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OFSSH

🏦 Financial Services

OFS Capital Corporation 4.95% Notes due 2028

Conservative #830Aggressive #1096Low RiskML↑ 16pt
$23.66-0.80%
Day High$23.66
Day Low$23.66
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$317M
52W Low $2252W High $24
Market Cap
$320M
P/E Ratio
17.3
Sector avg: 26.8
Rev Growth
-15.8%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
6216.6%
Profit Margin
8.4%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.43

Why This Score

OFSSH scores 42.4 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Low volatility (0.8% annualized) — well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (10%) — steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.

Net penalties of -30.0 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, OFSSH would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score42.4
Fundamental Score68.7
ML Score67.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
63.0
6 Month
70.5
Primary
1 Year
74.2

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality — weak profitability or high leverage
1 quality flag detected — see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
False stability: 0.008 vol with only -15.8% revenue growth — stagnation, not safety (declining revenue overrides sector exemption)

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
43
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
0
Grade Fvery low volume, very low dollar volume
Base
38.4
SHAP
+3.5
Factors
+0.5
Final
42.4
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

66AVG
Value83
Quality37
Growth54
Stability94
Investment62

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)55.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)82.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)61.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-3.2% to +2.8%
Medium-term
-4.5% to +4.6%
Long-term
-5.9% to +6.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 67

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score42.6/100
News Volume0 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.1%
6M Momentum+0.0%
Volatility+0.0%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+5.5%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.47)
Relative Strength vs Sector+1.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.0)
Momentum Quality+0.102
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
27%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P8
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P44
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P68
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.3σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged
Value trap warning: This stock scores in the top quartile for value trap risk. The combination of below-sector-median revenue growth, low PE, and high free cash flow yield suggests the market is pricing in stagnation. The ML model's sector-relative features (trained on 30 years of data) reduce this stock's score accordingly.

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 69 relative to sector peers69/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 67th percentileP67
Blended score: 80% fundamental (69) + 20% ML (67) = 68.468.4
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.0%; Drawdown 1% → 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
SHAP feature alignment: +3.5pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors
Quality concern: False stability: 0.008 vol with only -15.8% revenue growth — stagnation, not safety (declining revenue overrides sector exemption)Flag
Liquidity penalty: -25.0pt (grade F)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #234 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
OFSSH42.417.3-15.8%8.4%$320M
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$114.0B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.1B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$9.9B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.2B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.6B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.7B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.6B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$15.3B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.5B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.1B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

No analyst sentiment data available for OFSSH.

Company Overviewvia FMP

OFS Capital Corporation, formerly OFS Capital, LLC (OFS Capital), is an externally managed, closed-end, non-diversified management investment company. Its investment objective is to provide its stockholders with both current income and capital appreciation primarily through debt investments and equity investments. As of June 30, 2012, its investment portfolio included investments held by its wholly owned subsidiary, OFS Capital WM, LLC (OFS Capital WM) and Tamarix Capital Partners, L.P. It focuses to continue to pursue an investment strategy focused on investments in middle-market companies in the United States. OFS Capital Management, LLC will serve as its external manager. OFS Capital Services, LLC will serve as its administrator. On December 4, 2013, the Company acquired Tamarix Capital Partners, L.P., as a result it became the wholly owned drop-down subsidiary of the Company

CEO
Bilal Rashid
Employees
51
Beta
0.89
Industry
Asset Management
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
100.0
Overbought
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-0.8%
High: $24.05
From 52W Low
+7.9%
Low: $22.1
Moving Averages
10-Day
$23.80
Above
20-Day
$23.80
Above
50-Day
$23.80
Above
200-Day
$23.40
Above
60-Day Support
$23.34
60-Day Resistance
$24.05
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 59/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+1.9%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+1.51%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
0.1x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Entry & Exit Zones

In Entry Zone RSI overbought
$22.24
Stop Entry Now Target
$30.20
Entry Zone
$23.56 – $24.51
SMA50 pullback zone ($23.56–$24.51)
Exit Target
$29.32
52-week high / +22% target ($29.32)
Stop Level
$22.93
Below SMA200 ($22.93)
Risk / Reward:1 : 4.78Favorable

Stage 2 uptrend — institutional accumulation phase. SMA50 pullbacks are the highest-probability entry points. Stop below SMA200 preserves capital if trend breaks.

Technical zones only — derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$6M$10M$10M$12M
Gross Profit$4M$-9M$-6M$27M
Operating Income$-13,000$-10M$-7M$25M
Net Income$-5M$-10M$-7M$25M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.40$-0.72$-0.54$1.90
Gross Margin59.3%-81.9%-60.2%228.1%
Operating Margin-0.2%-91.9%-70.8%218.7%
Net Margin-90.2%-91.9%-70.8%218.7%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 17.3

Tradability FilterGrade F — 0/100Score impact: -26.6pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor — it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
0
1K avg/day
Dollar Vol
0
$23K/day
Float
0
0K shares
Mkt Cap
0
$320M
Range
0
9% spread
Composite Liquidity Score0/100
FDCBA
very low volumevery low dollar volumesmall caprange bound

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Range-BoundSideways: 100/100
Range-Bound Stock

This stock has traded in a compressed range for 4 of the last 4 years (3-year range: 15%). Range-bound stocks may indicate limited upside potential. A -5pt penalty has been applied.

YearLowHighRangeStatus
2022$19.41$25.7328%Moderate
2023$20.45$22.489.5%Narrow
2024$21.45$22.665.5%Narrow
2025$22.10$23.777.3%Narrow
3-Year Range
15%
Narrow Years
4 / 4
Sideways Penalty
-5pt

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.15x dampening
severe revenue declinestagnation flagrange bound

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
9.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.