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CZR

๐Ÿ›๏ธ Consumer Cyclical

Caesars Entertainment, Inc.

Conservative #1046Aggressive #1237Moderate Risk
$25.05+1.25%
Day High$25.90
Day Low$23.92
Volume18.0M
Mkt Cap$5.1B
52W Low $1852W High $34
Market Cap
$5.0B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
2.1%
Sector avg: 6.3%
Earnings Growth
-80.6%
Profit Margin
-4.4%
Sector avg: -6.5%
Debt/Equity
7.52

Why This Score

CZR scores 31.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High conviction (96/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (12.0%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 7.52) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Minor adjustments (0.0 points) applied. CZR's rank of #1046 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score31.9
Fundamental Score30.6
ML Score17.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
52.5
6 Month
58.7
Primary
1 Year
61.8

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality โ€” weak profitability or high leverage
2 quality flags detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (363.9%) โ€” earnings quality concern
Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 7.5x โ€” balance sheet risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
54
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
67
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
95
Grade A
Base
27.9
SHAP
+0.9
Factors
+0.6
Conviction
+2.4
Final
31.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

42AVG
Value50
Quality23
Growth22
Stability47
Investment67

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)33.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)35.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)80.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-3.4% to +0.8%
Medium-term
-4.8% to +1.5%
Long-term
-6.2% to +2.2%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 17

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score67.2/100
Target Upside+52.6%
Coverage29 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score54.1/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum-0.5%
6M Momentum-0.3%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-13.2%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.71)
Relative Strength vs Sector-46.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.8)
Momentum Quality-0.290
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
21%
Moderate โ€” watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P40
Revenue growth vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector PE Rank
P43
Valuation vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector FCF Rank
P81
Free cash flow vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 31 relative to sector peers31/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 17th percentileP17
Blended score: 80% fundamental (31) + 20% ML (17) = 27.927.9
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 36% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
SHAP feature alignment: +0.9pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: +2.4pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (363.9%) โ€” earnings quality concern; Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 7.5x โ€” balance sheet riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Consumer Cyclical โ€” Rank #90 of 114 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CZR31.9N/A2.1%-4.4%$5.0B
MAR76.937.24.3%9.9%$91.3B
ULTA75.526.20.8%10.6%$30.9B
ABNB75.530.110.3%20.5%$81.6B
ORLY73.132.55.7%14.3%$78.4B
HAS73.016.7-17.3%9.3%$14.0B
GTX71.611.83.1%8.6%$4.1B
ROST71.530.73.7%9.9%$66.4B
DPZ71.121.95.1%12.4%$13.7B
CART69.719.911.0%13.5%$10.0B
EBAY69.618.31.7%19.3%$40.2B
GNTX68.314.30.6%17.5%$5.1B
MCRI66.217.24.4%18.6%$1.7B
CASY65.541.07.3%3.4%$25.3B
AMZN65.527.712.4%10.8%$2.2T
TXRH65.227.616.0%8.1%$12.1B
Sector Average47.436.96.3%-6.5%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Caesars Entertainment, Inc. operates as a gaming and hospitality company in the United States. The company operates casinos comprising poker, keno, and race and online sportsbooks; dining venues, bars, nightclubs, and lounges; hotels; and entertainment venues. It also provides staffing and management services; accessories, souvenirs, and decorative items through retail stores; and online sports betting and iGaming services. As of December 31,2021, the company owned, leased, and managed 52 domestic properties in 16 states, consisting of approximately 55,700 slot machines, video lottery terminals, and e-tables; 2,900 table games; and 47,700 hotel rooms. Caesars Entertainment, Inc. was founded in 1937 and is based in Reno, Nevada.

CEO
Thomas Robert Reeg
Employees
50,000
Beta
1.99
Industry
Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
67.3
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-27.8%
High: $34.68
From 52W Low
+40.3%
Low: $17.86
Moving Averages
10-Day
$21.30
Above
20-Day
$20.90
Above
50-Day
$22.60
Above
200-Day
$24.80
Above
60-Day Support
$17.86
60-Day Resistance
$25.9
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 68/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Transition signal: 1โ†’2
Price vs 200 SMA
+1%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-6.54%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1.54x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
1
Confidence: 50%
Breakout Volume ConfirmedRecent Gap Up

Entry & Exit Zones

Above Entry Zone
$21.70
Stop Entry Now Target
$35.72
Entry Zone
$22.37 โ€“ $23.28
SMA50 pullback zone ($22.37โ€“$23.28)
Exit Target
$34.68
52-week high / +22% target ($34.68)
Stop Level
$24.30
Below SMA200 ($24.3)

Stage 2 uptrend โ€” institutional accumulation phase. SMA50 pullbacks are the highest-probability entry points. Stop below SMA200 preserves capital if trend breaks.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$2.9B$2.9B$2.9B$2.8B
Gross Profit$1.1B$1.1B$1.5B$1.4B
Operating Income$525M$503M$526M$488M
Net Income$-250M$-55M$-82M$-115M
EPS (Diluted)$-1.23$-0.27$-0.39$-0.54
Gross Margin37.3%37.0%51.1%50.5%
Operating Margin18.0%17.5%18.1%17.5%
Net Margin-8.6%-1.9%-2.8%-4.1%

Why This Stock

Consumer CyclicalValuation below sector median

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 95/100Score impact: -14.0pt

Volume
100
6.2M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$124M/day
Float
100
193M shares
Mkt Cap
66
$5.0B
Range
100
103% spread
Composite Liquidity Score95/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$79.91$119.8140%Wide
2022$31.31$97.39102.7%Wide
2023$38.33$60.2744.5%Wide
2024$31.74$48.5741.9%Wide
2025$18.25$40.0074.7%Wide
3-Year Range
107%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
92.6%
Outstanding Shares
208M
Bid-Ask Spread
103.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.