Churchill Downs, Incorporated
CHDN scores 57.8 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.
Moderate penalties (-3.3 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.
These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.
| Stock | Score | P/E | Rev Growth | Margin | Mkt Cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHDN | 57.8 | 16.2 | 11.1% | 15.6% | $6.4B |
| MAR | 76.9 | 37.2 | 4.3% | 9.9% | $91.3B |
| ULTA | 75.5 | 26.2 | 0.8% | 10.6% | $30.9B |
| ABNB | 75.5 | 30.1 | 10.3% | 20.5% | $81.6B |
| ORLY | 73.1 | 32.5 | 5.7% | 14.3% | $78.4B |
| HAS | 73.0 | 16.7 | -17.3% | 9.3% | $14.0B |
| GTX | 71.6 | 11.8 | 3.1% | 8.6% | $4.1B |
| ROST | 71.5 | 30.7 | 3.7% | 9.9% | $66.4B |
| DPZ | 71.1 | 21.9 | 5.1% | 12.4% | $13.7B |
| CART | 69.7 | 19.9 | 11.0% | 13.5% | $10.0B |
| EBAY | 69.6 | 18.3 | 1.7% | 19.3% | $40.2B |
| GNTX | 68.3 | 14.3 | 0.6% | 17.5% | $5.1B |
| MCRI | 66.2 | 17.2 | 4.4% | 18.6% | $1.7B |
| CASY | 65.5 | 41.0 | 7.3% | 3.4% | $25.3B |
| AMZN | 65.5 | 27.7 | 12.4% | 10.8% | $2.2T |
| TXRH | 65.2 | 27.6 | 16.0% | 8.1% | $12.1B |
| Sector Average | 47.4 | 36.9 | 6.3% | -6.5% | โ |
Churchill Downs Incorporated operates as a racing, online wagering, and gaming entertainment company in the United States. It operates through three segments: Live and Historical Racing, TwinSpires, and Gaming. As of December 31, 2021, the company owned and operated three pari-mutuel gaming entertainment venues with approximately 3,050 historical racing machines (HRMs) in Kentucky; TwinSpires, an online wagering platform for horse racing, sports, and iGaming; nine retail sportsbooks; and casino gaming in eight states with approximately 11,000 slot machines and video lottery terminals, and 200 table games. It also offers streaming video of live horse races, replays, and an assortment of racing and handicapping information; and provides the Bloodstock Research Information Services platform for horse racing statistical data. In addition, the company manufactures and operates pari-mutuel wagering systems for racetracks, off-track betting facilities, and other pari-mutuel wagering businesses. Churchill Downs Incorporated was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.
Stock is building a base after a decline. The 200-day moving average is flattening. Watch for a breakout above the 200-day SMA on increased volume.
Stage 1 base-building โ stock is consolidating above long-term support. Entry near SMA200 offers a defined risk level. Wait for volume confirmation before sizing up.
| Metric | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $666M | $683M | $934M | $643M |
| Gross Profit | $197M | $204M | $392M | $190M |
| Operating Income | $125M | $98M | $328M | $135M |
| Net Income | $50M | $38M | $217M | $77M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.71 | $0.53 | $3.00 | $1.02 |
| Gross Margin | 29.5% | 29.9% | 42.0% | 29.5% |
| Operating Margin | 18.8% | 14.3% | 35.1% | 20.9% |
| Net Margin | 7.5% | 5.5% | 23.2% | 11.9% |
Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.
Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.