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SCHL

📡 Communication Services

Scholastic Corporation

Conservative #421Aggressive #477Low RiskModerate 77
$33.95+3.32%
Day High$34.00
Day Low$32.92
Volume0.3M
Mkt Cap$836M
52W Low $1652W High $36
Market Cap
$798M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
2.3%
Sector avg: 15.8%
Earnings Growth
-115.7%
Profit Margin
-0.2%
Sector avg: -116.3%
Debt/Equity
0.41

Why This Score

SCHL scores 55.2 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High conviction (77/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.

Moderate penalties (-5.0 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score55.2
Fundamental Score54.0
ML Score65.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
59.7
6 Month
66.7
Primary
1 Year
70.2

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (2638.2%) — earnings quality concern
Speculative Classification
Speculative micro-cap — no earnings, sub-$2B market cap, momentum-driven. Position sizing should reflect elevated risk.
Conservative score reduced by 3 points.

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
61
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
58
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
62
Grade B
Base
51.2
SHAP
+3.2
Factors
+0.8
Final
55.2
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)41.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)90.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)67.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-0.4% to +3.9%
Medium-term
+0.3% to +6.9%
Long-term
+1.0% to +9.9%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 65

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score58.3/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage3 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score60.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.6%
6M Momentum+0.4%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+25.1%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.59)
Relative Strength vs Sector+60.7%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.561
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
14%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P42
Revenue growth vs Communication Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P73
Valuation vs Communication Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P32
Free cash flow vs Communication Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 58 relative to sector peers58/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 69th percentileP69
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.2pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (58.0) + 9% ML (67.4) + SHAP(+3.2) = 62.0
Factor quality: +0.8pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 9.9%Low
Market cap adjustment: -15.0 points ($0.8B market cap)-15.0 pts
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (2638.2%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Communication Services — Rank #17 of 60 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
SCHL55.2N/A2.3%-0.2%$798M
GOOGL82.828.315.1%32.8%$3.7T
EA75.175.1-1.3%15.0%$50.2B
MTCH74.512.83.4%15.8%$7.3B
META72.027.222.2%30.1%$1.6T
TIGO69.810.12.5%4.4%$11.0B
BZ65.521.923.6%21.5%$8.1B
NXST65.214.49.6%13.4%$7.0B
SIRI63.69.5-1.6%9.4%$7.2B
CMCSA63.65.9-0.0%16.2%$115.0B
JOYY60.91.9-1.3%83.2%$3.3B
EVER60.610.473.7%8.4%$566M
NFLX59.630.415.9%24.3%$326.1B
TMUS59.322.68.5%12.4%$245.5B
NWS56.712.62.4%12.2%$14.7B
WMG56.451.74.4%5.4%$15.4B
Sector Average43.5120.615.8%-116.3%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Hold3 analysts
Buy: 1Hold: 2

Company Overviewvia FMP

Scholastic Corporation publishes and distributes children's books worldwide. It operates in three segments: Children's Book Publishing and Distribution, Education Solutions, and International. The Children's Book Publishing and Distribution segment publishes and distributes children's books, e-books, media, and interactive products through its school book club and fair channels, as well as trade channels. Its original publications include the Harry Potter, Hunger Games, Bad Guys, Baby-Sitters Club graphic novels, Magic School Bus, Captain Underpants, Dog Man, Wings of Fire, Cat Kid Comic Club, Goosebumps, and Clifford The Big Red Dog; and licensed properties comprise the Peppa Pig and Pokemon. In addition, this segment publishes and creates books plus and novelty products for children, including titles, such as the Pastel Studio, Mini Clay World Candy Cart, LEGO Gear Bots, Never Touch series, and other titles under the Klutz and the Make Believe Ideas names; and non-fiction books under the Children's Press and Franklin Watts names. The Education Solutions segment publishes and distributes classroom magazines under the Scholastic News, Scholastic Scope, Storyworks, Let's Find Out, and Junior Scholastic names; supplemental and classroom materials and programs, and related support services; and print and on-line reference, and non-fiction products, as well as consulting services. The International segment offers original trade and educational publishing programs; distributes children's books, digital educational resources, and other materials through school-based book clubs, school-based book fairs, and trade channels; produces and distributes magazines; and provides online subscription services. The company distributes its products and services directly to schools and libraries through retail stores and the Internet. Scholastic Corporation was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

CEO
Peter Warwick
Employees
4,770
Beta
1.18
Industry
Publishing
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
45.8
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-5.6%
High: $35.98
From 52W Low
+115.3%
Low: $15.77
Moving Averages
10-Day
$33.30
Above
20-Day
$34.00
Below
50-Day
$32.50
Above
200-Day
$26.60
Above
60-Day Support
$26.38
60-Day Resistance
$35.98
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 74/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+27.6%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+17%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.93x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%
Key Reversal Detected (2026-02-12)

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025Q3 2025
Revenue$551M$226M$508M$335M
Gross Profit$309M$86M$284M$164M
Operating Income$92M$-92M$57M$-23M
Net Income$56M$-71M$15M$-4M
EPS (Diluted)$2.17$-2.83$0.59$-0.13
Gross Margin56.1%38.0%55.8%48.9%
Operating Margin16.6%-40.6%11.3%-6.9%
Net Margin10.1%-31.5%3.0%-1.1%

Why This Stock

Communication ServicesValuation below sector median

Tradability FilterGrade B — 62/100Score impact: -13.9pt

Volume
69
389K avg/day
Dollar Vol
65
$13M/day
Float
50
20M shares
Mkt Cap
36
$798M
Range
100
128% spread
Composite Liquidity Score62/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$27.86$41.5039.3%Wide
2022$28.22$48.2852.4%Wide
2023$30.50$47.2543.1%Wide
2024$19.14$40.7472.1%Wide
2025$15.77$31.8667.6%Wide
3-Year Range
99.9%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
82.8%
Outstanding Shares
25M
Bid-Ask Spread
128.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.