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EMAT

⛏️ Basic Materials

Evolution Metals & Technologies Corp. Common Stock

Conservative #1422Aggressive #1471Moderate RiskF↑ 47pt
$7.97-7.33%
Day High$8.40
Day Low$7.82
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$6.4B
52W Low $652W High $24
Market Cap
$8.8B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
0.0%
Sector avg: 40.4%
Earnings Growth
88.2%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -552.9%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

EMAT scores 1.8 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 57.0% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E -0.81) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (20.0%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -44.2 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, EMAT would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score1.8
Fundamental Score47.9
ML Score2.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
1.3
6 Month
1.4
Primary
1 Year
1.5

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality — moderate profitability or leverage
1 quality flag detected — see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Negative ROIC (-153.8%) with high ROE (57.0%) — capital structure distortion (possibly negative equity or one-time gain)

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
50
Basing
Sentiment (2.5%)
39
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
0
Grade Fvery low float, low dollar volume
Base
13.7
SHAP
-2.0
Factors
-0.5
Conviction
-4.8
Divergence
-4.6
Final
1.8
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

50AVG
Value50
Quality40
Growth70
Stability60
Investment30

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)75.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)52.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)60.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage72%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-16.5% to -7.4%
Medium-term
-21.6% to -9.0%
Long-term
-26.8% to -10.7%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 2

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score38.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage1 — Basing
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+0.0%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (0.00)
Relative Strength vs Sector-56.0%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.0)
Momentum Quality+0.000
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
7%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P50
Revenue growth vs Basic Materials peers
Sector PE Rank
P40
Valuation vs Basic Materials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P33
Free cash flow vs Basic Materials peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 48 relative to sector peers48/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 2th percentileP2
Blended score: 80% fundamental (48) + 20% ML (2) = 38.738.7
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%Low
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
Conviction adj: -4.8pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Divergence penalty: -4.6pt (ML 46pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Negative ROIC (-153.8%) with high ROE (57.0%) — capital structure distortion (possibly negative equity or one-time gain)Flag
Liquidity penalty: -25.0pt (grade F)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Basic Materials — Rank #31 of 31 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
EMAT1.8N/A0.0%0.0%$8.8B
RGLD77.839.418.8%46.2%$19.5B
LIN71.932.90.5%19.9%$234.9B
BCPC71.339.63.4%13.5%$5.8B
STLD67.823.83.6%6.5%$28.0B
UFPI67.621.2-7.8%6.2%$6.0B
WDFC62.736.05.0%14.4%$3.2B
IOSP60.217.3-3.7%6.6%$1.9B
KALU58.018.611.5%3.3%$2.1B
SCZM53.813.15.3%25.1%$1.2B
ELE53.6105.829.9%15.4%$1.5B
HWKN52.336.96.0%7.8%$3.1B
MEOH51.917.9-0.1%6.0%$3.8B
AUGO51.313.842.5%-5.1%$7.0B
SSRM48.627.3-30.2%-26.2%$6.5B
ALM41.9N/AN/A-216.3%$3.8B
Sector Average41.737.540.4%-552.9%

Company Overviewvia FMP

Evolution Metals & Technologies Corp. critical materials and advanced manufacturing company. It focuses on non-China-dependent supply chain for rare earth permanent magnets, battery materials, and related critical technologies The company is based in West Palm Beach, Florida.

CEO
Frank Moon
Employees
4
Beta
-0.07
Industry
Industrial Materials
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
57.3
Neutral
Trend
N/A
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-66.9%
High: $24.09
From 52W Low
+44.9%
Low: $5.5
Moving Averages
10-Day
$10.20
Below
20-Day
$8.50
Below
50-Day
N/A
200-Day
N/A
60-Day Support
$5.5
60-Day Resistance
$24.09

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
Insufficient technical data
Exit Target
Stop Level

Not enough price history to compute reliable entry and exit zones for this stock.

Technical zones only — derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$0$0$0$0
Operating Income$-466,969$-606,213$-604,923$-707,683
Net Income$-435,675$-520,976$-520,441$-653,798
EPS (Diluted)$-0.16$-0.16$-0.15$-0.19
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Basic Materials

Tradability FilterGrade F — 0/100Score impact: -20.2pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor — it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
0
238K avg/day
Dollar Vol
0
$2M/day
Float
0
297K shares
Mkt Cap
0
$8.8B
Range
0
338% spread
Composite Liquidity Score0/100
FDCBA
very low floatlow dollar volume

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
798M
Bid-Ask Spread
338.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.