Great Elm Capital Corp. 8.50% Notes DUE 2029
GECCI scores 12.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.
Net penalties of -35.2 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, GECCI would rank considerably higher.
These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.
| Stock | Score | P/E | Rev Growth | Margin | Mkt Cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GECCI | 12.9 | N/A | -24.8% | -15.1% | $355M |
| CME | 86.4 | 27.2 | 9.9% | 57.5% | $114.0B |
| FHB | 84.9 | 11.8 | 3.2% | 24.2% | $3.1B |
| ACT | 84.5 | 8.9 | 2.4% | 54.6% | $6.1B |
| CINF | 84.2 | 10.7 | 11.4% | 18.9% | $25.4B |
| SEIC | 82.2 | 14.0 | 10.7% | 27.3% | $9.9B |
| TROW | 79.9 | 10.1 | 3.1% | 28.5% | $20.5B |
| QQQX | 79.7 | 10.4 | 48.6% | 257.3% | $1.4B |
| IBOC | 78.2 | 10.6 | 7.5% | 40.1% | $4.2B |
| HWC | 77.8 | 12.2 | -1.5% | 24.1% | $5.6B |
| FFIN | 77.5 | 18.8 | 11.7% | 30.7% | $4.7B |
| TRMK | 77.1 | 11.9 | 34.8% | 19.3% | $2.6B |
| NMIH | 77.1 | 7.7 | 8.4% | 55.1% | $3.0B |
| EWBC | 76.7 | 12.7 | 4.6% | 28.3% | $15.3B |
| WSFS | 76.3 | 12.8 | -3.1% | 21.1% | $3.5B |
| MCHB | 76.1 | N/A | 123.7% | 23.2% | $3.1B |
| Sector Average | 47.5 | 26.8 | 13.4% | -2.8% | â |
Great Elm Capital Corp. is a business development company which specializes in loan and mezzanine, middle market investments. It invests in the debt instruments of middle market companies. The fund prefers to invest in media, commercial services and supplies, healthcare, telecommunication services, communications equipment. It typically makes equity investments between $3 million and $10 million in companies with revenues between $3 million and $75 million.
Stock is losing momentum near highs. The 200-day SMA is flattening or beginning to turn. Historically, this stage precedes distribution.
Stage 3 distribution â institutional selling pressure is building. Avoid new positions. If already holding, consider reducing and tightening stops below SMA50.
| Metric | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $8M | $8M | $8M |
| Gross Profit | $7M | $8M | $8M |
| Operating Income | $6M | $7M | $7M |
| Net Income | $3M | $6M | $5M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-1.79 | $1.02 | $0.04 |
| Gross Margin | 92.3% | 94.2% | 94.7% |
| Operating Margin | 85.6% | 89.4% | 90.2% |
| Net Margin | 35.2% | 74.9% | 58.3% |
This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor â it is a practical tradability overlay).
This stock has traded in a compressed range for 2 of the last 2 years (3-year range: 4.6%). Range-bound stocks may indicate limited upside potential. A -5pt penalty has been applied.
| Year | Low | High | Range | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $24.57 | $25.70 | 4.5% | Narrow |
| 2025 | $24.75 | $25.72 | 3.8% | Narrow |
Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.
Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.