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46

CSGP

๐Ÿ  Real Estate

CoStar Group, Inc.

Conservative #736Aggressive #784Moderate RiskMLโ†‘ 19pt
$44.63-0.82%
Day High$45.41
Day Low$43.74
Volume7.5M
Mkt Cap$18.9B
52W Low $4352W High $97
Market Cap
$19.4B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
11.5%
Sector avg: 15420.2%
Earnings Growth
-63.0%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Sector avg: 6.3%
Debt/Equity
0.15

Why This Score

CSGP scores 45.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (11.3%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (-0.6 points) applied. CSGP's rank of #736 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score45.9
Fundamental Score39.1
ML Score58.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
60.7
6 Month
67.8
Primary
1 Year
71.4

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality โ€” moderate profitability or leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
54
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
67
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
98
Grade A
Base
42.9
SHAP
+2.4
Factors
+1.2
Divergence
-0.6
Final
45.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

58AVG
Value40
Quality55
Growth35
Stability90
Investment70

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)29.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)27.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)80.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-0.6% to +3.6%
Medium-term
-0.2% to +6.2%
Long-term
+0.1% to +8.8%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 58

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score67.0/100
Target Upside+51.8%
Coverage25 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score53.7/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum-0.4%
6M Momentum-0.5%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+8.7%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.82)
Relative Strength vs Sector-44.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.6)
Momentum Quality-0.194
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
3%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P88
Revenue growth vs Real Estate peers
Sector PE Rank
P50
Valuation vs Real Estate peers
Sector FCF Rank
P50
Free cash flow vs Real Estate peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 39 relative to sector peers39/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 58th percentileP58
Blended score: 80% fundamental (39) + 20% ML (58) = 42.942.9
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 53% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +2.4pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -0.6pt (ML 19pt higher)Divergence
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Real Estate โ€” Rank #16 of 27 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CSGP45.9N/A11.5%5.1%$19.4B
AGNC80.67.5-60.8%87.0%$12.4B
SBAC76.825.3-1.2%28.0%$21.0B
GLPI76.016.66.3%51.2%$13.9B
REG74.227.16.9%34.0%$14.4B
LAMR72.131.04.6%16.4%$13.9B
HST71.718.87.0%12.3%$13.7B
SBRA69.731.510.2%20.1%$5.3B
ADAM66.04.912.0%19.9%$754M
PECO65.644.110.7%15.3%$5.0B
LAND64.340.1-5.7%14.5%$457M
EQIX62.569.45.4%14.6%$93.6B
DRH61.131.95.1%5.7%$2.1B
GOOD54.130.78.0%12.0%$613M
RMR53.911.8-22.0%3.5%$525M
FISV47.89.47.1%15.3%$33.3B
Sector Average50.932.315420.2%6.3%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

CoStar Group, Inc. provides information, analytics, and online marketplace services to the commercial real estate, hospitality, residential, and related professionals industries in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. It offers CoStar Property that provides inventory of office, industrial, retail, multifamily, hospitality, and student housing properties and land; CoStar COMPS, a robust database of comparable commercial real estate sales transactions; CoStar Market Analytics to view and report on aggregated market and submarket trends; and CoStar Tenant, an online business-to-business prospecting and analytical tool that provides tenant information. The company also provides Lease Comps and Analysis, a tool to capture, manage, and maintain lease data; CoStar Lease Analysis; Public Record, a searchable database of commercially-zoned parcels; CoStar Real Estate Manager, a real estate lease administration, portfolio management, and lease accounting compliance software solution; and CoStar Risk Analytics and CoStar Investment. In addition, it offers apartment marketing sites, such as ApartmentFinder.com, ForRent.com, ApartmentHomeLiving.com, WestsideRentals.com, AFTER55.com, CorporateHousing.com, ForRentUniversity.com, Apartamentos.com, and Off Campus Partners; LoopNet Premium Lister; LoopNet Diamond, Platinum, and Gold Ads; LandsofAmerica.com, LandAndFarm.com, and LandWatch.com for rural land for-sale; BizBuySell.com, BizQuest.com, and FindaFranchise.com for operating businesses and franchises for-sale; Ten-X, an online auction platform for commercial real estate; and HomeSnap, an online and mobile software platform, as well as Homes.com, a homes for sale listings site. CoStar Group, Inc. was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Washington, the District of Columbia.

CEO
Andrew C. Florance
Employees
6,593
Beta
0.85
Industry
Real Estate - Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
35.7
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-54.2%
High: $97.43
From 52W Low
+3.4%
Low: $43.17
Moving Averages
10-Day
$47.00
Below
20-Day
$49.60
Below
50-Day
$58.70
Below
200-Day
$74.80
Below
60-Day Support
$43.17
60-Day Resistance
$70.57
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 13/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-40.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-6.64%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1.12x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
98
Confidence: 90%
Recent Gap Up

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
โ€”
No entry โ€” active downtrend
Exit Target
โ€”
Exit position if held
Stop Level
โ€”
No stop โ€” exit recommended

Stage 4 downtrend โ€” price is below both SMA50 and SMA200 with a declining 200-day average. Capital preservation takes priority. Do not buy into a downtrend.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$900M$834M$781M$732M
Gross Profit$665M$661M$614M$579M
Operating Income$49M$-51M$-27M$-43M
Net Income$47M$-31M$6M$-15M
EPS (Diluted)$0.11$-0.07$0.01$-0.04
Gross Margin73.9%79.3%78.5%79.1%
Operating Margin5.4%-6.1%-3.5%-5.8%
Net Margin5.2%-3.7%0.8%-2.0%

Why This Stock

Real EstateRevenue growth 11.5%

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 98/100Score impact: +11.2pt

Volume
100
5.9M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$284M/day
Float
100
418M shares
Mkt Cap
85
$19.4B
Range
100
122% spread
Composite Liquidity Score98/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 14/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$74.31$101.0530.5%Moderate
2022$49.00$85.3754.1%Wide
2023$65.12$92.3634.6%Moderate
2024$68.26$100.3838.1%Wide
2025$62.00$97.4344.4%Wide
3-Year Range
47.3%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
98.7%
Outstanding Shares
424M
Bid-Ask Spread
122.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.