8pt

Volume
65
351K avg/day
Dollar Vol
34
$4M/day
Float
66
36M shares
Mkt Cap
18
$386M
Range
62
35% spread
Composite Liquidity Score50/100
FDCBA
low dollar volumesmall cap

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
stagnation flag

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
100.0%
Outstanding Shares
36M
Bid-Ask Spread
35.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.