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46

ANIP

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Conservative #717Aggressive #733Moderate RiskHigh 96
$77.15+1.11%
Day High$77.47
Day Low$75.63
Volume0.2M
Mkt Cap$1.7B
52W Low $5452W High $100
Market Cap
$1.7B
P/E Ratio
41.0
Sector avg: 41.9
Rev Growth
26.2%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-198.6%
Profit Margin
4.6%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.64

Why This Score

ANIP scores 46.5 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Positive but moderate momentum (25%) โ€” steady appreciation without overheating.
  • High conviction (96/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Elevated valuation at 41.0x earnings โ€” requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (15.3%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (-2.0 points) applied. ANIP's rank of #717 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score46.5
Fundamental Score45.1
ML Score42.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
50.8
6 Month
56.8
Primary
1 Year
59.8

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality โ€” weak profitability or high leverage
2 quality flags detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-320.8%) โ€” earnings quality concern
Pipeline concentration: $1.7B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
73
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
68
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
72
Grade Blow float
Base
42.5
SHAP
+1.4
Factors
+0.8
Conviction
+1.8
Final
46.5
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

54AVG
Value51
Quality34
Growth46
Stability69
Investment72

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)40.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)53.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)85.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-5.0% to +1.4%
Medium-term
-7.0% to +2.5%
Long-term
-9.0% to +3.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 42

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score67.5/100
Target Upside+46.2%
Coverage10 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score72.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum+0.3%
6M Momentum-0.2%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+42.3%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.69)
Relative Strength vs Sector+0.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (1.6)
Momentum Quality+0.207
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
2%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P75
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P10
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P88
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 45 relative to sector peers45/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 42th percentileP42
Blended score: 80% fundamental (45) + 20% ML (42) = 44.544.5
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%; Drawdown 17% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
SHAP feature alignment: +1.4pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: +1.8pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-320.8%) โ€” earnings quality concern; Pipeline concentration: $1.7B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary riskFlag
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #103 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
ANIP46.541.026.2%4.6%$1.7B
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, develops, manufactures, and markets branded and generic prescription pharmaceuticals in the United States and Canada. It focuses on producing controlled substances, oncology products, hormones and steroids, injectables, and other formulations. The company manufactures oral solid dose products; semi-solids, liquids, and topicals; and potent products, as well as performs contract development and manufacturing of pharmaceutical products for other companies. It markets its products through retail pharmacy chains, wholesalers, distributors and mail order pharmacies, and group purchasing organizations. The company was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Baudette, Minnesota.

CEO
Nikhil Lalwani
Employees
897
Beta
0.50
Industry
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
36.2
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-22.5%
High: $99.5
From 52W Low
+42.6%
Low: $54.1
Moving Averages
10-Day
$77.20
Below
20-Day
$78.80
Below
50-Day
$80.50
Below
200-Day
$79.60
Below
60-Day Support
$73.8
60-Day Resistance
$87.07
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 28/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Transition signal: 3โ†’4
Price vs 200 SMA
-3.1%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+6.35%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.65x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
11
Confidence: 50%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$228M$211M$197M$191M
Gross Profit$112M$137M$124M$110M
Operating Income$23M$14M$26M$-4M
Net Income$24M$9M$16M$-10M
EPS (Diluted)$1.13$0.36$0.69$-0.55
Gross Margin49.1%64.7%62.9%57.9%
Operating Margin10.0%6.6%13.3%-2.3%
Net Margin10.6%4.0%8.0%-5.4%

Why This Stock

HealthcareRevenue growth 26.2%Valuation below sector median (P/E 41.0)

Tradability FilterGrade B โ€” 72/100Score impact: -3.0pt

Volume
76
456K avg/day
Dollar Vol
89
$34M/day
Float
47
19M shares
Mkt Cap
54
$1.7B
Range
100
84% spread
Composite Liquidity Score72/100
FDCBA
low float

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 6/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$26.10$60.2379.1%Wide
2022$22.31$48.2673.5%Wide
2023$36.54$65.8957.3%Wide
2024$52.50$70.8129.7%Moderate
2025$52.74$99.5061.4%Wide
3-Year Range
92.6%
Narrow Years
1 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.15x dampening
weinstein declining

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
84.6%
Outstanding Shares
22M
Bid-Ask Spread
84.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.