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MMYT

๐Ÿ›๏ธ Consumer Cyclical

MakeMyTrip Limited

Conservative #749Aggressive #949Moderate RiskMLโ†‘ 33pt
$56.47-2.60%
Day High$57.48
Day Low$55.60
Volume0.5M
Mkt Cap$5.4B
52W Low $5352W High $114
Market Cap
$5.4B
P/E Ratio
108.2
Sector avg: 36.9
Rev Growth
25.0%
Sector avg: 6.3%
Earnings Growth
-56.1%
Profit Margin
9.7%
Sector avg: -6.5%
Debt/Equity
0.20

Why This Score

MMYT scores 45.6 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Elevated valuation at 108.2x earnings โ€” requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (10.0%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (-3.0 points) applied. MMYT's rank of #749 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score45.6
Fundamental Score46.7
ML Score36.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
82.6
6 Month
92.4
Primary
1 Year
97.2

Quality Assessment

B
Quality Grade
Good quality โ€” solid metrics, minor concerns possible
Country Risk:
Score penalty of points applied for domicile risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
57
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
68
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
93
Grade A
Base
41.6
SHAP
+2.2
Factors
+1.8
Final
45.6
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

58AVG
Value40
Quality70
Growth35
Stability90
Investment55

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)41.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)31.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)81.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+9.7% to +15.5%
Medium-term
+15.1% to +24.1%
Long-term
+21.9% to +34.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 36

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score68.2/100
Target Upside+65.1%
Coverage11 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score57.3/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum-0.4%
6M Momentum-0.4%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+1.5%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.97)
Relative Strength vs Sector-42.7%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (4.2)
Momentum Quality-0.223
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P91
Revenue growth vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector PE Rank
P4
Valuation vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector FCF Rank
P32
Free cash flow vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Growth Deviation
+1.2ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 47 relative to sector peers47/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 36th percentileP36
Blended score: 80% fundamental (47) + 20% ML (36) = 44.644.6
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 46% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade B
SHAP feature alignment: +2.2pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors
Country risk: India (3pt penalty, source: data_provider)Country

Sector Peer Comparison(Consumer Cyclical โ€” Rank #64 of 114 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
MMYT45.6108.225.0%9.7%$5.4B
MAR76.937.24.3%9.9%$91.3B
ULTA75.526.20.8%10.6%$30.9B
ABNB75.530.110.3%20.5%$81.6B
ORLY73.132.55.7%14.3%$78.4B
HAS73.016.7-17.3%9.3%$14.0B
GTX71.611.83.1%8.6%$4.1B
ROST71.530.73.7%9.9%$66.4B
DPZ71.121.95.1%12.4%$13.7B
CART69.719.911.0%13.5%$10.0B
EBAY69.618.31.7%19.3%$40.2B
GNTX68.314.30.6%17.5%$5.1B
MCRI66.217.24.4%18.6%$1.7B
CASY65.541.07.3%3.4%$25.3B
AMZN65.527.712.4%10.8%$2.2T
TXRH65.227.616.0%8.1%$12.1B
Sector Average47.436.96.3%-6.5%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy11 analysts
Buy: 8Hold: 3
Price Target
$91consensus
Low $42Median $112High $119
+61.1% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

MakeMyTrip Limited, an online travel company, sells travel products and solutions in India, the United States, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, the United Arab Emirates, Peru, Colombia, Vietnam, and Indonesia. The company operates through three segments: Air Ticketing, Hotels and Packages, and Bus Ticketing. Its services and products include air tickets; hotels; packages; rail tickets; bus tickets; and car hire, as well as ancillary travel requirements, such as visa processing and facilitating access to travel insurance. The company allows travelers to research, plan, book, and purchase travel services and products through its websites, such as makemytrip.com, goibibo.com, redbus.in, makemytrip.com.sg, and makemytrip.ae; and other technology-enhanced distribution channels, such as call centers, travel stores, and travel agents' network, as well as mobile service platform. As of March 31, 2022, it had approximately 125 franchisee-owned travel stores. The company serves leisure and corporate travelers. MakeMyTrip Limited was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Gurugram, India.

CEO
Rajesh Magow
Employees
4,576
Beta
0.62
Industry
Travel Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
48.3
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-50.4%
High: $113.85
From 52W Low
+6.4%
Low: $53.09
Moving Averages
10-Day
$56.50
Below
20-Day
$57.80
Below
50-Day
$69.50
Below
200-Day
$86.60
Below
60-Day Support
$53.09
60-Day Resistance
$86.94
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 11/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-34.8%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-9.09%
Falling
Volume Ratio
0.89x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
โ€”
No entry โ€” active downtrend
Exit Target
โ€”
Exit position if held
Stop Level
โ€”
No stop โ€” exit recommended

Stage 4 downtrend โ€” price is below both SMA50 and SMA200 with a declining 200-day average. Capital preservation takes priority. Do not buy into a downtrend.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025
Revenue$296M$229M$269M$245M
Gross Profit$208M$178M$194M$183M
Operating Income$41M$34M$40M$31M
Net Income$7M$-6M$26M$29M
EPS (Diluted)$0.07$-0.06$0.22$0.25
Gross Margin70.3%77.5%72.1%74.7%
Operating Margin13.8%15.0%15.0%12.7%
Net Margin2.5%-2.4%9.6%11.9%

Why This Stock

Consumer CyclicalRevenue growth 25.0%Earnings quality grade A

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 93/100Score impact: +4.3pt

Volume
100
1.7M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$91M/day
Float
90
74M shares
Mkt Cap
68
$5.4B
Range
100
114% spread
Composite Liquidity Score93/100
FDCBA

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
78.1%
Outstanding Shares
95M
Bid-Ask Spread
114.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.