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47

FISV

🏠 Real Estate

Fiserv, Inc.

Conservative #628Aggressive #572High RiskModerate 71
$61.61+4.19%
Day High$62.86
Day Low$58.95
Volume10.3M
Mkt Cap$33.5B
52W Low $5852W High $239
Market Cap
$32.3B
P/E Ratio
9.4
Sector avg: 68.2
Rev Growth
7.1%
Sector avg: 14869.7%
Earnings Growth
2.1%
Profit Margin
15.3%
Sector avg: 5.3%
Debt/Equity
0.92

Why This Score

FISV scores 47.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Attractively valued at 9.4x earnings, below the market average.
  • High conviction (71/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (14.1%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (-1.6 points) applied. FISV's rank of #628 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score47.7
Fundamental Score40.2
ML Score66.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
54.3
6 Month
60.7
Primary
1 Year
63.9

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
56
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
65
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
99
Grade A
Base
45.3
SHAP
+2.8
Factors
+1.2
Divergence
-1.6
Final
47.7
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

76AVG
Value95
Quality85
Growth60
Stability60
Investment80

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)63.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)24.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)80.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-3.3% to +0.9%
Medium-term
-4.6% to +1.7%
Long-term
-5.9% to +2.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 66

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score64.6/100
Target Upside+77.2%
Coverage60 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score55.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum-0.7%
6M Momentum-0.6%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-17.8%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.76)
Relative Strength vs Sector-78.2%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality-0.201
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
19%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P70
Revenue growth vs Real Estate peers
Sector PE Rank
P63
Valuation vs Real Estate peers
Sector FCF Rank
P100
Free cash flow vs Real Estate peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 79 relative to sector peers79/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 64th percentileP64
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.0pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (78.6) + 9% ML (62.2) + SHAP(+3.0) = 80.1
Factor quality: +1.3pt (multi-factor composite)
Market cap adjustment: +2.0 points ($32.3B market cap)+2.0 pts
Risk Factors
Risk assessment: high. Annualized volatility 14.1%. Max drawdown 73% (-12.0 pts). Price momentum -75% (-10.0 pts)High

Sector Peer Comparison(Real Estate — Rank #15 of 28 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
FISV47.79.47.1%15.3%$32.3B
AGNC80.27.5-60.8%87.0%$12.3B
SBAC76.325.3-1.2%28.0%$21.4B
GLPI75.116.66.3%51.2%$13.1B
REG73.627.16.9%34.0%$14.2B
HST71.018.87.0%12.3%$13.9B
LAMR70.531.04.6%16.4%$13.3B
SBRA69.231.510.2%20.1%$5.1B
ADAM64.74.912.0%19.9%$735M
LAND64.240.1-5.7%14.5%$407M
EQIX61.969.45.4%14.6%$94.0B
PECO57.644.110.7%15.3%$4.9B
DRH55.131.95.1%5.7%$2.0B
RMR53.311.8-22.0%3.5%$526M
GOOD52.430.78.0%12.0%$607M
EXPI44.7N/A6.9%-0.4%$1.2B
Sector Average47.468.214869.7%5.3%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy60 analysts
Buy: 36Hold: 23Sell: 1
Price Target
$104consensus
Low $62Median $95High $180
+69.1% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Fiserv, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides payment and financial services technology worldwide. The company operates through Acceptance, Fintech, and Payments segments. The Acceptance segment provides point-of-sale merchant acquiring and digital commerce services; mobile payment services; security and fraud protection products; Carat, an omnichannel commerce solution; Clover, a cloud-based point-of-sale and business management platform; and Clover Connect, an independent software vendors platform. This segment distributes through various channels, including direct sales teams, strategic partnerships with agent sales forces, independent software vendors, financial institutions, and other strategic partners. The Fintech segment offers customer deposit and loan accounts, as well as manages an institution's general ledger and central information files. This segment also provides digital banking, financial and risk management, professional services and consulting, item processing and source capture, and other products and services. The Payments segment offers card transactions, such as debit, credit, and prepaid card processing and services; security and fraud protection products; card production; print services; and various network services, as well as non-card digital payment software and services, including bill payment, account-to-account transfers, person-to-person payments, electronic billing, and security and fraud protection products. It serves business, banks, credit unions, other financial institutions, merchants, and corporate clients. Fiserv, Inc. was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Brookfield, Wisconsin.

CEO
Michael Patrick Lyons
Employees
38,000
Beta
0.78
Industry
Information Technology Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
54.3
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-74.2%
High: $238.59
From 52W Low
+6.6%
Low: $57.79
Moving Averages
10-Day
$60.90
Above
20-Day
$61.10
Above
50-Day
$65.00
Below
200-Day
$113.90
Below
60-Day Support
$57.79
60-Day Resistance
$70.41
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 10/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-45.9%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-28.01%
Falling
Volume Ratio
0.93x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%
Recent Gap Up

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$5.3B$5.3B$5.5B$5.1B
Gross Profit$3.0B$3.1B$3.4B$3.1B
Operating Income$1.2B$1.4B$1.7B$1.4B
Net Income$811M$792M$1.0B$851M
EPS (Diluted)$1.51$1.46$1.86$1.51
Gross Margin57.1%58.9%61.8%59.6%
Operating Margin22.2%27.3%30.7%27.2%
Net Margin15.3%15.0%18.6%16.6%

Why This Stock

Real EstateP/E ratio of 9.4Profit margin 15.3%Earnings quality grade A

Tradability FilterGrade A — 99/100Score impact: -16.2pt

Volume
100
15.6M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$911M/day
Float
100
530M shares
Mkt Cap
91
$32.3B
Range
100
313% spread
Composite Liquidity Score99/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 6/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$92.06$127.3432.2%Moderate
2022$87.03$110.9924.2%Narrow
2023$98.81$136.4932%Moderate
2024$131.41$223.2351.8%Wide
2025$59.56$238.59120.1%Wide
3-Year Range
120.1%
Narrow Years
1 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
97.5%
Outstanding Shares
544M
Bid-Ask Spread
313.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.