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29

CEPT

🏦 Financial Services

Cantor Equity Partners II, Inc. Class A Ordinary Share

Conservative #1021Aggressive #1106Moderate RiskF↑ 25pt
$11.10-3.65%
Day High$11.64
Day Low$11.08
Volume0.2M
Mkt Cap$339M
52W Low $1052W High $14
Market Cap
$355M
P/E Ratio
64.4
Sector avg: 26.8
Rev Growth
0.0%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
-1935.8%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

CEPT scores 32.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E -0.02) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Elevated valuation at 64.4x earnings — requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (20.0%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -12.1 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, CEPT would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score32.9
Fundamental Score40.8
ML Score44.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
1.4
6 Month
1.6
Primary
1 Year
1.7

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality — significant fundamental weaknesses

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
50
Basing
Sentiment (2.5%)
39
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
54
Grade Csmall cap
Base
36.5
SHAP
-2.3
Factors
-0.4
Conviction
-0.9
Final
32.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

26AVG
Value3.4206999999999965
Quality15
Growth20
Stability60
Investment30

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)25.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)52.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)60.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage72%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-14.6% to -6.1%
Medium-term
-18.7% to -7.1%
Long-term
-22.9% to -8.2%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 44

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score38.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage1 — Basing
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+0.0%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (0.00)
Relative Strength vs Sector-8.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.0)
Momentum Quality+0.000
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
1%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P40
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P6
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P29
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 41 relative to sector peers41/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 44th percentileP44
Blended score: 80% fundamental (41) + 20% ML (44) = 41.441.4
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%Low
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered — see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
Conviction adj: -0.9pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -5.0pt (grade C)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #270 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CEPT32.964.40.0%0.0%$355M
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$114.0B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.1B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$9.9B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.2B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.6B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.7B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.6B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$15.3B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.5B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.1B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

No analyst sentiment data available for CEPT.

Company Overviewvia FMP

Cantor Equity Partners II, Inc., a blank check company, focuses on effecting a merger, share exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, reorganization or similar business combination with one or more businesses. The company was formerly known as CF International Acquisition Corp. III. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is based in New York, New York.

CEO
Brandon G. Lutnick
Beta
-0.47
Industry
Shell Companies
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
45.4
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-19.2%
High: $13.74
From 52W Low
+7.6%
Low: $10.32
Moving Averages
10-Day
$11.30
Below
20-Day
$11.50
Below
50-Day
$11.50
Below
200-Day
$11.20
Below
60-Day Support
$10.76
60-Day Resistance
$13.74

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
—
Insufficient technical data
Exit Target
—
—
Stop Level
—
—

Not enough price history to compute reliable entry and exit zones for this stock.

Technical zones only — derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$0$0$0$0
Operating Income$-154,406$-137,699$-27,148$0
Net Income$2M$1M$-27,148$-18,581
EPS (Diluted)$0.11$0.07$-0.00$-0.00
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Financial Services

Tradability FilterGrade C — 54/100Score impact: -20.0pt

Volume
78
483K avg/day
Dollar Vol
51
$5M/day
Float
53
23M shares
Mkt Cap
14
$355M
Range
52
33% spread
Composite Liquidity Score54/100
FDCBA
small cap

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
76.0%
Outstanding Shares
31M
Bid-Ask Spread
33.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.