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61

TBBK

🏦 Financial Services

The Bancorp, Inc.

Conservative #285Aggressive #714Moderate RiskHigh 82
$57.72+2.57%
Day High$58.09
Day Low$56.50
Volume0.4M
Mkt Cap$2.7B
52W Low $4152W High $82
Market Cap
$2.7B
P/E Ratio
11.1
Sector avg: 49.4
Rev Growth
-2.8%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
4.9%
Profit Margin
27.3%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.61

Why This Score

TBBK scores 60.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 28.9% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • High net margin of 27.3%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Attractively valued at 11.1x earnings, below the market average.
  • High conviction (82/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.

No material penalties applied. TBBK ranks #285 based on its factor profile and ML signal alignment.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score60.7
Fundamental Score56.9
ML Score58.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
74.5
6 Month
83.2
Primary
1 Year
87.6

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
53
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
81
Grade A
Base
56.7
SHAP
+1.8
Factors
+1.2
Conviction
+1.1
Final
60.7
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)73.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)47.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)82.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-5.2% to +1.2%
Medium-term
-7.8% to +1.8%
Long-term
-10.4% to +2.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 58

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+5.3%
Coverage7 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score52.6/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum+0.0%
6M Momentum-0.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+28.1%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.21)
Relative Strength vs Sector-3.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.5)
Momentum Quality+0.038
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
45%
High risk — cheap + stagnating
Sector RevGr Rank
P15
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P65
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P81
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
YES
Below-sector growth + cheap PE
Value trap warning: This stock scores in the top quartile for value trap risk. The combination of below-sector-median revenue growth, low PE, and high free cash flow yield suggests the market is pricing in stagnation. The ML model's sector-relative features (trained on 30 years of data) reduce this stock's score accordingly.

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 75 relative to sector peers75/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 89th percentileP89
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +2.4pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (74.8) + 9% ML (89.0) + SHAP(+2.4) = 78.5
Factor quality: +1.6pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 9.8%. Max drawdown 23% (-6.1 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: -4.0 points ($2.7B market cap)-4.0 pts
Conviction bonus: +1.4pt (conviction=82)
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -8 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-30.0%) — earnings quality concern; CRE concentration risk: regional bank with likely elevated commercial real estate exposure — forward-looking impairment risk not captured by trailing fundamentalsFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #90 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
TBBK60.711.1-2.8%27.3%$2.7B
CME84.927.29.9%57.5%$109.0B
CINF82.310.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
ACT82.08.92.4%54.6%$6.0B
SEIC80.914.010.7%27.3%$9.6B
TROW79.310.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
FHB78.311.83.2%24.2%$3.3B
MCHB77.70.0123.7%23.2%$3.4B
TRMK75.611.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
BCAL74.39.926.2%27.1%$613M
NMIH73.97.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
FFIN73.218.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
TW73.130.018.9%39.6%$24.8B
VCTR73.118.38.8%32.3%$4.9B
VLY72.412.5-2.2%17.1%$7.5B
QQQX72.310.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
Sector Average45.849.413.4%-2.8%

Company Overviewvia FMP

The Bancorp, Inc. operates as the financial holding company for The Bancorp Bank that provides banking products and services in the United States. The company offers a range of deposit products and services, including checking, savings, money market, and commercial accounts; and prepaid and debit cards. It also provides securities-backed lines of credit and insurance policy cash value-backed lines of credit; institutional banking services; vehicle fleet, other equipment leasing, and commercial fleet leasing services consist of commercial vehicles, including trucks and special purpose vehicles, and equipment; and real estate bridge lending, as well as small business administration, commercial mortgage-backed, and commercial real estate loans. The company offers private label banking; credit and debit card payment processing services for independent service organizations; and internet banking services. The Bancorp, Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Delaware.

CEO
Damian Kozlowski
Employees
771
Beta
1.29
Industry
Banks - Regional
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
44.6
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-29.3%
High: $81.65
From 52W Low
+42.5%
Low: $40.51
Moving Averages
10-Day
$57.40
Above
20-Day
$59.80
Below
50-Day
$65.40
Below
200-Day
$65.50
Below
60-Day Support
$54.57
60-Day Resistance
$72.89
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 24/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-11.9%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+6.82%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.89x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
18
Confidence: 40%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$170M$217M$227M$223M
Gross Profit$128M$130M$137M$129M
Operating Income$75M$73M$80M$75M
Net Income$56M$55M$60M$57M
EPS (Diluted)$1.28$1.18$1.27$1.19
Gross Margin75.6%59.8%60.3%57.5%
Operating Margin44.2%33.7%35.1%33.7%
Net Margin33.1%25.3%26.4%25.6%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 11.1Profit margin 27.3%

Tradability FilterGrade A — 81/100Score impact: +5.8pt

Volume
85
625K avg/day
Dollar Vol
90
$34M/day
Float
71
41M shares
Mkt Cap
61
$2.7B
Range
100
102% spread
Composite Liquidity Score81/100
FDCBA

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.11x dampening
weinstein decliningslight revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
89.4%
Outstanding Shares
46M
Bid-Ask Spread
102.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.