Back to Dashboard
36

FRPH

๐Ÿ  Real Estate

FRP Holdings, Inc.

Conservative #948Aggressive #1341Low RiskMLโ†‘ 29pt
$23.94-0.17%
Day High$24.19
Day Low$23.80
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$458M
52W Low $2252W High $32
Market Cap
$460M
P/E Ratio
99.0
Sector avg: 32.3
Rev Growth
0.6%
Sector avg: 15420.2%
Earnings Growth
20.4%
Profit Margin
10.9%
Sector avg: 6.3%
Debt/Equity
0.43

Why This Score

FRPH scores 36.5 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Low volatility (3.5% annualized) โ€” well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 15-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated valuation at 99.0x earnings โ€” requires sustained growth to justify the premium.

Net penalties of -16.7 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, FRPH would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score36.5
Fundamental Score54.6
ML Score28.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
72.1
6 Month
80.6
Primary
1 Year
84.8

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality โ€” weak profitability or high leverage
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-528.7%) โ€” earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
30
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
20
Grade Dlow volume, low dollar volume
Base
34.2
SHAP
+2.8
Factors
+1.2
Divergence
-1.7
Final
36.5
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

53AVG
Value36
Quality35
Growth56
Stability83
Investment56

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)45.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)54.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)57.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+0.8% to +5.3%
Medium-term
+1.9% to +8.7%
Long-term
+3.0% to +12.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 28

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score29.7/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum-0.2%
6M Momentum-0.1%
Volatility+0.0%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-16.8%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.31)
Relative Strength vs Sector-27.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality-0.193
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P23
Revenue growth vs Real Estate peers
Sector PE Rank
P0
Valuation vs Real Estate peers
Sector FCF Rank
P54
Free cash flow vs Real Estate peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 55 relative to sector peers55/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 28th percentileP28
Blended score: 80% fundamental (55) + 20% ML (28) = 49.349.3
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.0%; Drawdown 20% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
SHAP feature alignment: +2.8pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -1.7pt (ML 27pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-528.7%) โ€” earnings quality concernFlag
Liquidity penalty: -15.0pt (grade D)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Real Estate โ€” Rank #22 of 27 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
FRPH36.599.00.6%10.9%$460M
AGNC80.67.5-60.8%87.0%$12.4B
SBAC76.825.3-1.2%28.0%$21.0B
GLPI76.016.66.3%51.2%$13.9B
REG74.227.16.9%34.0%$14.4B
LAMR72.131.04.6%16.4%$13.9B
HST71.718.87.0%12.3%$13.7B
SBRA69.731.510.2%20.1%$5.3B
ADAM66.04.912.0%19.9%$754M
PECO65.644.110.7%15.3%$5.0B
LAND64.340.1-5.7%14.5%$457M
EQIX62.569.45.4%14.6%$93.6B
DRH61.131.95.1%5.7%$2.1B
GOOD54.130.78.0%12.0%$613M
RMR53.911.8-22.0%3.5%$525M
FISV47.89.47.1%15.3%$33.3B
Sector Average50.932.315420.2%6.3%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

FRP Holdings, Inc. engages in the real estate businesses in the United States. The company operates through four segments: Asset Management, Mining Royalty Lands, Development, and Stabilized Joint Venture. The Asset Management segment owns, leases, and manages commercial properties. The Mining Royalty Lands segment owns various properties comprising approximately 15,000 acres under lease for mining rents or royalties primarily in Florida, Georgia, and Virginia. This segment also owns an additional 107 acres of investment property in Brooksville, Florida. The Development segment owns and monitors the use of parcels of land that are in various stages of development. The Stabilized Joint Venture segment owns, leases, and manages a 305-unit residential apartment building with approximately 14,430 square feet of first floor retail space; 264-unit residential apartment building with 6,758 square feet of retail space; and 294-unit garden-style apartment community located in Henrico County, Virginia that consists of 19 three-story apartment buildings containing 273,940 rentable square feet. FRP Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Jacksonville, Florida.

CEO
John D. Baker
Employees
19
Beta
0.56
Industry
Real Estate - Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
49.6
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-25.2%
High: $31.99
From 52W Low
+10.4%
Low: $21.68
Moving Averages
10-Day
$24.00
Below
20-Day
$23.90
Above
50-Day
$23.50
Above
200-Day
$25.00
Below
60-Day Support
$22.17
60-Day Resistance
$24.78
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 21/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-4.2%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-5.64%
Falling
Volume Ratio
0.73x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
โ€”
No entry โ€” active downtrend
Exit Target
โ€”
Exit position if held
Stop Level
โ€”
No stop โ€” exit recommended

Stage 4 downtrend โ€” price is below both SMA50 and SMA200 with a declining 200-day average. Capital preservation takes priority. Do not buy into a downtrend.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$11M$11M$10M$11M
Gross Profit$4M$5M$9M$10M
Operating Income$1M$2M$2M$3M
Net Income$662,000$578,000$2M$2M
EPS (Diluted)$0.03$0.03$0.09$0.09
Gross Margin34.3%41.9%90.9%91.3%
Operating Margin12.6%15.3%22.6%27.7%
Net Margin6.1%5.3%16.6%15.9%

Why This Stock

Real EstateProfit margin 10.9%

Tradability FilterGrade D โ€” 20/100Score impact: +3.9pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor โ€” it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
6
68K avg/day
Dollar Vol
8
$2M/day
Float
22
12M shares
Mkt Cap
26
$460M
Range
84
48% spread
Composite Liquidity Score20/100
FDCBA
low volumelow dollar volumelow floatsmall cap

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
61.4%
Outstanding Shares
19M
Bid-Ask Spread
48.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.