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AVNW

๐Ÿ’ป Technology

Aviat Networks, Inc.

Conservative #931Aggressive #1068Low RiskMLโ†‘ 16pt
$25.13+1.62%
Day High$25.40
Day Low$24.45
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$324M
52W Low $1652W High $27
Market Cap
$319M
P/E Ratio
21.7
Sector avg: 49.8
Rev Growth
6.5%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
-87.5%
Profit Margin
3.3%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
0.40

Why This Score

AVNW scores 37.6 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Positive but moderate momentum (19%) โ€” steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 15-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (10.4%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -15.0 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, AVNW would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score37.6
Fundamental Score48.7
ML Score48.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
68.7
6 Month
76.8
Primary
1 Year
80.8

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality โ€” weak profitability or high leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
72
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
69
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
28
Grade Dlow volume, low dollar volume
Base
33.6
SHAP
+3.0
Factors
+1.0
Final
37.6
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

55AVG
Value76
Quality28
Growth26
Stability81
Investment64

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)38.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)76.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)85.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+1.7% to +6.3%
Medium-term
+3.5% to +10.6%
Long-term
+5.3% to +14.8%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 48

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score68.8/100
Target Upside+48.0%
Coverage12 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score71.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.2%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+10.5%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.45)
Relative Strength vs Sector+15.7%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (1.8)
Momentum Quality+0.165
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
19%
Moderate โ€” watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P39
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P54
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P57
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 49 relative to sector peers49/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 48th percentileP48
Blended score: 80% fundamental (49) + 20% ML (48) = 48.648.6
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 14% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
SHAP feature alignment: +3.0pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -15.0pt (grade D)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology โ€” Rank #210 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
AVNW37.621.76.5%3.3%$319M
MPWR85.191.721.2%81.0%$56.6B
ZM84.518.03.1%21.7%$22.4B
NVDA80.745.2114.2%55.8%$4.6T
CRUS80.319.16.0%17.5%$7.3B
CSCO78.027.65.3%18.0%$311.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$566.0B
RMBS77.748.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
IDCC77.731.8-4.0%48.8%$9.6B
ADI75.674.116.9%20.6%$173.8B
FSLR75.317.326.7%30.7%$22.3B
SIMO74.59.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
AAPL74.433.16.4%27.0%$4.0T
DBX74.013.91.9%17.7%$6.7B
LRCX73.948.323.7%29.1%$295.9B
TER73.790.95.4%19.2%$53.1B
Sector Average48.149.814.8%-110.0%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy12 analysts
Buy: 9Hold: 3
Price Target
$36consensus
Low $34Median $36High $38
+43.3% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Aviat Networks, Inc. provides wireless transport solutions worldwide. It offers a comprehensive suite of products and localized professional and support services enabling customers to simplify their networks and lives. The company's products and solutions include wireless transmission systems for microwave and millimeter wave networking applications. It serves communications service providers and private network operators, including state/local government, utility, federal government, and defense organizations. The company markets its products through a direct sales, service, and support organization; indirect sales channels comprising dealers, resellers, and sales representatives; and through online. Aviat Networks, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

CEO
Peter A. Smith
Employees
909
Beta
0.86
Industry
Communication Equipment
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
42.5
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-7%
High: $27.02
From 52W Low
+59.1%
Low: $15.8
Moving Averages
10-Day
$24.70
Above
20-Day
$24.60
Above
50-Day
$22.70
Above
200-Day
$22.60
Above
60-Day Support
$20.38
60-Day Resistance
$27.02
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 69/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+11.2%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+4.42%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
18
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025Q3 2025
Revenue$111M$107M$115M$113M
Gross Profit$36M$36M$39M$39M
Operating Income$7M$5M$-12M$9M
Net Income$6M$162,000$5M$4M
EPS (Diluted)$0.44$0.01$0.27$0.27
Gross Margin32.4%33.2%34.2%34.9%
Operating Margin6.5%4.8%-10.6%8.3%
Net Margin5.1%0.2%4.5%3.1%

Why This Stock

TechnologyP/E ratio of 21.7Valuation below sector median (P/E 21.7)

Tradability FilterGrade D โ€” 28/100Score impact: -30.9pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor โ€” it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
23
119K avg/day
Dollar Vol
24
$3M/day
Float
22
12M shares
Mkt Cap
11
$319M
Range
96
71% spread
Composite Liquidity Score28/100
FDCBA
low volumelow dollar volumelow floatsmall cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$23.83$43.7659%Wide
2022$23.88$35.1838.3%Wide
2023$21.15$39.8061.2%Wide
2024$12.96$38.8599.9%Wide
2025$15.80$26.8351.7%Wide
3-Year Range
101.7%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
89.8%
Outstanding Shares
13M
Bid-Ask Spread
71.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.