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33

BVS

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

Bioventus Inc.

Conservative #1016Aggressive #1075Moderate RiskMLโ†‘ 17pt
$8.86+1.26%
Day High$8.98
Day Low$8.79
Volume0.3M
Mkt Cap$593M
52W Low $652W High $11
Market Cap
$594M
P/E Ratio
73.4
Sector avg: 41.9
Rev Growth
11.9%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
78.5%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
1.94

Why This Score

BVS scores 33.2 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated valuation at 73.4x earnings โ€” requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (10.1%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.94) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Moderate penalties (-6.9 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score33.2
Fundamental Score41.6
ML Score14.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
70.5
6 Month
78.8
Primary
1 Year
83.0

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality โ€” weak profitability or high leverage
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-537.6%) โ€” earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
32
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
51
Grade Clow dollar volume
Base
31.1
SHAP
+2.7
Factors
+1.3
Divergence
-1.9
Final
33.2
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

55AVG
Value26
Quality30
Growth82
Stability59
Investment76

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)42.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)53.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)58.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+2.0% to +6.6%
Medium-term
+3.6% to +10.7%
Long-term
+5.2% to +14.7%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 14

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score31.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum-0.2%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-30.2%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.64)
Relative Strength vs Sector-42.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (1.8)
Momentum Quality-0.131
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
2%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P59
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P5
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P91
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 42 relative to sector peers42/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 14th percentileP14
Blended score: 80% fundamental (42) + 20% ML (14) = 36.136.1
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 29% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
SHAP feature alignment: +2.7pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -1.9pt (ML 28pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-537.6%) โ€” earnings quality concernFlag
Liquidity penalty: -5.0pt (grade C)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #173 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
BVS33.273.411.9%1.4%$594M
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy5 analysts
Buy: 3Hold: 2
Price Target
$13consensus
Low $13Median $13High $13
+46.7% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Bioventus Inc. a medical device company, focuses on developing and commercializing clinical treatments that engage and enhance the body's natural healing process in the United States and internationally. The company's product portfolio includes pain treatments, which comprise non-surgical joint pain injection therapies, as well as peripheral nerve stimulation products. Its surgical solutions comprise bone graft substitutes to fuse and grow bones, enhance results following spinal and other orthopedic surgeries; and ultrasonic medical devices for the use in precise bone sculpting, remove tumors, and tissue debridement. The company's restorative therapies include an ultrasonic bone healing system for fracture care; skin allografts; and products that are used to support healing of chronic wounds, as well as advanced rehabilitation devices designed to help patients regain leg or hand function. It serves physicians spanning the orthopedic continuum, including sports medicine, total joint reconstruction, hand and upper extremities, foot and ankle, podiatric surgery, trauma, spine, and neurosurgery in the physician's office or clinic, ambulatory surgical centers, or in the hospital setting. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Durham, North Carolina.

CEO
Robert E. Claypoole
Employees
930
Beta
0.79
Industry
Medical - Devices
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
71.0
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-21.2%
High: $11.25
From 52W Low
+52.5%
Low: $5.81
Moving Averages
10-Day
$8.50
Above
20-Day
$8.40
Above
50-Day
$8.00
Above
200-Day
$7.20
Above
60-Day Support
$7.02
60-Day Resistance
$9.03
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 75/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+23.1%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-3.78%
Falling
Volume Ratio
0.97x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
53
Confidence: 40%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$139M$148M$124M$154M
Gross Profit$93M$102M$83M$103M
Operating Income$12M$18M$5M$8M
Net Income$3M$7M$-3M$-156,000
EPS (Diluted)$0.05$0.11$-0.04$-0.00
Gross Margin67.0%69.1%67.0%66.8%
Operating Margin8.7%12.4%3.9%5.2%
Net Margin2.3%5.1%-2.1%-0.1%

Why This Stock

HealthcareRevenue growth 11.9%Valuation below sector median (P/E 73.4)

Tradability FilterGrade C โ€” 51/100Score impact: -4.1pt

Volume
57
266K avg/day
Dollar Vol
16
$2M/day
Float
76
46M shares
Mkt Cap
32
$594M
Range
100
94% spread
Composite Liquidity Score51/100
FDCBA
low dollar volume

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$10.74$19.9460%Wide
2022$1.65$15.57161.7%Wide
2023$0.80$5.54149.5%Wide
2024$3.90$14.38114.7%Wide
2025$5.81$11.2563.8%Wide
3-Year Range
178.9%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
68.7%
Outstanding Shares
67M
Bid-Ask Spread
94.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.