Back to Dashboard
64

LAND

🏠 Real Estate

Gladstone Land Corporation

Conservative #216Aggressive #492Low RiskModerate 70ML↑ 15pt
$12.50+8.60%
Day High$13.00
Day Low$11.46
Volume1.7M
Mkt Cap$466M
52W Low $852W High $13
Market Cap
$407M
P/E Ratio
40.1
Sector avg: 68.2
Rev Growth
-5.7%
Sector avg: 14869.7%
Earnings Growth
-8.8%
Profit Margin
14.5%
Sector avg: 5.3%
Debt/Equity
0.73

Why This Score

LAND scores 64.2 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Elevated valuation at 40.1x earnings — requires sustained growth to justify the premium.

Minor adjustments (-2.9 points) applied. LAND's rank of #216 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score64.2
Fundamental Score58.9
ML Score80.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
63.0
6 Month
70.5
Primary
1 Year
74.2

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
20
Topping
Sentiment (2.5%)
41
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
61
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
64
Grade Bsmall cap
Base
61.1
SHAP
+3.1
Factors
+0.8
Divergence
-0.9
Final
64.2
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)39.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)78.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)51.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-1.7% to +2.3%
Medium-term
-2.3% to +3.8%
Long-term
-2.9% to +5.3%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 80

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score61.4/100
Target Upside-10.3%
Coverage11 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score40.7/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage3 — Topping
12M Momentum+0.0%
6M Momentum+0.3%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-21.9%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.14)
Relative Strength vs Sector+0.1%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.5)
Momentum Quality+0.031
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P11
Revenue growth vs Real Estate peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Real Estate peers
Sector FCF Rank
P19
Free cash flow vs Real Estate peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 58 relative to sector peers58/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 74th percentileP74
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.7pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (58.4) + 9% ML (73.5) + SHAP(+3.7) = 63.4—
Factor quality: +1.0pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 7.6%. Max drawdown 11% (-1.2 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: -20.0 points ($0.4B market cap)-20.0 pts
Divergence penalty: -0.7pt (ML 15pt higher)—
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Real Estate — Rank #9 of 28 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
LAND64.240.1-5.7%14.5%$407M
AGNC80.27.5-60.8%87.0%$12.3B
SBAC76.325.3-1.2%28.0%$21.4B
GLPI75.116.66.3%51.2%$13.1B
REG73.627.16.9%34.0%$14.2B
HST71.018.87.0%12.3%$13.9B
LAMR70.531.04.6%16.4%$13.3B
SBRA69.231.510.2%20.1%$5.1B
ADAM64.74.912.0%19.9%$735M
EQIX61.969.45.4%14.6%$94.0B
PECO57.644.110.7%15.3%$4.9B
DRH55.131.95.1%5.7%$2.0B
RMR53.311.8-22.0%3.5%$526M
GOOD52.430.78.0%12.0%$607M
FISV47.79.47.1%15.3%$32.3B
EXPI44.7N/A6.9%-0.4%$1.2B
Sector Average47.468.214869.7%5.3%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy11 analysts
Buy: 6Hold: 4Sell: 1
Price Target
$10consensus
Low $10Median $10High $10
-20.0% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Founded in 1997, Gladstone Land is a publicly traded real estate investment trust that acquires and owns farmland and farm-related properties located in major agricultural markets in the U.S. and leases its properties to unrelated third-party farmers. The Company, which reports the aggregate fair value of its farmland holdings on a quarterly basis, currently owns 127 farms, comprised of approximately 94,000 acres in 13 different states, valued at approximately $1.0 billion. Gladstone Land's farms are predominantly located in regions where its tenants are able to grow fresh produce annual row crops, such as berries and vegetables, which are generally planted and harvested annually. The Company also owns farms growing permanent crops, such as almonds, apples, figs, olives, pistachios, and other orchards, as well as blueberry groves and vineyards, which are generally planted every 10 to 20-plus years and harvested annually. The Company may also acquire property related to farming, such as cooling facilities, processing buildings, packaging facilities, and distribution centers. The Company pays monthly distributions to its stockholders and has paid 93 consecutive monthly cash distributions on its common stock since its initial public offering in January 2013. The Company has increased its common distributions 20 times over the prior 23 quarters, and the current per-share distribution on its common stock is $0.0449 per month, or $0.5388 per year.

CEO
David John Gladstone
Employees
70
Beta
1.20
Industry
REIT - Industrial
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
70.6
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-3.8%
High: $13
From 52W Low
+47.6%
Low: $8.47
Moving Averages
10-Day
$11.30
Above
20-Day
$11.10
Above
50-Day
$10.00
Above
200-Day
$9.60
Above
60-Day Support
$8.61
60-Day Resistance
$13
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 3 — ToppingScore: 31/100

Stock is losing momentum near highs. The 200-day SMA is flattening or beginning to turn. Historically, this stage precedes distribution.

Exercise caution; tighten risk management
Price vs 200 SMA
+30.2%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-1.91%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
1.09x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
31
Confidence: 70%
Key Reversal Detected (2026-02-12)

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$29M$18M$12M$17M
Gross Profit$23M$16M$11M$16M
Operating Income$52M$5M$-214,000$4M
Net Income$-20M$2M$-8M$15M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.05$-0.11$-0.38$0.25
Gross Margin80.0%92.2%89.9%93.3%
Operating Margin176.4%27.0%-1.7%21.9%
Net Margin-67.7%11.7%-64.1%89.9%

Why This Stock

Real EstateProfit margin 14.5%

Tradability FilterGrade B — 64/100Score impact: -9.0pt

Volume
86
662K avg/day
Dollar Vol
55
$7M/day
Float
65
35M shares
Mkt Cap
22
$407M
Range
80
40% spread
Composite Liquidity Score64/100
FDCBA
small cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 1/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$17.53$34.0063.9%Wide
2022$17.28$42.1083.6%Wide
2023$13.35$20.5542.5%Wide
2024$10.37$15.3638.8%Wide
2025$8.47$11.9333.9%Moderate
3-Year Range
83.3%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.5x dampening
revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
93.2%
Outstanding Shares
37M
Bid-Ask Spread
40.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.