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40

MNRO

๐Ÿ›๏ธ Consumer Cyclical

Monro, Inc.

Conservative #871Aggressive #798Moderate Risk
$21.63-2.61%
Day High$22.65
Day Low$21.38
Volume0.8M
Mkt Cap$649M
52W Low $1252W High $24
Market Cap
$684M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
N/A
Sector avg: 6.3%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Profit Margin
-1.1%
Sector avg: -6.5%
Debt/Equity
0.80

Why This Score

MNRO scores 40.4 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High conviction (75/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (14.7%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (-2.0 points) applied. MNRO's rank of #871 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score40.4
Fundamental Score41.8
ML Score28.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
59.9
6 Month
67.0
Primary
1 Year
70.5

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality โ€” significant fundamental weaknesses
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (716.1%) โ€” earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
69
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
59
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
73
Grade B
Base
37.1
SHAP
+2.3
Factors
+1.0
Final
40.4
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

52AVG
Value50
Quality19
Growth50
Stability69
Investment74

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)47.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)85.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)82.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage88%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+0.9% to +5.5%
Medium-term
+2.3% to +9.3%
Long-term
+3.7% to +13.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 28

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score59.4/100
Target Upside+28.9%
Coverage24 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score69.3/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.4%
6M Momentum+0.5%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-5.5%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.88)
Relative Strength vs Sector+41.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.9)
Momentum Quality+0.347
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
20%
Moderate โ€” watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P27
Revenue growth vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector PE Rank
P43
Valuation vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector FCF Rank
P63
Free cash flow vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Growth Deviation
-0.2ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 42 relative to sector peers42/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 28th percentileP28
Blended score: 80% fundamental (42) + 20% ML (28) = 39.039.0
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 18% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered โ€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +2.3pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (716.1%) โ€” earnings quality concernFlag
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Consumer Cyclical โ€” Rank #80 of 114 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
MNRO40.4N/AN/A-1.1%$684M
MAR76.937.24.3%9.9%$93.0B
ULTA75.526.20.8%10.6%$31.0B
ABNB75.530.110.3%20.5%$81.8B
ORLY73.132.55.7%14.3%$77.0B
HAS73.016.7-17.3%9.3%$14.1B
GTX71.611.83.1%8.6%$4.0B
ROST71.530.73.7%9.9%$66.4B
DPZ71.121.95.1%12.4%$13.7B
CART69.719.911.0%13.5%$9.9B
EBAY69.618.31.7%19.3%$39.7B
GNTX68.314.30.6%17.5%$5.2B
MCRI66.217.24.4%18.6%$1.8B
CASY65.541.07.3%3.4%$25.2B
AMZN65.527.712.4%10.8%$2.2T
TXRH65.227.616.0%8.1%$12.2B
Sector Average47.436.96.3%-6.5%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Monro, Inc. provides automotive undercar repair, and tire sales and services in the United States. It offers replacement tires and tire related services; routine maintenance services on passenger cars, light trucks, and vans; products and services for brakes; mufflers and exhaust systems; and steering, drive train, suspension, and wheel alignment. The company also provides automotive undercar repair services, including tire replacement sales, and tire related service. The company operates its stores under the brand names of Monro Auto Service and Tire Centers, Tire Choice Auto Service Centers, Mr. Tire Auto Service Centers, Car-X Tire & Auto, Tire Warehouse Tires for Less, Ken Towery's Tire & Auto Care, Mountain View Tire & Auto Service, Tire Barn Warehouse, and Free Service Tire & Auto Centers. As of March 26, 2022, it operated 1,304 company-operated stores, 76 Car-X franchised locations, seven wholesale locations, and three retread facilities in 32 states. The company was formerly known as Monro Muffler Brake, Inc. and changed its name to Monro, Inc. in August 2017. Monro, Inc. was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Rochester, New York.

CEO
Peter D. Fitzsimmons
Employees
7,660
Beta
1.02
Industry
Auto - Parts
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
61.4
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-9.5%
High: $23.91
From 52W Low
+77.3%
Low: $12.2
Moving Averages
10-Day
$22.70
Below
20-Day
$21.40
Above
50-Day
$20.90
Above
200-Day
$17.60
Above
60-Day Support
$18.3
60-Day Resistance
$23.91
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 84/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+22.9%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+8.98%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.03x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
77
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025
Revenue$293M$289M$301M$295M
Gross Profit$102M$103M$107M$97M
Operating Income$19M$13M$-6M$1M
Net Income$11M$6M$-8M$-21M
EPS (Diluted)$0.35$0.18$-0.28$-0.72
Gross Margin34.9%35.7%35.5%33.0%
Operating Margin6.3%4.4%-2.0%0.5%
Net Margin3.8%2.0%-2.7%-7.2%

Why This Stock

Consumer CyclicalValuation below sector median

Tradability FilterGrade B โ€” 73/100Score impact: -22.0pt

Volume
92
804K avg/day
Dollar Vol
76
$18M/day
Float
54
24M shares
Mkt Cap
34
$684M
Range
100
96% spread
Composite Liquidity Score73/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$53.62$72.6730.2%Moderate
2022$37.49$59.9846.1%Wide
2023$22.72$55.7084.1%Wide
2024$21.00$33.9847.2%Wide
2025$12.20$25.1469.3%Wide
3-Year Range
128.1%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
79.0%
Outstanding Shares
30M
Bid-Ask Spread
96.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.