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GLBE

๐Ÿ›๏ธ Consumer Cyclical

Global-E Online Ltd.

Conservative #756Aggressive #291Low RiskMLโ†‘ 35pt
$34.97-2.75%
Day High$35.41
Day Low$34.47
Volume0.8M
Mkt Cap$5.9B
52W Low $2752W High $44
Market Cap
$6.1B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
32.1%
Sector avg: 6.3%
Earnings Growth
43.5%
Profit Margin
-10.0%
Sector avg: -6.5%
Debt/Equity
0.03

Why This Score

GLBE scores 45.4 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.03) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.

Net penalties of -11.8 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, GLBE would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score45.4
Fundamental Score44.7
ML Score78.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
70.0
6 Month
78.2
Primary
1 Year
82.3

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality โ€” moderate profitability or leverage
Country Risk:
Score penalty of points applied for domicile risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
50
Basing
Sentiment (2.5%)
50
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
71
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
87
Grade A
Base
46.4
SHAP
+2.4
Factors
+1.4
Conviction
-2.0
Divergence
-2.7
Final
45.4
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

63AVG
Value40
Quality40
Growth90
Stability90
Investment55

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)50.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)52.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)80.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+1.4% to +6.0%
Medium-term
+2.7% to +9.8%
Long-term
+4.1% to +13.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 78

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score71.4/100
Target Upside+31.9%
Coverage14 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score49.7/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage1 โ€” Basing
12M Momentum-0.3%
6M Momentum-0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-20.3%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.21)
Relative Strength vs Sector-26.8%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.2)
Momentum Quality-0.201
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
1%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P94
Revenue growth vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector PE Rank
P43
Valuation vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector FCF Rank
P25
Free cash flow vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Growth Deviation
+1.7ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 45 relative to sector peers45/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 78th percentileP78
Blended score: 80% fundamental (45) + 20% ML (78) = 51.451.4
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 22% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +2.4pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: -2.0pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Divergence penalty: -2.7pt (ML 33pt higher)Divergence
Risk Factors
Country risk: Israel (5pt penalty, source: data_provider)Country

Sector Peer Comparison(Consumer Cyclical โ€” Rank #65 of 114 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
GLBE45.4N/A32.1%-10.0%$6.1B
MAR76.937.24.3%9.9%$91.3B
ULTA75.526.20.8%10.6%$30.9B
ABNB75.530.110.3%20.5%$81.6B
ORLY73.132.55.7%14.3%$78.4B
HAS73.016.7-17.3%9.3%$14.0B
GTX71.611.83.1%8.6%$4.1B
ROST71.530.73.7%9.9%$66.4B
DPZ71.121.95.1%12.4%$13.7B
CART69.719.911.0%13.5%$10.0B
EBAY69.618.31.7%19.3%$40.2B
GNTX68.314.30.6%17.5%$5.1B
MCRI66.217.24.4%18.6%$1.7B
CASY65.541.07.3%3.4%$25.3B
AMZN65.527.712.4%10.8%$2.2T
TXRH65.227.616.0%8.1%$12.1B
Sector Average47.436.96.3%-6.5%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy14 analysts
Buy: 13Hold: 1
Price Target
$45consensus
Low $43Median $45High $48
+29.4% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Global-E Online Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides a platform to enable and accelerate direct-to-consumer cross-border e-commerce in Israel, the United Kingdom, the United States, and internationally. Its platform enables international shoppers to buy online and merchants to sell from, and to, worldwide. Global-E Online Ltd. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Petah Tikva, Israel.

CEO
Amir Schlachet
Employees
1,084
Beta
1.24
Industry
Specialty Retail
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
57.8
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-20.9%
High: $44.2
From 52W Low
+31.3%
Low: $26.64
Moving Averages
10-Day
$34.30
Above
20-Day
$34.00
Above
50-Day
$37.00
Below
200-Day
$35.30
Below
60-Day Support
$29.5
60-Day Resistance
$41.94
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 1 โ€” BasingScore: 47/100

Stock is building a base after a decline. The 200-day moving average is flattening. Watch for a breakout above the 200-day SMA on increased volume.

Monitor for breakout above 200-day SMA on volume
Price vs 200 SMA
-0.9%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-0.51%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
2.04x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
1
Confidence: 70%
Recent Gap Up

Entry & Exit Zones

In Entry Zone
$27.76
Stop Entry Now Target
$45.53
Entry Zone
$34.59 โ€“ $36.01
Near SMA200 base ($34.59โ€“$36.01)
Exit Target
$44.20
Prior high / breakout target ($44.2)
Stop Level
$28.62
60-day low ($28.62)
Risk / Reward:1 : 1.33Tight

Stage 1 base-building โ€” stock is consolidating above long-term support. Entry near SMA200 offers a defined risk level. Wait for volume confirmation before sizing up.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$337M$221M$215M$190M
Gross Profit$155M$100M$98M$84M
Operating Income$63M$17M$11M$-19M
Net Income$62M$13M$10M$-18M
EPS (Diluted)$0.35$0.07$0.06$-0.11
Gross Margin46.0%45.1%45.5%44.3%
Operating Margin18.8%7.7%4.9%-10.1%
Net Margin18.6%6.0%4.9%-9.4%

Why This Stock

Consumer CyclicalRevenue growth 32.1%

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 87/100Score impact: +13.8pt

Volume
100
1.4M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$50M/day
Float
60
0K shares
Mkt Cap
70
$6.1B
Range
97
74% spread
Composite Liquidity Score87/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$24.22$83.77110.3%Wide
2022$15.63$64.83122.3%Wide
2023$19.59$45.7280%Wide
2024$28.11$57.8569.2%Wide
2025$26.64$63.6982%Wide
3-Year Range
105.9%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
74.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.