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OPRA

๐Ÿ“ก Communication Services

Opera Limited

Conservative #708Aggressive #1042Moderate RiskHigh 99
$14.35+14.89%
Day High$14.60
Day Low$14.00
Volume0.4M
Mkt Cap$1.3B
52W Low $1252W High $21
Market Cap
$1.1B
P/E Ratio
13.5
Sector avg: 120.6
Rev Growth
21.1%
Sector avg: 15.8%
Earnings Growth
-47.3%
Profit Margin
13.9%
Sector avg: -116.3%
Debt/Equity
0.01

Why This Score

OPRA scores 45.0 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Attractively valued at 13.5x earnings, below the market average.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.01) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • High conviction (99/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (13.6%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-3.8 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score45.0
Fundamental Score50.2
ML Score23.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
63.2
6 Month
70.6
Primary
1 Year
74.3

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns
Quality Flags
Low FCF/NI ratio (0.12) with 13.9% net margin โ€” reported earnings may not be cash-backed

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
60
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
64
Grade B
Base
42.8
SHAP
+1.6
Factors
+0.6
Conviction
+1.8
Divergence
-1.8
Final
45.0
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)55.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)38.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)84.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-1.6% to +2.4%
Medium-term
-2.0% to +4.2%
Long-term
-2.4% to +5.9%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 23

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+78.7%
Coverage7 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score60.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum-0.3%
6M Momentum-0.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-8.7%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.71)
Relative Strength vs Sector-30.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.2)
Momentum Quality-0.183
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
2%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P87
Revenue growth vs Communication Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P40
Valuation vs Communication Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P39
Free cash flow vs Communication Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.3ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 79 relative to sector peers79/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 74th percentileP74
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.1pt (features align with model priorities)โ€”
Blend: 91% fund (79.0) + 9% ML (73.6) + SHAP(+3.1) = 81.6โ€”
Factor quality: +1.1pt (multi-factor composite)โ€”
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 13.6%. Max drawdown 40% (-12.0 pts). Price momentum -30% (-5.1 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: -8.0 points ($1.1B market cap)-8.0 pts
Conviction bonus: +3.5pt (conviction=99)โ€”
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -7 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: Low FCF/NI ratio (0.12) with 13.9% net margin โ€” reported earnings may not be cash-backedFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Communication Services โ€” Rank #29 of 60 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
OPRA45.013.521.1%13.9%$1.1B
GOOGL82.828.315.1%32.8%$3.7T
EA75.175.1-1.3%15.0%$50.2B
MTCH74.512.83.4%15.8%$7.3B
META72.027.222.2%30.1%$1.6T
TIGO69.810.12.5%4.4%$11.0B
BZ65.521.923.6%21.5%$8.1B
NXST65.214.49.6%13.4%$7.0B
SIRI63.69.5-1.6%9.4%$7.2B
CMCSA63.65.9-0.0%16.2%$115.0B
JOYY60.91.9-1.3%83.2%$3.3B
EVER60.610.473.7%8.4%$566M
NFLX59.630.415.9%24.3%$326.1B
TMUS59.322.68.5%12.4%$245.5B
NWS56.712.62.4%12.2%$14.7B
WMG56.451.74.4%5.4%$15.4B
Sector Average43.5120.615.8%-116.3%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy7 analysts
Buy: 7
Price Target
$22consensus
Low $22Median $22High $22
+49.8% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Opera Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides mobile and PC web browsers. It operates in two segments, Browser and News, and Other. The company offers mobile browser products, such as Opera Mini, Opera for Android and iOS, Opera GX Mobile, and Opera Touch; PC browsers, including Opera for Computers and Opera GX; and Opera News, an AI-powered personalized news discovery and aggregation service. It also provides browser-based cashback rewards under the Dify brand name; owns GameMaker Studio, a 2D gaming development platform; and GXC, a gaming portal. In addition, the company operates online marketing platforms, including Opera Ads, an online advertising platform; and Opera Ads Manager, designs to create, manage, and report on digital advertising campaigns in one place allowing advertisers to reach customers. It operates in Ireland, Singapore, Russia, and internationally. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Oslo, Norway. Opera Limited is a subsidiary of Kunlun Tech Limited.

CEO
Lin Song
Employees
599
Beta
1.10
Industry
Internet Content & Information
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
73.2
Overbought
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-32.3%
High: $21.06
From 52W Low
+21.7%
Low: $11.71
Moving Averages
10-Day
$12.50
Above
20-Day
$12.70
Above
50-Day
$13.50
Above
200-Day
$16.10
Below
60-Day Support
$11.71
60-Day Resistance
$15.5
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 17/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-11.5%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-6.17%
Falling
Volume Ratio
0.8x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
98
Confidence: 90%
Recent Gap Up

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$152M$143M$143M$146M
Gross Profit$99M$92M$92M$98M
Operating Income$22M$18M$21M$28M
Net Income$19M$16M$18M$29M
EPS (Diluted)$0.20$0.17$0.20$0.32
Gross Margin65.4%64.4%64.5%67.2%
Operating Margin14.7%12.7%14.8%18.9%
Net Margin12.3%11.0%12.8%19.7%

Why This Stock

Communication ServicesP/E ratio of 13.5Revenue growth 21.1%Profit margin 13.9%Valuation below sector median (P/E 13.5)

Tradability FilterGrade B โ€” 64/100Score impact: -6.3pt

Volume
87
679K avg/day
Dollar Vol
56
$8M/day
Float
40
0K shares
Mkt Cap
41
$1.1B
Range
100
80% spread
Composite Liquidity Score64/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$6.58$13.4468.5%Wide
2022$3.92$7.8166.3%Wide
2023$5.86$28.58131.9%Wide
2024$10.11$20.7068.7%Wide
2025$12.62$22.5056.3%Wide
3-Year Range
131.9%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
80.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.