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18

SGP

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

SpyGlass Pharma, Inc. Common Stock

Conservative #1301Aggressive #1139Moderate RiskFโ†‘ 43pt
$28.00-1.23%
Day High$28.54
Day Low$27.82
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$933M
52W Low $2052W High $32
Market Cap
$955M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
N/A
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Profit Margin
N/A
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

SGP scores 18.8 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (20.0%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -16.3 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, SGP would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score18.8
Fundamental Score34.4
ML Score18.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
1.3
6 Month
1.4
Primary
1 Year
1.5

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality โ€” moderate profitability or leverage
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $1.0B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
50
Basing
Sentiment (2.5%)
39
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
48
Grade Clow float
Base
23.1
Factors
-0.5
Conviction
-3.5
Divergence
-0.2
Final
18.8
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

52AVG
Value50
Quality50
Growth50
Stability60
Investment50

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)50.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)52.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)60.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage54%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-17.3% to -7.7%
Medium-term
-22.8% to -9.5%
Long-term
-28.3% to -11.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 18

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score38.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage1 โ€” Basing
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+0.0%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (0.00)
Relative Strength vs Sector-24.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.0)
Momentum Quality+0.000
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
8%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P41
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P59
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 34 relative to sector peers34/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 18th percentileP18
Blended score: 80% fundamental (34) + 20% ML (18) = 31.131.1
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%Low
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
Conviction adj: -3.5pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Divergence penalty: -0.2pt (ML 16pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Pipeline concentration: $1.0B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary riskFlag
Data quality penalty: -3.0ptData
Liquidity penalty: -5.0pt (grade C)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #291 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
SGP18.8N/AN/AN/A$955M
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$20.2B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$18.1B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$2.9B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$14.0B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$125.2B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.3B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.8B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$210.2B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$48.0B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$81.3B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$177.8B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

SpyGlass Pharma, Inc. is a late-stage biopharmaceutical, which engages in the development of treatment paradigm for patients living with chronic eye conditions. Its lead product candidate, Bimatoprost Drug Pad-IOL System (BIM-IOL System), is designed to be implanted during routine cataract surgery to reduce elevated intraocular pressure (IOP) for patients who have wither open-angel glaucoma (OAG) or ocular hypertension (OHT). The company was founded in January 2019 by Malik Y. Kahook and Glenn Sussman and is headquartered in Aliso Viejo, CA.

CEO
Patrick Mooney
Beta
0.00
Industry
Biotechnology

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
61.1
Neutral
Trend
N/A
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-13.7%
High: $32.44
From 52W Low
+38.9%
Low: $20.16
Moving Averages
10-Day
$28.80
Below
20-Day
N/A
50-Day
N/A
200-Day
N/A
60-Day Support
$20.16
60-Day Resistance
$32.44

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
โ€”
Insufficient technical data
Exit Target
โ€”
โ€”
Stop Level
โ€”
โ€”

Not enough price history to compute reliable entry and exit zones for this stock.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade C โ€” 48/100Score impact: -30.8pt

Volume
53
232K avg/day
Dollar Vol
54
$7M/day
Float
16
10M shares
Mkt Cap
40
$955M
Range
90
61% spread
Composite Liquidity Score48/100
FDCBA
low float

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
29.4%
Outstanding Shares
33M
Bid-Ask Spread
61.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.