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TPG

๐Ÿฆ Financial Services

TPG Inc.

Conservative #419Aggressive #137Low RiskMLโ†‘ 39pt
$43.42-3.45%
Day High$43.95
Day Low$41.59
Volume5.3M
Mkt Cap$16.6B
52W Low $3852W High $70
Market Cap
$16.5B
P/E Ratio
41.0
Sector avg: 26.8
Rev Growth
77.9%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
686.0%
Profit Margin
4.4%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
1.45

Why This Score

TPG scores 57.8 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 16.1% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
Risk Factors
  • Elevated valuation at 41.0x earnings โ€” requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.45) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Minor adjustments (0.0 points) applied. TPG's rank of #419 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score57.8
Fundamental Score51.5
ML Score63.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
66.8
6 Month
74.6
Primary
1 Year
78.5

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality โ€” moderate profitability or leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
64
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
63
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
97
Grade A
Base
53.8
SHAP
+2.8
Factors
+1.2
Final
57.8
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

59AVG
Value40
Quality44
Growth100
Stability63
Investment46

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)61.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)53.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)82.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+0.4% to +4.8%
Medium-term
+1.3% to +8.0%
Long-term
+2.2% to +11.2%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 63

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score62.5/100
Target Upside+63.2%
Coverage16 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score63.6/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum-0.1%
6M Momentum-0.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+9.4%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.43)
Relative Strength vs Sector-16.0%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.8)
Momentum Quality-0.055
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P97
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P11
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P34
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
+1.1ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 52 relative to sector peers52/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 63th percentileP63
Blended score: 80% fundamental (52) + 20% ML (63) = 53.853.8
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 22% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +2.8pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services โ€” Rank #135 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
TPG57.841.077.9%4.4%$16.5B
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$114.0B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.1B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$9.9B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.2B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.6B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.7B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.6B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$15.3B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.5B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.1B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy16 analysts
Buy: 8Hold: 8
Price Target
$67consensus
Low $56Median $67High $80
+55.0% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

TPG Inc. operates as an alternative asset manager worldwide. It offers investment management services to unconsolidated funds, collateralized loan obligations, and other vehicles; monitoring services to portfolio companies; advisory services, debt and equity arrangements, and underwriting and placement services; and capital structuring and other advisory services to portfolio companies. The company invests in private equity funds, real estate funds, fund of hedge funds, and credit funds. TPG Inc. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas. TPG Inc. operates as a subsidiary of TPG GP A, LLC.

CEO
Jon Winkelried
Employees
1,900
Beta
1.49
Industry
Asset Management
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
21.7
Oversold
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-38.3%
High: $70.38
From 52W Low
+15.7%
Low: $37.52
Moving Averages
10-Day
$45.20
Below
20-Day
$49.70
Below
50-Day
$58.70
Below
200-Day
$57.10
Below
60-Day Support
$41.28
60-Day Resistance
$70.38
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 9/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Transition signal: 3โ†’4
Price vs 200 SMA
-24%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+5.93%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.7x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
18
Confidence: 50%
Recent Gap Down

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
โ€”
No entry โ€” active downtrend
Exit Target
โ€”
Exit position if held
Stop Level
โ€”
No stop โ€” exit recommended

Stage 4 downtrend โ€” price is below both SMA50 and SMA200 with a declining 200-day average. Capital preservation takes priority. Do not buy into a downtrend.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$1.5B$840M$696M$743M
Gross Profit$1.4B$808M$671M$719M
Operating Income$296M$228M$39M$94M
Net Income$77M$49M$15M$25M
EPS (Diluted)$0.50$0.20$-0.05$0.00
Gross Margin97.2%96.2%96.4%96.8%
Operating Margin19.9%27.2%5.7%12.7%
Net Margin5.2%5.9%2.1%3.4%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesRevenue growth 77.9%

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 97/100Score impact: +11.7pt

Volume
100
2.4M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$100M/day
Float
100
356M shares
Mkt Cap
83
$16.5B
Range
100
88% spread
Composite Liquidity Score97/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2022$23.09$44.4363.2%Wide
2023$24.74$44.4657%Wide
2024$38.20$72.9862.6%Wide
2025$37.52$70.1160.6%Wide
3-Year Range
98.7%
Narrow Years
0 / 4
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
93.0%
Outstanding Shares
383M
Bid-Ask Spread
88.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.