Back to Dashboard
49

MAMA

๐Ÿ›’ Consumer Defensive

Mama's Creations, Inc.

Conservative #634Aggressive #821Low RiskMLโ†‘ 21pt
$17.14+0.65%
Day High$17.38
Day Low$16.64
Volume0.7M
Mkt Cap$697M
52W Low $652W High $18
Market Cap
$698M
P/E Ratio
135.3
Sector avg: 33.1
Rev Growth
19.4%
Sector avg: 10.6%
Earnings Growth
-43.4%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Sector avg: -3.2%
Debt/Equity
0.46

Why This Score

MAMA scores 49.4 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Momentum reversion risk: Extreme momentum (154%) increases mean-reversion probability. 3-point penalty applied.
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated valuation at 135.3x earnings โ€” requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (10.8%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-7.4 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score49.4
Fundamental Score59.0
ML Score28.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
62.1
6 Month
69.4
Primary
1 Year
73.1

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality โ€” moderate profitability or leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
71
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
65
Grade B
Base
47.8
SHAP
+2.7
Factors
+1.3
Divergence
-2.4
Final
49.4
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

47AVG
Value0
Quality40
Growth39
Stability86
Investment70

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)38.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)94.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)86.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+0.4% to +4.8%
Medium-term
+1.5% to +8.3%
Long-term
+2.7% to +11.7%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 28

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+9.0%
Coverage6 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score70.9/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+1.5%
6M Momentum+0.9%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+59.4%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.61)
Relative Strength vs Sector+144.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+1.479
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P91
Revenue growth vs Consumer Defensive peers
Sector PE Rank
P2
Valuation vs Consumer Defensive peers
Sector FCF Rank
P13
Free cash flow vs Consumer Defensive peers
Growth Deviation
+0.6ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 59 relative to sector peers59/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 28th percentileP28
Blended score: 80% fundamental (59) + 20% ML (28) = 52.852.8
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 4% โ†’ 0.0pt; Positive momentum 154% โ†’ -3.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +2.7pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -2.4pt (ML 31pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Consumer Defensive โ€” Rank #32 of 55 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
MAMA49.4135.319.4%3.1%$698M
MNST84.446.34.9%20.1%$84.6B
COCO77.443.118.2%11.7%$3.3B
CALM76.73.583.2%27.4%$4.1B
LAUR76.325.85.5%18.9%$4.9B
WMT71.546.75.1%2.9%$1.0T
CCEP68.925.111.7%6.9%$49.7B
PSMT66.531.57.2%2.7%$4.8B
COST66.254.68.2%2.9%$441.9B
PEP65.127.62.3%8.8%$230.9B
COKE64.623.13.7%9.2%$16.7B
PRDO64.013.124.2%18.9%$2.2B
SFD63.811.3-3.4%5.5%$9.6B
OLLI62.531.48.0%8.8%$6.7B
FIZZ61.218.60.8%15.6%$3.5B
DLTR61.023.94.8%5.9%$25.7B
Sector Average51.133.110.6%-3.2%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy6 analysts
Buy: 6
Price Target
$17consensus
Low $15Median $17High $20
+1.1% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Mama's Creations, Inc. manufactures and markets prepared refrigerated foods primarily in the United States. The company offers beef and turkey meatballs, meat loaf, chicken, sausage-related products, and pasta entrees; and hot bars, salad bars, prepared foods, sandwich, and cold deli and foods-to-go sections. It sells its products directly to supermarkets, club chains, and mass-market retailers; and food retailers and distributors, as well as through website. The company was formerly known as MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Mama's Creations, Inc. in August 2023. Mama's Creations, Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in East Rutherford, New Jersey.

CEO
Adam L. Michaels
Employees
305
Beta
0.80
Industry
Packaged Foods
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
61.6
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-4%
High: $17.85
From 52W Low
+211.6%
Low: $5.5
Moving Averages
10-Day
$16.10
Above
20-Day
$15.80
Above
50-Day
$14.60
Above
200-Day
$10.80
Above
60-Day Support
$11.04
60-Day Resistance
$17.85
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 94/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+58.7%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+28.02%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.44x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%
Breakout Volume Confirmed

Entry & Exit Zones

Above Entry Zone
$10.26
Stop Entry Now Target
$18.53
Entry Zone
$14.45 โ€“ $15.04
SMA50 pullback zone ($14.45โ€“$15.04)
Exit Target
$17.99
52-week high / +22% target ($17.99)
Stop Level
$10.58
Below SMA200 ($10.58)
Risk / Reward:1 : 0.78Tight

Stage 2 uptrend โ€” institutional accumulation phase. SMA50 pullbacks are the highest-probability entry points. Stop below SMA200 preserves capital if trend breaks.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025
Revenue$47M$35M$35M$34M
Gross Profit$11M$9M$9M$9M
Operating Income$823,000$2M$2M$2M
Net Income$540,000$1M$1M$2M
EPS (Diluted)$0.01$0.03$0.03$0.04
Gross Margin23.6%24.9%26.1%27.0%
Operating Margin1.7%4.8%4.5%5.7%
Net Margin1.1%3.6%3.5%4.8%

Why This Stock

Consumer DefensiveRevenue growth 19.4%

Tradability FilterGrade B โ€” 65/100Score impact: -0.8pt

Volume
77
465K avg/day
Dollar Vol
55
$7M/day
Float
66
36M shares
Mkt Cap
33
$698M
Range
100
203% spread
Composite Liquidity Score65/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$1.80$2.8846.2%Wide
2022$0.93$2.0976.8%Wide
2023$1.35$5.00115%Wide
2024$4.17$9.9882.1%Wide
2025$5.50$14.9792.5%Wide
3-Year Range
166.9%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
89.6%
Outstanding Shares
41M
Bid-Ask Spread
203.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.