Back to Dashboard
51

IPAR

๐Ÿ›’ Consumer Defensive

Inter Parfums, Inc.

Conservative #572Aggressive #743Moderate Risk
$100.78-3.28%
Day High$103.11
Day Low$99.86
Volume0.3M
Mkt Cap$3.2B
52W Low $7752W High $146
Market Cap
$3.2B
P/E Ratio
20.2
Sector avg: 33.1
Rev Growth
10.2%
Sector avg: 10.6%
Earnings Growth
7.7%
Profit Margin
11.2%
Sector avg: -3.2%
Debt/Equity
0.26

Why This Score

IPAR scores 52.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 20.3% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • High conviction (100/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (11.8%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (-2.0 points) applied. IPAR's rank of #572 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score52.1
Fundamental Score50.3
ML Score49.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
65.6
6 Month
73.3
Primary
1 Year
77.2

Quality Assessment

B
Quality Grade
Good quality โ€” solid metrics, minor concerns possible

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
37
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
63
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
66
Grade Blow float
Base
48.1
SHAP
+1.6
Factors
+0.6
Conviction
+1.8
Final
52.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

63AVG
Value67
Quality60
Growth56
Stability67
Investment66

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)65.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)43.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)75.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-0.2% to +4.0%
Medium-term
+0.3% to +6.8%
Long-term
+0.8% to +9.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 49

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score63.2/100
Target Upside+5.6%
Coverage19 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score37.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum-0.2%
6M Momentum-0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-14.7%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.39)
Relative Strength vs Sector-33.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.1)
Momentum Quality-0.146
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P75
Revenue growth vs Consumer Defensive peers
Sector PE Rank
P51
Valuation vs Consumer Defensive peers
Sector FCF Rank
P35
Free cash flow vs Consumer Defensive peers
Growth Deviation
+0.2ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 50 relative to sector peers50/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 49th percentileP49
Blended score: 80% fundamental (50) + 20% ML (49) = 50.050.0
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 40% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade B
SHAP feature alignment: +1.6pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: +1.8pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Consumer Defensive โ€” Rank #29 of 55 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
IPAR52.120.210.2%11.2%$3.2B
MNST84.446.34.9%20.1%$84.6B
COCO77.443.118.2%11.7%$3.3B
CALM76.73.583.2%27.4%$4.1B
LAUR76.325.85.5%18.9%$4.9B
WMT71.546.75.1%2.9%$1.0T
CCEP68.925.111.7%6.9%$49.7B
PSMT66.531.57.2%2.7%$4.8B
COST66.254.68.2%2.9%$441.9B
PEP65.127.62.3%8.8%$230.9B
COKE64.623.13.7%9.2%$16.7B
PRDO64.013.124.2%18.9%$2.2B
SFD63.811.3-3.4%5.5%$9.6B
OLLI62.531.48.0%8.8%$6.7B
FIZZ61.218.60.8%15.6%$3.5B
DLTR61.023.94.8%5.9%$25.7B
Sector Average51.133.110.6%-3.2%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Inter Parfums, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and distributes a range of fragrances and fragrance related products in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, European Based Operations and United States Based Operations. It offers its fragrance and cosmetic products under the Boucheron, Coach, Jimmy Choo, Karl Lagerfeld, Kate Spade, Lily Aldridge, Lanvin, Moncler, Montblanc, Rochas, S.T. Dupont, Van Cleef & Arpels, Abercrombie & Fitch, Anna Sui, babe, Dunhill, Ferragamo, Graff, GUESS, Hollister, MCM, Oscar de la Renta, French Connection, and Ungaro brand names, as well as under the Intimate and Aziza names. It sells its products to department stores, specialty stores, duty free shops, beauty retailers, and domestic and international wholesalers, and distributors, as well as through e-commerce. The company was formerly known as Jean Philippe Fragrances, Inc. and changed its name to Inter Parfums, Inc. in July 1999. Inter Parfums, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

CEO
Jean Madar
Employees
647
Beta
1.23
Industry
Household & Personal Products
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
46.1
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-32%
High: $148.15
From 52W Low
+30.5%
Low: $77.21
Moving Averages
10-Day
$102.00
Below
20-Day
$101.00
Below
50-Day
$93.70
Above
200-Day
$106.70
Below
60-Day Support
$79.5
60-Day Resistance
$105
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 19/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-5.5%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-7.22%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1.04x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
โ€”
No entry โ€” active downtrend
Exit Target
โ€”
Exit position if held
Stop Level
โ€”
No stop โ€” exit recommended

Stage 4 downtrend โ€” price is below both SMA50 and SMA200 with a declining 200-day average. Capital preservation takes priority. Do not buy into a downtrend.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$386M$430M$334M$339M
Gross Profit$237M$273M$221M$216M
Operating Income$28M$109M$59M$75M
Net Income$28M$66M$32M$42M
EPS (Diluted)$0.88$2.05$1.00$1.32
Gross Margin61.5%63.5%66.2%63.7%
Operating Margin7.1%25.3%17.7%22.2%
Net Margin7.3%15.3%9.6%12.5%

Why This Stock

Consumer DefensiveP/E ratio of 20.2Revenue growth 10.2%Profit margin 11.2%Valuation below sector median (P/E 20.2)

Tradability FilterGrade B โ€” 66/100Score impact: +1.2pt

Volume
56
261K avg/day
Dollar Vol
84
$27M/day
Float
44
18M shares
Mkt Cap
63
$3.2B
Range
100
92% spread
Composite Liquidity Score66/100
FDCBA
low float

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
56.3%
Outstanding Shares
32M
Bid-Ask Spread
92.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.