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40

NEWTI

🏦 Financial Services

NewtekOne, Inc. 8.00% Fixed Rate Senior Notes due 2028

Conservative #866Aggressive #1071Low RiskML↑ 43pt
$24.92-1.74%
Day High$24.96
Day Low$24.91
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$320M
52W Low $2452W High $26
Market Cap
$324M
P/E Ratio
5.4
Sector avg: 26.8
Rev Growth
1.0%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
19.0%
Profit Margin
17.6%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
5.64

Why This Score

NEWTI scores 40.5 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 17.3% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • Attractively valued at 5.4x earnings, below the market average.
  • Low volatility (1.0% annualized) — well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 5.64) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Net penalties of -25.0 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, NEWTI would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score40.5
Fundamental Score62.3
ML Score58.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
60.2
6 Month
67.3
Primary
1 Year
70.8

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality — moderate profitability or leverage
3 quality flags detected — see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (976.0%) — earnings quality concern
False stability: 0.010 vol with only 1.0% revenue growth — stagnation, not safety
Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 5.6x — balance sheet risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
50
Basing
Sentiment (2.5%)
42
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
0
Grade Fvery low volume, very low dollar volume
Base
36.5
SHAP
+3.5
Factors
+0.5
Final
40.5
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

57AVG
Value92
Quality53
Growth55
Stability72
Investment13

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)57.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)82.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)61.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-2.3% to +1.7%
Medium-term
-2.9% to +3.1%
Long-term
-3.7% to +4.3%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 58

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score42.3/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage1 — Basing
12M Momentum+0.1%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.0%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+3.6%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.62)
Relative Strength vs Sector+0.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.094
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P42
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P96
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P1
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 62 relative to sector peers62/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 58th percentileP58
Blended score: 80% fundamental (62) + 20% ML (58) = 61.461.4
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.0%; Drawdown 1% → 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +3.5pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (976.0%) — earnings quality concern; False stability: 0.010 vol with only 1.0% revenue growth — stagnation, not safety; Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 5.6x — balance sheet riskFlag
Liquidity penalty: -25.0pt (grade F)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #245 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
NEWTI40.55.41.0%17.6%$324M
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$114.0B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.1B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$9.9B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.2B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.6B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.7B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.6B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$15.3B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.5B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.1B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

No analyst sentiment data available for NEWTI.

Company Overviewvia FMP

NewtekOne, Inc. is a financial holding company, which engages in the provision of business and financial solutions. Its brands include Newtek Bank, Newtek Lending, Newtek Payments, Newtek Insurance, Newtek Payroll, and Newtek Technology. The company was founded by Barry Sloane in 1998 and is headquartered in Boca Raton, FL.

CEO
Barry Sloane
Employees
591
Beta
1.32
Industry
Financial - Credit Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
36.1
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-3.5%
High: $25.82
From 52W Low
+4.3%
Low: $23.9
Moving Averages
10-Day
$25.30
Below
20-Day
$25.30
Below
50-Day
$25.30
Below
200-Day
$25.10
Below
60-Day Support
$24.7
60-Day Resistance
$25.5
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 1 — BasingScore: 30/100

Stock is building a base after a decline. The 200-day moving average is flattening. Watch for a breakout above the 200-day SMA on increased volume.

Monitor for breakout above 200-day SMA on volume
Transition signal: 1→2
Price vs 200 SMA
-0.7%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+0.38%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
3.28x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
1
Confidence: 80%
Recent Gap Down

Entry & Exit Zones

In Entry Zone
$23.24
Stop Entry Now Target
$30.80
Entry Zone
$24.60 – $25.60
Near SMA200 base ($24.6–$25.6)
Exit Target
$29.90
Prior high / breakout target ($29.9)
Stop Level
$23.96
60-day low ($23.96)
Risk / Reward:1 : 4.21Favorable

Stage 1 base-building — stock is consolidating above long-term support. Entry near SMA200 offers a defined risk level. Wait for volume confirmation before sizing up.

Technical zones only — derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$75M$95M$88M$86M
Gross Profit$55M$63M$57M$48M
Operating Income$40M$25M$19M$12M
Net Income$20M$18M$14M$9M
EPS (Diluted)$0.76$0.70$0.52$0.35
Gross Margin72.5%66.1%64.1%56.4%
Operating Margin53.4%26.4%21.2%13.6%
Net Margin26.0%18.8%15.5%10.9%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 5.4Profit margin 17.6%

Tradability FilterGrade F — 0/100Score impact: -14.4pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor — it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
0
4K avg/day
Dollar Vol
0
$97K/day
Float
0
12M shares
Mkt Cap
0
$324M
Range
0
8% spread
Composite Liquidity Score0/100
FDCBA
very low volumevery low dollar volumelow floatsmall capsideways trading

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
stagnation flag

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
93.8%
Outstanding Shares
13M
Bid-Ask Spread
8.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.