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GAINZ

🏦 Financial Services

Gladstone Investment Corporation 4.875% Notes due 2028

Conservative #847Aggressive #1434Low RiskML↑ 30pt
$24.10-0.15%
Day High$24.10
Day Low$24.00
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$566M
52W Low $2252W High $24
Market Cap
$566M
P/E Ratio
4.2
Sector avg: 26.8
Rev Growth
-12.9%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
-23.4%
Profit Margin
115.7%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.96

Why This Score

GAINZ scores 41.4 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 24.7% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • High net margin of 115.7%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Attractively valued at 4.2x earnings, below the market average.
  • Low volatility (1.2% annualized) — well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.

Net penalties of -30.6 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, GAINZ would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score41.4
Fundamental Score71.7
ML Score53.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
64.2
6 Month
71.8
Primary
1 Year
75.6

Quality Assessment

B
Quality Grade
Good quality — solid metrics, minor concerns possible
2 quality flags detected — see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (526.7%) — earnings quality concern
False stability: 0.012 vol with only -12.9% revenue growth — stagnation, not safety (declining revenue overrides sector exemption)

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
42
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
0
Grade Fvery low volume, very low dollar volume
Base
38.0
SHAP
+3.4
Factors
+0.6
Divergence
-0.6
Final
41.4
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

56AVG
Value93
Quality77
Growth10
Stability87
Investment12

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)63.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)81.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)60.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-3.6% to +2.6%
Medium-term
-4.5% to +4.5%
Long-term
-5.9% to +6.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 53

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score41.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.1%
6M Momentum+0.0%
Volatility+0.0%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+5.4%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.32)
Relative Strength vs Sector-0.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.078
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
3%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P9
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P98
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P3
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.3σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
YES
Below-sector growth + cheap PE

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 72 relative to sector peers72/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 53th percentileP53
Blended score: 80% fundamental (72) + 20% ML (53) = 68.068.0
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.0%; Drawdown 2% → 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade B
SHAP feature alignment: +3.4pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -0.6pt (ML 19pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (526.7%) — earnings quality concern; False stability: 0.012 vol with only -12.9% revenue growth — stagnation, not safety (declining revenue overrides sector exemption)Flag
Liquidity penalty: -25.0pt (grade F)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #238 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
GAINZ41.44.2-12.9%115.7%$566M
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$114.0B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.1B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$9.9B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.2B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.6B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.7B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.6B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$15.3B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.5B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.1B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

No analyst sentiment data available for GAINZ.

Company Overviewvia FMP

Gladstone Investment is a publicly traded business development company that seeks to make equity and secured debt investments.

CEO
David J. Gladstone
Employees
74
Beta
0.01
Industry
Asset Management
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
59.2
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-0.6%
High: $24.25
From 52W Low
+8.5%
Low: $22.21
Moving Averages
10-Day
$24.10
Below
20-Day
$24.10
Below
50-Day
$24.00
Above
200-Day
$23.70
Above
60-Day Support
$23.75
60-Day Resistance
$24.25
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 58/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+1.7%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+1.23%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
0.94x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Entry & Exit Zones

In Entry Zone
$22.53
Stop Entry Now Target
$30.46
Entry Zone
$23.76 – $24.72
SMA50 pullback zone ($23.76–$24.72)
Exit Target
$29.57
52-week high / +22% target ($29.57)
Stop Level
$23.23
Below SMA200 ($23.23)
Risk / Reward:1 : 5.28Favorable

Stage 2 uptrend — institutional accumulation phase. SMA50 pullbacks are the highest-probability entry points. Stop below SMA200 preserves capital if trend breaks.

Technical zones only — derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025
Revenue$25M$36M$26M$26M
Gross Profit$21M$26M$17M$17M
Operating Income$-7M$29M$18M$18M
Net Income$66M$29M$18M$18M
EPS (Diluted)$1.66$0.75$0.21$0.49
Gross Margin82.4%73.3%65.1%65.1%
Operating Margin-26.0%79.5%69.4%69.4%
Net Margin262.9%79.5%69.4%69.4%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 4.2Profit margin 115.7%

Tradability FilterGrade F — 0/100Score impact: -11.0pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor — it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
0
5K avg/day
Dollar Vol
0
$130K/day
Float
0
0K shares
Mkt Cap
0
$566M
Range
0
9% spread
Composite Liquidity Score0/100
FDCBA
very low volumevery low dollar volumerange bound

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Range-BoundSideways: 100/100
Range-Bound Stock

This stock has traded in a compressed range for 4 of the last 4 years (3-year range: 14.7%). Range-bound stocks may indicate limited upside potential. A -5pt penalty has been applied.

YearLowHighRangeStatus
2022$20.40$26.2525.1%Moderate
2023$21.38$24.7614.7%Narrow
2024$22.25$24.168.2%Narrow
2025$22.21$24.098.1%Narrow
3-Year Range
14.7%
Narrow Years
4 / 4
Sideways Penalty
-5pt

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.24x dampening
revenue declinestagnation flagrange bound

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
9.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.