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HSAI

🛍️ Consumer Cyclical

Hesai Group

Conservative #853Aggressive #865Moderate RiskHigh 90
$26.98+0.04%
Day High$27.40
Day Low$26.33
Volume1.1M
Mkt Cap$3.6B
52W Low $1052W High $31
Market Cap
$3.7B
P/E Ratio
61.1
Sector avg: 45.1
Rev Growth
10.7%
Sector avg: 6.3%
Earnings Growth
78.5%
Profit Margin
15.6%
Sector avg: -6.5%
Debt/Equity
0.09

Why This Score

HSAI scores 40.2 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.09) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • High conviction (90/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated valuation at 61.1x earnings — requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (17.3%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (-2.6 points) applied. HSAI's rank of #853 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score40.2
Fundamental Score45.2
ML Score13.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
55.7
6 Month
62.3
Primary
1 Year
65.6

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4.6%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
55
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
95
Grade A
Base
38.8
SHAP
+1.9
Factors
+0.6
Conviction
+1.5
Divergence
-2.6
Final
40.2
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)50.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)53.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)64.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-5.3% to +1.3%
Medium-term
-7.9% to +1.9%
Long-term
-10.5% to +2.5%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 13

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score55.2/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.4%
6M Momentum-0.0%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+43.9%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.00)
Relative Strength vs Sector+42.7%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.5)
Momentum Quality+0.300
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P76
Revenue growth vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector PE Rank
P8
Valuation vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector FCF Rank
P15
Free cash flow vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Growth Deviation
+0.4σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 60 relative to sector peers60/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 65th percentileP65
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.0pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (60.3) + 9% ML (65.4) + SHAP(+3.0) = 63.8
Factor quality: +1.0pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 17.3%. Max drawdown 32% (-9.4 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($3.7B market cap)+0.5 pts
Conviction bonus: +2.4pt (conviction=90)
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -7 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: Elevated non-operating income: 11pp gap between net and operating marginFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Consumer Cyclical — Rank #74 of 114 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
HSAI40.261.110.7%15.6%$3.7B
MAR75.937.24.3%9.9%$93.8B
ABNB75.230.110.3%20.5%$72.8B
ULTA75.126.20.8%10.6%$30.6B
HAS73.016.7-17.3%9.3%$14.4B
ORLY71.932.55.7%14.3%$81.6B
ROST71.130.73.7%9.9%$63.9B
DPZ70.621.95.1%12.4%$12.7B
GTX69.711.83.1%8.6%$3.8B
CART69.119.911.0%13.5%$9.6B
EBAY68.518.31.7%19.3%$37.6B
GNTX68.214.30.6%17.5%$5.5B
AMZN65.327.712.4%10.8%$2.1T
CASY65.141.07.3%3.4%$24.7B
TXRH65.027.616.0%8.1%$12.0B
URBN63.213.37.7%7.3%$6.3B
Sector Average46.245.16.3%-6.5%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy2 analysts
Buy: 2
Price Target
$34consensus
Low $32Median $34High $36
+25.1% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Hesai Group, through with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of three-dimensional light detection and ranging solutions (LiDAR). Its LiDAR products are used in passenger and commercial vehicles with advanced driver assistance systems; autonomous passenger and freight mobility services; and other applications, such as delivery robots, street sweeping robots, and logistics robots in restricted areas. Hesai Group was founded in 2014 and is based in Shanghai, China.

CEO
Yifan Li
Employees
1,142
Beta
1.15
Industry
Auto - Parts
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
62.9
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-12.5%
High: $30.85
From 52W Low
+159.2%
Low: $10.41
Moving Averages
10-Day
$26.80
Above
20-Day
$25.80
Above
50-Day
$25.30
Above
200-Day
$23.10
Above
60-Day Support
$18.75
60-Day Resistance
$29.35
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 86/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+16.8%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+10.76%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.85x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
48
Confidence: 90%
Recent Gap Up

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$791M$706M$525M$720M
Gross Profit$333M$300M$219M$281M
Operating Income$19M$23M$-33M$107M
Net Income$255M$44M$-18M$147M
EPS (Diluted)$1.78$0.32$-0.13$1.08
Gross Margin42.1%42.5%41.7%39.0%
Operating Margin2.4%3.2%-6.4%14.8%
Net Margin32.2%6.2%-3.3%20.4%

Why This Stock

Consumer CyclicalRevenue growth 10.7%Profit margin 15.6%Earnings quality grade B

Tradability FilterGrade A — 95/100Score impact: +8.6pt

Volume
100
2.2M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$60M/day
Float
100
110M shares
Mkt Cap
64
$3.7B
Range
100
196% spread
Composite Liquidity Score95/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2023$7.35$30.36122%Wide
2024$3.28$15.49130.1%Wide
2025$10.41$30.8599.1%Wide
3-Year Range
161.6%
Narrow Years
0 / 3
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.15x dampening
weinstein declining

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
83.0%
Outstanding Shares
133M
Bid-Ask Spread
196.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.