Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.
ULCC scores 23.0 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.
Net penalties of -15.5 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, ULCC would rank considerably higher.
These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.
| Stock | Score | P/E | Rev Growth | Margin | Mkt Cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ULCC | 23.0 | N/A | -1.4% | -3.7% | $1.2B |
| FER | 83.7 | 12.2 | 7.4% | 35.3% | $51.9B |
| NDSN | 76.3 | 35.1 | 3.8% | 17.4% | $16.6B |
| OMAB | 76.1 | 20.1 | 4.3% | 32.7% | $6.2B |
| ODFL | 75.8 | 39.8 | -0.9% | 20.4% | $40.6B |
| FAST | 72.7 | 42.6 | 8.7% | 15.3% | $53.3B |
| WWD | 70.9 | 47.8 | 7.3% | 12.4% | $22.8B |
| CSX | 70.9 | 26.5 | -3.1% | 20.5% | $76.0B |
| LECO | 70.9 | 31.5 | -4.4% | 11.6% | $16.2B |
| CTAS | 70.4 | 41.9 | 7.7% | 17.5% | $77.7B |
| PCAR | 70.4 | 28.2 | -4.2% | 12.4% | $66.7B |
| RYAAY | 69.7 | 13.0 | 3.8% | 11.6% | $34.3B |
| CPRT | 69.1 | 23.0 | 9.7% | 33.4% | $36.3B |
| FELE | 68.5 | 35.5 | -2.1% | 8.9% | $4.8B |
| AEIS | 67.8 | 81.2 | 21.4% | 8.3% | $11.9B |
| IESC | 67.7 | 30.9 | 16.9% | 9.1% | $10.3B |
| Sector Average | 45.2 | 64.5 | 19.0% | -48.2% | â |
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc., a low-fare airline company, provides air transportation for passengers. The company operates an airline that serves approximately 120 airports throughout the United States and international destinations in the Americas. It offers its services through direct distribution channels, including its website, mobile app, and call center. As of December 31, 2021, the company had a fleet of 110 Airbus single-aisle aircraft comprising, 16 A320ceos, 73 A320neos, and 21 A321ceos. Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
Stock is losing momentum near highs. The 200-day SMA is flattening or beginning to turn. Historically, this stage precedes distribution.
| Metric | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $997M | $886M | $929M | $912M |
| Gross Profit | $464M | $402M | $5M | $451M |
| Operating Income | $49M | $-77M | $-75M | $-46M |
| Net Income | $53M | $-77M | $-70M | $-43M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.23 | $-0.34 | $-0.31 | $-0.19 |
| Gross Margin | 46.5% | 45.4% | 0.5% | 49.5% |
| Operating Margin | 4.9% | -8.7% | -8.1% | -5.0% |
| Net Margin | 5.3% | -8.7% | -7.5% | -4.7% |
| Year | Low | High | Range | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $12.62 | $22.70 | 57.1% | Wide |
| 2022 | $8.19 | $15.25 | 60.2% | Wide |
| 2023 | $3.19 | $14.10 | 126.2% | Wide |
| 2024 | $2.79 | $8.33 | 99.6% | Wide |
| 2025 | $2.89 | $10.26 | 112.1% | Wide |
Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.
Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.