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67

TRMB

💻 Technology

Trimble Inc.

Conservative #152Aggressive #242Low RiskMixed 46
Market Cap
$15.8B
P/E Ratio
37.7
Sector avg: 87.8
Rev Growth
-3.0%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
383.3%
Profit Margin
40.8%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
0.26

Why This Score

TRMB scores 66.8 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 26.2% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • High net margin of 40.8%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • ML model assigns a high-conviction signal (91/100), indicating strong pattern recognition across 82 features.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.

Moderate penalties (-3.2 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score66.8
Fundamental Score59.5
ML Score91.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
67.7
6 Month
75.6
Primary
1 Year
79.6

Quality Assessment

F
Earnings Grade
Weak fundamentals or significant quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
50
Basing
Sentiment (2.5%)
59
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
64
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
93
Grade A
Base
65.8
SHAP
+2.4
Factors
+1.5
Conviction
-0.4
Divergence
-2.5
Final
66.8
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

82AVG
Value55
Quality95
Growth90
Stability90
Investment80

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)62.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)53.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)81.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-0.9% to +5.6%
Medium-term
-1.0% to +8.9%
Long-term
-1.0% to +12.3%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 91

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score64.3/100
Target Upside+45.3%
Coverage28 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score58.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage1 — Basing
12M Momentum-0.1%
6M Momentum-0.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+10.1%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.43)
Relative Strength vs Sector-11.3%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (1.0)
Momentum Quality-0.061
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
13%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P13
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P34
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P45
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
-0.3σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 67 relative to sector peers67/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 79th percentileP79
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +2.4pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (67.1) + 9% ML (79.4) + SHAP(+2.4) = 70.6
Factor quality: +1.5pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 7.6%. Max drawdown 21% (-5.1 pts). Price momentum -8% (-0.6 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: +2.0 points ($15.8B market cap)+2.0 pts
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade F: assessed. Score adjusted by -30 pointsGrade F
Quality concern: Non-operating gain: net margin (40.8%) exceeds operating margin (12.5%) by 28pp — likely one-time item; Earnings growth (383%) massively exceeds revenue growth (-3.0%) — earnings spike likely non-recurring; Earnings/revenue growth ratio of Infinityx — earnings quality suspectFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology — Rank #35 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
TRMB66.837.7-3.0%40.8%$15.8B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

No analyst sentiment data available for TRMB.

Why This Stock

TechnologyProfit margin 40.8%

Tradability FilterGrade A — 93/100Score impact: -4.1pt

Volume
100
1.8M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$120M/day
Float
80
0K shares
Mkt Cap
83
$15.8B
Range
93
65% spread
Composite Liquidity Score93/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$66.95$96.4936.1%Wide
2022$47.52$88.0659.8%Wide
2023$39.57$62.0144.2%Wide
2024$48.60$76.9745.2%Wide
2025$52.91$87.5049.3%Wide
3-Year Range
75.4%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.49x dampening
weinstein basingslight revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
65.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.