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27

BCAR

🏦 Financial Services

D. Boral ARC Acquisition I Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares

Conservative #1132Aggressive #1200Moderate RiskF↑ 31pt
$10.09-0.05%
Day High$10.10
Day Low$10.08
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$416M
52W Low $1052W High $11
Market Cap
$416M
P/E Ratio
171.4
Sector avg: 26.8
Rev Growth
N/A
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

BCAR scores 27.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 482.8% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.00) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated valuation at 171.4x earnings — requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (20.0%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -18.1 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, BCAR would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score27.9
Fundamental Score47.9
ML Score13.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
1.4
6 Month
1.6
Primary
1 Year
1.7

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality — moderate profitability or leverage
1 quality flag detected — see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Negative ROIC (-0.0%) with high ROE (482.8%) — capital structure distortion (possibly negative equity or one-time gain)

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
50
Basing
Sentiment (2.5%)
39
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
52
Grade Csmall cap, sideways trading
Base
35.9
SHAP
-3.5
Factors
-0.4
Conviction
-1.1
Divergence
-3.0
Final
27.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

40AVG
Value0
Quality48
Growth50
Stability73
Investment30

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)50.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)52.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)60.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage71%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-14.3% to -5.9%
Medium-term
-18.4% to -6.9%
Long-term
-22.5% to -7.9%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 13

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score38.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage1 — Basing
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+0.0%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (0.00)
Relative Strength vs Sector-8.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.0)
Momentum Quality+0.000
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P40
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P2
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P29
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 48 relative to sector peers48/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 13th percentileP13
Blended score: 80% fundamental (48) + 20% ML (13) = 40.940.9
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%Low
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
Conviction adj: -1.1pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Divergence penalty: -3.0pt (ML 35pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Negative ROIC (-0.0%) with high ROE (482.8%) — capital structure distortion (possibly negative equity or one-time gain)Flag
Liquidity penalty: -5.0pt (grade C)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #282 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
BCAR27.9171.4N/A0.0%$416M
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$114.0B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.1B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$9.9B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.2B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.6B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.7B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.6B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$15.3B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.5B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.1B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

No analyst sentiment data available for BCAR.

Company Overviewvia FMP

D. Boral ARC Acquisition I Corp. focuses on effecting a merger, amalgamation, share exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, reorganization, or similar business combination with one or more businesses. The company was incorporated in 2025 and is based in New York, New York. D.

CEO
David Walter Boral
Beta
0.19
Industry
Asset Management
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
25.0
Oversold
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-5.3%
High: $10.65
From 52W Low
+2.1%
Low: $9.88
Moving Averages
10-Day
$10.10
Below
20-Day
$10.10
Below
50-Day
$10.10
Below
200-Day
N/A
60-Day Support
$10
60-Day Resistance
$10.65

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
—
Insufficient technical data
Exit Target
—
—
Stop Level
—
—

Not enough price history to compute reliable entry and exit zones for this stock.

Technical zones only — derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$0$0$0
Gross Profit$0$0$0
Operating Income$-93,665$-41,420$-5,420
Net Income$2M$-41,420$-5,420
EPS (Diluted)$0.06$-0.00$-0.00
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Financial Services

Tradability FilterGrade C — 52/100Score impact: -8.4pt

Volume
82
542K avg/day
Dollar Vol
51
$5M/day
Float
58
28M shares
Mkt Cap
22
$416M
Range
0
8% spread
Composite Liquidity Score52/100
FDCBA
small capsideways trading

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
68.0%
Outstanding Shares
41M
Bid-Ask Spread
8.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.