Back to Dashboard
76

SBAC

🏠 Real Estate

SBA Communications Corporation

Conservative #24Aggressive #248Low RiskHigh 95
$197.17-2.20%
Day High$201.74
Day Low$196.67
Volume0.8M
Mkt Cap$21.0B
52W Low $17752W High $245
Market Cap
$21.4B
P/E Ratio
25.3
Sector avg: 68.2
Rev Growth
-1.2%
Sector avg: 14869.7%
Earnings Growth
49.4%
Profit Margin
28.0%
Sector avg: 5.3%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

SBAC scores 76.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High net margin of 28.0%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Low volatility (5.6% annualized) — well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E -3.08) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • ML model assigns a high-conviction signal (91/100), indicating strong pattern recognition across 82 features.
  • High conviction (95/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.

Minor adjustments (-1.1 points) applied. SBAC's rank of #24 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score76.3
Fundamental Score69.0
ML Score91.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
79.1
6 Month
88.5
Primary
1 Year
93.1

Quality Assessment

C
Earnings Grade
Mixed fundamentals, potential quality issues

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
48
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
67
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
93
Grade A
Base
73.3
SHAP
+1.8
Factors
+0.8
Conviction
+1.4
Divergence
-1.1
Final
76.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

77AVG
Value55
Quality95
Growth90
Stability90
Investment55

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)66.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)57.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)79.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+0.2% to +7.0%
Medium-term
+0.7% to +11.0%
Long-term
+1.5% to +15.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 91

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score67.3/100
Target Upside+12.3%
Coverage42 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score48.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum-0.1%
6M Momentum-0.0%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-5.0%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.16)
Relative Strength vs Sector-9.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (1.1)
Momentum Quality-0.046
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
26%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P15
Revenue growth vs Real Estate peers
Sector PE Rank
P48
Valuation vs Real Estate peers
Sector FCF Rank
P63
Free cash flow vs Real Estate peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged
Value trap warning: This stock scores in the top quartile for value trap risk. The combination of below-sector-median revenue growth, low PE, and high free cash flow yield suggests the market is pricing in stagnation. The ML model's sector-relative features (trained on 30 years of data) reduce this stock's score accordingly.

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 73 relative to sector peers73/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 80th percentileP80
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.7pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (72.7) + 9% ML (77.8) + SHAP(+3.7) = 76.8
Factor quality: +1.6pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 5.6%. Stability bonus of +10.7 points. Max drawdown 23% (-6.1 pts). Price momentum -6% (-0.2 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: +2.0 points ($21.4B market cap)+2.0 pts
Conviction bonus: +3.0pt (conviction=95)
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by -10 pointsGrade C
Quality concern: Non-operating loss: operating margin (53.6%) exceeds net margin (28.0%) by 26pp — possible write-downFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Real Estate — Rank #2 of 28 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
SBAC76.325.3-1.2%28.0%$21.4B
AGNC80.27.5-60.8%87.0%$12.3B
GLPI75.116.66.3%51.2%$13.1B
REG73.627.16.9%34.0%$14.2B
HST71.018.87.0%12.3%$13.9B
LAMR70.531.04.6%16.4%$13.3B
SBRA69.231.510.2%20.1%$5.1B
ADAM64.74.912.0%19.9%$735M
LAND64.240.1-5.7%14.5%$407M
EQIX61.969.45.4%14.6%$94.0B
PECO57.644.110.7%15.3%$4.9B
DRH55.131.95.1%5.7%$2.0B
RMR53.311.8-22.0%3.5%$526M
GOOD52.430.78.0%12.0%$607M
FISV47.79.47.1%15.3%$32.3B
EXPI44.7N/A6.9%-0.4%$1.2B
Sector Average47.468.214869.7%5.3%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy42 analysts
Strong Buy: 1Buy: 27Hold: 14
Price Target
$225consensus
Low $205Median $212High $260
+14.0% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

SBA Communications Corporation is a first choice provider and leading owner and operator of wireless communications infrastructure in North, Central, and South America and South Africa. By Building Better Wireless, SBA generates revenue from two primary businesses site leasing and site development services. The primary focus of the Company is the leasing of antenna space on its multi-tenant communication sites to a variety of wireless service providers under long-term lease contracts. For more information please visit: www.sbasite.com.

CEO
Brendan Thomas Cavanagh
Employees
1,720
Beta
0.87
Industry
REIT - Specialty
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
64.9
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-19.6%
High: $245.16
From 52W Low
+11.1%
Low: $177.49
Moving Averages
10-Day
$198.80
Below
20-Day
$191.20
Above
50-Day
$190.10
Above
200-Day
$206.40
Below
60-Day Support
$177.49
60-Day Resistance
$204.71
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 22/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-4.5%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-4.36%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1.13x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%
Recent Gap Up

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$732M$699M$664M$694M
Gross Profit$543M$521M$503M$535M
Operating Income$374M$335M$335M$382M
Net Income$237M$226M$221M$174M
EPS (Diluted)$2.21$2.09$2.04$1.61
Gross Margin74.1%74.5%75.8%77.1%
Operating Margin51.1%47.9%50.4%55.1%
Net Margin32.3%32.3%33.2%25.0%

Why This Stock

Real EstateProfit margin 28.0%

Tradability FilterGrade A — 93/100Score impact: +4.6pt

Volume
92
806K avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$161M/day
Float
100
106M shares
Mkt Cap
86
$21.4B
Range
73
38% spread
Composite Liquidity Score93/100
FDCBA

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.49x dampening
weinstein basingslight revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
99.3%
Outstanding Shares
107M
Bid-Ask Spread
38.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.