Back to Dashboard
41

IIIV

💻 Technology

i3 Verticals, Inc.

Conservative #834Aggressive #1291Moderate RiskModerate 76
Market Cap
$528M
P/E Ratio
32.0
Sector avg: 87.8
Rev Growth
-7.3%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
-84.2%
Profit Margin
7.3%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
0.02

Why This Score

IIIV scores 40.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.02) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • High conviction (76/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.

Moderate penalties (-5.0 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score40.7
Fundamental Score46.3
ML Score31.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
45.4
6 Month
50.8
Primary
1 Year
53.4

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
50
Basing
Sentiment (2.5%)
33
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
58
Grade Clow float
Base
38.2
SHAP
+1.7
Factors
+0.8
Divergence
-0.0
Final
40.7
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)31.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)45.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)58.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-9.6% to -2.3%
Medium-term
-13.5% to -2.7%
Long-term
-17.3% to -3.0%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 31

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score33.4/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage1 — Basing
12M Momentum-0.1%
6M Momentum-0.3%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+15.0%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.49)
Relative Strength vs Sector-18.0%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (1.5)
Momentum Quality-0.098
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
11%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P9
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P38
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P32
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
-0.4σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 66 relative to sector peers66/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 54th percentileP54
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +1.7pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (66.2) + 9% ML (54.3) + SHAP(+1.7) = 66.8
Factor quality: +0.8pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 9.4%. Max drawdown 32% (-9.4 pts). Price momentum -14% (-1.9 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: -15.0 points ($0.5B market cap)-15.0 pts
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (65.8%) — earnings quality concern; R&D-adjusted ROIC: 0.1% (original: 0.1%). Software - Infrastructure has ~22% R&D intensity. Capitalizing R&D over 5 years increases invested capital by ~55%.Flag

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology — Rank #186 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
IIIV40.732.0-7.3%7.3%$528M
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

No analyst sentiment data available for IIIV.

Why This Stock

TechnologyValuation below sector median (P/E 32.0)

Tradability FilterGrade C — 58/100Score impact: -5.1pt

Volume
68
377K avg/day
Dollar Vol
56
$8M/day
Float
47
19M shares
Mkt Cap
30
$528M
Range
95
71% spread
Composite Liquidity Score58/100
FDCBA
low float

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 4/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$17.80$35.9967.6%Wide
2022$18.59$30.2647.8%Wide
2023$17.87$30.8453.2%Wide
2024$17.54$26.6641.3%Wide
2025$22.00$33.9742.8%Wide
3-Year Range
63.8%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.35x dampening
weinstein basingrevenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
80.2%
Outstanding Shares
24M
Bid-Ask Spread
71.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.