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KYIV

📡 Communication Services

Kyivstar Group Ltd. Common Shares

Conservative #614Aggressive #1007Low RiskModerate 60ML↑ 20pt
$12.01+2.74%
Day High$12.25
Day Low$11.81
Volume0.6M
Mkt Cap$2.8B
52W Low $1052W High $16
Market Cap
$2.8B
P/E Ratio
66.8
Sector avg: 120.6
Rev Growth
0.4%
Sector avg: 15.8%
Earnings Growth
0.7%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Sector avg: -116.3%
Debt/Equity
0.41

Why This Score

KYIV scores 48.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Positive but moderate momentum (16%) — steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated valuation at 66.8x earnings — requires sustained growth to justify the premium.

Moderate penalties (-3.1 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score48.1
Fundamental Score54.5
ML Score19.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
77.2
6 Month
86.3
Primary
1 Year
90.8

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (2264.2%) — earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
64
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
81
Grade A
Base
47.5
SHAP
+2.4
Factors
+1.3
Divergence
-3.1
Final
48.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)42.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)73.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)79.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+4.5% to +9.6%
Medium-term
+7.7% to +15.4%
Long-term
+11.4% to +21.8%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 19

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+51.9%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score64.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.2%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+10.3%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.33)
Relative Strength vs Sector+15.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (1.7)
Momentum Quality+0.124
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
3%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P37
Revenue growth vs Communication Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P19
Valuation vs Communication Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P24
Free cash flow vs Communication Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 59 relative to sector peers59/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 80th percentileP80
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +2.4pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (59.4) + 9% ML (79.5) + SHAP(+2.4) = 63.6—
Factor quality: +1.3pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 9.0%. Max drawdown 20% (-4.8 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: -4.0 points ($2.8B market cap)-4.0 pts
Divergence penalty: -1.4pt (ML 20pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (2264.2%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Communication Services — Rank #24 of 60 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
KYIV48.166.80.4%4.7%$2.8B
GOOGL82.828.315.1%32.8%$3.7T
EA75.175.1-1.3%15.0%$50.2B
MTCH74.512.83.4%15.8%$7.3B
META72.027.222.2%30.1%$1.6T
TIGO69.810.12.5%4.4%$11.0B
BZ65.521.923.6%21.5%$8.1B
NXST65.214.49.6%13.4%$7.0B
SIRI63.69.5-1.6%9.4%$7.2B
CMCSA63.65.9-0.0%16.2%$115.0B
JOYY60.91.9-1.3%83.2%$3.3B
EVER60.610.473.7%8.4%$566M
NFLX59.630.415.9%24.3%$326.1B
TMUS59.322.68.5%12.4%$245.5B
NWS56.712.62.4%12.2%$14.7B
WMG56.451.74.4%5.4%$15.4B
Sector Average43.5120.615.8%-116.3%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Price Target
$18consensus
Low $16Median $17High $20
+45.7% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Kyivstar Group Ltd. is a holding company that, through its subsidiaries, delivers a broad range of mobile and fixed-line services. Its offerings include 4G connectivity, big data analytics, cloud services, cybersecurity solutions, and digital television. The Company operates in Ukraine and the United Arab Emirates.

CEO
Oleksandr Komarov
Employees
3,675
Beta
-0.32
Industry
Telecommunications Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
52.2
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-27.1%
High: $16.48
From 52W Low
+18.2%
Low: $10.16
Moving Averages
10-Day
$12.40
Below
20-Day
$12.20
Below
50-Day
$12.80
Below
200-Day
N/A
60-Day Support
$10.91
60-Day Resistance
$15.3

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$297M$284M$255M$0
Gross Profit$267M$257M$231M$0
Operating Income$-48M$112M$94M$-63,238
Net Income$-89M$82M$44M$2M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.41$0.36$0.19$0.07
Gross Margin89.9%90.5%90.6%N/A
Operating Margin-16.2%39.4%36.9%N/A
Net Margin-30.0%28.9%17.3%N/A

Why This Stock

Communication Services

Tradability FilterGrade A — 81/100Score impact: -3.7pt

Volume
92
809K avg/day
Dollar Vol
59
$10M/day
Float
100
230M shares
Mkt Cap
62
$2.8B
Range
91
62% spread
Composite Liquidity Score81/100
FDCBA
Free Float
99.8%
Outstanding Shares
231M
Bid-Ask Spread
62.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.