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41

SHEN

📡 Communication Services

Shenandoah Telecommunications Company

Conservative #818Aggressive #68Moderate RiskLow 29ML↑ 21pt
$13.55+0.97%
Day High$13.56
Day Low$13.39
Volume0.2M
Mkt Cap$744M
52W Low $1052W High $16
Market Cap
$739M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
14.2%
Sector avg: 15.8%
Earnings Growth
2268.6%
Profit Margin
-9.0%
Sector avg: -116.3%
Debt/Equity
0.61

Why This Score

SHEN scores 41.0 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Positive but moderate momentum (21%) — steady appreciation without overheating.
  • ML model assigns a high-conviction signal (95/100), indicating strong pattern recognition across 82 features.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.

Net penalties of -15.0 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, SHEN would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score41.0
Fundamental Score39.9
ML Score95.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
53.5
6 Month
59.8
Primary
1 Year
62.9

Quality Assessment

F
Earnings Grade
Weak fundamentals or significant quality concerns
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (350.7%) — earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
20
Topping
Sentiment (2.5%)
74
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
63
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
59
Grade Clow dollar volume
Base
45.8
SHAP
+2.5
Factors
+0.7
Conviction
-2.0
Divergence
-6.0
Final
41.0
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)60.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)54.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)84.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-5.3% to +1.3%
Medium-term
-7.9% to +1.9%
Long-term
-10.5% to +2.5%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 95

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score62.5/100
Target Upside+86.4%
Coverage8 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score74.1/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage3 — Topping
12M Momentum+0.2%
6M Momentum-0.0%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+22.3%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.07)
Relative Strength vs Sector+20.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.2)
Momentum Quality+0.155
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
1%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P76
Revenue growth vs Communication Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P73
Valuation vs Communication Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P3
Free cash flow vs Communication Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.2σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 42 relative to sector peers42/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 63th percentileP63
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +2.5pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (42.3) + 9% ML (61.1) + SHAP(+2.5) = 46.5—
Factor quality: +0.7pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 9.4%. Max drawdown 26% (-7.0 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: -15.0 points ($0.7B market cap)-15.0 pts
Conviction penalty: -2.0pt (conviction=29)—
Divergence penalty: -1.5pt (ML 21pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade F: assessed. Score adjusted by -30 pointsGrade F
Quality concern: Earnings growth (2269%) massively exceeds revenue growth (14.2%) — earnings spike likely non-recurring; Earnings/revenue growth ratio of 160x — earnings quality suspect; High accrual ratio (350.7%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Communication Services — Rank #34 of 60 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
SHEN41.0N/A14.2%-9.0%$739M
GOOGL82.828.315.1%32.8%$3.7T
EA75.175.1-1.3%15.0%$50.2B
MTCH74.512.83.4%15.8%$7.3B
META72.027.222.2%30.1%$1.6T
TIGO69.810.12.5%4.4%$11.0B
BZ65.521.923.6%21.5%$8.1B
NXST65.214.49.6%13.4%$7.0B
SIRI63.69.5-1.6%9.4%$7.2B
CMCSA63.65.9-0.0%16.2%$115.0B
JOYY60.91.9-1.3%83.2%$3.3B
EVER60.610.473.7%8.4%$566M
NFLX59.630.415.9%24.3%$326.1B
TMUS59.322.68.5%12.4%$245.5B
NWS56.712.62.4%12.2%$14.7B
WMG56.451.74.4%5.4%$15.4B
Sector Average43.5120.615.8%-116.3%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy8 analysts
Buy: 4Hold: 4
Price Target
$25consensus
Low $25Median $25High $25
+84.5% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Shenandoah Telecommunications Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides a range of broadband communication services and cell tower colocation space in the Mid-Atlantic portion of the United States. Its Broadband segment offers broadband, video, and voice services to residential and commercial customers in Virginia, West Virginia, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Kentucky, via hybrid fiber coaxial cable under the Shentel brand, fiber optic services under the Glo Fiber brand, and fixed wireless network services under the Beam brand name. This segment leases fiber and provides Ethernet and wavelength fiber optic services. In addition, the company offers voice and digital subscriber line telephone services. The company's Tower segment owns 220 cell towers and leases colocation space on the towers. Shenandoah Telecommunications Company was founded in 1902 and is based in Edinburg, Virginia.

CEO
Edward H. McKay
Employees
1,089
Beta
0.76
Industry
Telecommunications Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
93.7
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-14.5%
High: $15.84
From 52W Low
+40.3%
Low: $9.66
Moving Averages
10-Day
$13.20
Above
20-Day
$12.50
Above
50-Day
$11.90
Above
200-Day
$12.70
Above
60-Day Support
$10.61
60-Day Resistance
$13.56
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 3 — ToppingScore: 31/100

Stock is losing momentum near highs. The 200-day SMA is flattening or beginning to turn. Historically, this stage precedes distribution.

Exercise caution; tighten risk management
Price vs 200 SMA
+6.7%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-0.84%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
0.86x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
11
Confidence: 70%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$90M$89M$88M$85M
Gross Profit$57M$21M$55M$52M
Operating Income$-7M$-9M$-6M$-6M
Net Income$-9M$-11M$-9M$-3M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.20$-0.19$-0.19$-0.11
Gross Margin63.9%23.5%62.4%61.2%
Operating Margin-8.0%-10.1%-6.9%-6.7%
Net Margin-10.5%-11.9%-10.4%-3.2%

Why This Stock

Communication ServicesRevenue growth 14.2%

Tradability FilterGrade C — 59/100Score impact: -18.7pt

Volume
62
322K avg/day
Dollar Vol
41
$4M/day
Float
78
48M shares
Mkt Cap
35
$739M
Range
92
64% spread
Composite Liquidity Score59/100
FDCBA
low dollar volume

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$24.44$61.5386.3%Wide
2022$15.63$26.5851.9%Wide
2023$15.62$25.5148.1%Wide
2024$11.87$22.2760.9%Wide
2025$9.66$15.8448.5%Wide
3-Year Range
90.1%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.15x dampening
weinstein declining

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
87.7%
Outstanding Shares
55M
Bid-Ask Spread
64.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.