SAIC

💻 Technology

Science Applications International Corporation

Conservative #718Aggressive #880Moderate RiskHigh 100

Market Cap

$4.1B

P/E Ratio

11.3

Sector avg: 87.8

Rev Growth

0.5%

Sector avg: 14.8%

Earnings Growth

-24.1%

Profit Margin

5.0%

Sector avg: -110.0%

Debt/Equity

1.86

Why This Score

SAIC scores 44.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths

Strong profitability: ROE of 24.3% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
Attractively valued at 11.3x earnings, below the market average.
High conviction (100/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.

Risk Factors

Elevated leverage (D/E 1.86) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Minor adjustments (-0.9 points) applied. SAIC's rank of #718 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score44.7

Fundamental Score40.5

ML Score46.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month

60.3

6 Month

67.4

Primary

1 Year

70.9

Quality Assessment

Earnings Grade

Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation

Confidence

high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score

Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)

Weinstein (12.1%)

Basing

Sentiment (2.5%)

Neutral

Analyst (6.4%)

Neutral

Tradability (post-hoc)

Grade A

Base

40.7

SHAP

+1.6

Factors

+0.6

Conviction

+1.9

Final

44.7

Positive adjustment

Negative adjustment

Base blend

Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)46.0

Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)47.0

External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)77.0

Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score

Features

Confidence

Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term

-1.5% to +2.6%

Medium-term

-1.7% to +4.5%

Long-term

-2.0% to +6.3%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 46

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence

Consensus Score59.7/100

Target Upside+26.0%

Coverage18 analysts

Market Sentiment

Sentiment Score48.2/100

News Volume1 articles

Technical Stage

Weinstein Stage1 — Basing

12M Momentum-0.1%

6M Momentum-0.3%

Volatility+0.1%

Momentum & Technical

Momentum Acceleration+14.8%

Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.43)

Relative Strength vs Sector-14.7%

Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (1.1)

Momentum Quality-0.080

Momentum BreadthNarrow

Macro Regime

Bull RegimeYes

High Vol RegimeNo

S&P 500 Return+25.0%

Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal

49%

High risk — cheap + stagnating

Sector RevGr Rank

P21

Revenue growth vs Technology peers

Sector PE Rank

P71

Valuation vs Technology peers

Sector FCF Rank

P87

Free cash flow vs Technology peers

Growth Deviation

-0.2σ

Z-score vs sector median

Stagnation Flag

YES

Below-sector growth + cheap PE

Value trap warning: This stock scores in the top quartile for value trap risk. The combination of below-sector-median revenue growth, low PE, and high free cash flow yield suggests the market is pricing in stagnation. The ML model's sector-relative features (trained on 30 years of data) reduce this stock's score accordingly.

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors

Fundamental score of 72 relative to sector peers72/100

Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 70th percentileP70

ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight

SHAP feature alignment: +3.1pt (features align with model priorities)—

Blend: 91% fund (71.8) + 9% ML (70.0) + SHAP(+3.1) = 74.7—

Factor quality: +1.1pt (multi-factor composite)—

Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 9.7%. Max drawdown 28% (-8.0 pts). Price momentum -11% (-1.2 pts)Moderate

Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($4.1B market cap)+0.5 pts

Conviction bonus: +3.6pt (conviction=100)—

Risk Factors

Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -8 pointsGrade B

Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-25.6%) — earnings quality concern; High leverage: D/E ratio of 1.9x — elevated balance sheet riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology — Rank #162 of 289 stocks)

Stock	Score	P/E	Rev Growth	Margin	Mkt Cap
SAICScience Applications International Corporation	44.7	11.3	0.5%	5.0%	$4.1B
MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc.	84.8	91.7	21.2%	81.0%	$57.1B
ZMZoom Communications, Inc.	84.2	18.0	3.1%	21.7%	$27.7B
NVDANVIDIA Corporation	80.6	45.2	114.2%	55.8%	$4.5T
CRUSCirrus Logic, Inc.	79.7	19.1	6.0%	17.5%	$7.4B
ASMLASML Holding N.V. - New York Re	77.8	48.1	15.6%	29.4%	$546.0B
IDCCInterDigital, Inc.	77.4	31.8	-4.0%	48.8%	$9.7B
CSCOCisco Systems, Inc.	77.1	27.6	5.3%	18.0%	$303.6B
RMBSRambus, Inc.	75.5	48.3	20.7%	32.3%	$11.0B
DBXDropbox, Inc.	75.3	13.9	1.9%	17.7%	$6.4B
FSLRFirst Solar, Inc.	75.0	17.3	26.7%	30.7%	$24.2B
SIMOSilicon Motion Technology Corporation	74.7	9.2	10.2%	13.8%	$4.5B
ADIAnalog Devices, Inc.	74.3	74.1	16.9%	20.6%	$165.1B
AAPLApple Inc.	72.5	33.1	6.4%	27.0%	$3.9T
OLEDUniversal Display Corporation	72.5	27.0	12.4%	34.3%	$5.9B
AMATApplied Materials, Inc.	72.3	36.4	4.4%	24.7%	$281.7B
Sector Average	47.4	87.8	14.8%	-110.0%	—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

No analyst sentiment data available for SAIC.

Why This Stock

TechnologyP/E ratio of 11.3Valuation below sector median (P/E 11.3)

Tradability FilterGrade A — 84/100Score impact: -8.5pt

Volume

675K avg/day

Dollar Vol

100

$58M/day

Float

45M shares

Mkt Cap

$4.1B

Range

53% spread

Composite Liquidity Score84/100

FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 10/100

Year	Low	High	Range	Status
2021	$77.65	$98.95	24.1%	Narrow
2022	$78.10	$117.94	40.6%	Wide
2023	$95.43	$136.05	35.1%	Wide
2024	$108.90	$156.34	35.8%	Wide
2025	$84.16	$124.11	38.4%	Wide

3-Year Range

60%

Narrow Years

1 / 5

Sideways Penalty

None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening

weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float

97.2%

Outstanding Shares

46M

Bid-Ask Spread

53.0%

Institutional Tradable

Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.