Mattel, Inc.
MAT scores 54.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.
Moderate penalties (-5.4 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.
These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.
| Stock | Score | P/E | Rev Growth | Margin | Mkt Cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAT | 54.3 | 13.3 | -1.1% | 10.1% | $5.6B |
| MAR | 76.9 | 37.2 | 4.3% | 9.9% | $93.0B |
| ULTA | 75.5 | 26.2 | 0.8% | 10.6% | $31.0B |
| ABNB | 75.5 | 30.1 | 10.3% | 20.5% | $81.8B |
| ORLY | 73.1 | 32.5 | 5.7% | 14.3% | $77.0B |
| HAS | 73.0 | 16.7 | -17.3% | 9.3% | $14.1B |
| GTX | 71.6 | 11.8 | 3.1% | 8.6% | $4.0B |
| ROST | 71.5 | 30.7 | 3.7% | 9.9% | $66.4B |
| DPZ | 71.1 | 21.9 | 5.1% | 12.4% | $13.7B |
| CART | 69.7 | 19.9 | 11.0% | 13.5% | $9.9B |
| EBAY | 69.6 | 18.3 | 1.7% | 19.3% | $39.7B |
| GNTX | 68.3 | 14.3 | 0.6% | 17.5% | $5.2B |
| MCRI | 66.2 | 17.2 | 4.4% | 18.6% | $1.8B |
| CASY | 65.5 | 41.0 | 7.3% | 3.4% | $25.2B |
| AMZN | 65.5 | 27.7 | 12.4% | 10.8% | $2.2T |
| TXRH | 65.2 | 27.6 | 16.0% | 8.1% | $12.2B |
| Sector Average | 47.4 | 36.9 | 6.3% | -6.5% | — |
Mattel, Inc., a children's entertainment company, designs and produces toys and consumer products worldwide. The company operates through North America, International, and American Girl segments. It offers dolls and accessories, as well as content, gaming, and lifestyle products for children under the Barbie, Monster High, American Girl, Polly Pocket, Spirit, and Enchantimals brands; dolls and books under the American Girl brand name; die-cast vehicles, tracks, playsets, and accessories for kids of all ages, and collectors under the Hot Wheels, Monster Trucks, Matchbox, CARS, and Mario Kart brand names; and infant, toddler, and preschool products comprising content, toys, live events, and other lifestyle products under the Fisher-Price and Thomas & Friends, Power wheels, and Fireman Sam brands. The company also provides action figures, building sets, and games under the Masters of the Universe, MEGA, UNO, Lightyear, Jurassic World, WWE, and Star Wars brands; and licensor partner brands, including Disney, NBCUniversal, WWE, Microsoft, Nickelodeon, Warner Bros, and Sanrio. It sells its products directly to consumers through its catalog, website, and proprietary retail stores; retailers, including discount and free-standing toy stores, chain stores, department stores, and other retail outlets; and wholesalers, as well as through agents and distributors. Mattel, Inc. was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in El Segundo, California.
Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.
| Metric | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.8B | $1.7B | $1.0B | $827M |
| Gross Profit | $812M | $868M | $519M | $408M |
| Operating Income | $161M | $380M | $78M | $-53M |
| Net Income | $106M | $278M | $53M | $-40M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.34 | $0.86 | $0.16 | $-0.12 |
| Gross Margin | 46.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | 49.4% |
| Operating Margin | 9.1% | 21.9% | 7.7% | -6.4% |
| Net Margin | 6.0% | 16.0% | 5.2% | -4.9% |
| Year | Low | High | Range | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $17.95 | $23.31 | 26% | Moderate |
| 2022 | $16.21 | $26.99 | 49.9% | Wide |
| 2023 | $15.36 | $22.64 | 38.3% | Wide |
| 2024 | $15.87 | $20.60 | 25.9% | Moderate |
| 2025 | $13.95 | $22.07 | 45.1% | Wide |
Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.
Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.