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43

ARCB

🏭 Industrials

ArcBest Corporation

Conservative #815Aggressive #1091Low RiskML↑ 23pt
$101.65+5.12%
Day High$102.07
Day Low$97.94
Volume0.3M
Mkt Cap$2.3B
52W Low $5552W High $113
Market Cap
$2.4B
P/E Ratio
39.3
Sector avg: 49.9
Rev Growth
-4.0%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
-65.5%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
0.52

Why This Score

ARCB scores 43.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Positive but moderate momentum (34%) — steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (13.2%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (-2.0 points) applied. ARCB's rank of #815 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score43.3
Fundamental Score44.1
ML Score30.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
72.2
6 Month
80.7
Primary
1 Year
84.9

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality — weak profitability or high leverage
1 quality flag detected — see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-281.0%) — earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
54
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
63
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
74
Grade B
Base
39.3
SHAP
+2.8
Factors
+1.2
Final
43.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

51AVG
Value57
Quality28
Growth16
Stability71
Investment85

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)28.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)83.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)54.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+3.6% to +8.5%
Medium-term
+6.1% to +13.5%
Long-term
+9.4% to +19.5%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 30

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score62.5/100
Target Upside-6.4%
Coverage24 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score53.9/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.3%
6M Momentum+0.4%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-8.6%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.80)
Relative Strength vs Sector+22.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.5)
Momentum Quality+0.278
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
17%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P18
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P29
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P71
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 44 relative to sector peers44/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 30th percentileP30
Blended score: 80% fundamental (44) + 20% ML (30) = 41.341.3
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 17% → 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
SHAP feature alignment: +2.8pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-281.0%) — earnings quality concernFlag
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials — Rank #82 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
ARCB43.339.3-4.0%1.5%$2.4B
FER84.112.27.4%35.3%$52.6B
NDSN77.235.13.8%17.4%$16.2B
OMAB76.420.14.3%32.7%$6.1B
ODFL76.339.8-0.9%20.4%$40.8B
FAST73.142.68.7%15.3%$51.7B
CSX71.526.5-3.1%20.5%$78.9B
WWD71.347.87.3%12.4%$23.0B
LECO71.331.5-4.4%11.6%$15.6B
PCAR71.028.2-4.2%12.4%$65.1B
CTAS70.841.97.7%17.5%$80.3B
RYAAY69.913.03.8%11.6%$36.1B
CPRT69.523.09.7%33.4%$35.6B
FELE69.335.5-2.1%8.9%$4.3B
NSSC68.934.5-3.8%24.7%$1.7B
AEIS68.081.221.4%8.3%$12.3B
Sector Average45.849.919.0%-48.2%—

Company Overviewvia FMP

ArcBest Corporation provides freight transportation and integrated logistics services. It operates through three segments: Asset-Based, ArcBest, and FleetNet. The Asset-Based segment transports general commodities, such as food, textiles, apparel, furniture, appliances, chemicals, nonbulk petroleum products, rubber, plastics, metal and metal products, wood, glass, automotive parts, machinery, and miscellaneous manufactured products through less-than-truckload services. It also offers motor carrier freight transportation services to customers in Mexico through arrangements with trucking companies. The ArcBest segment provides expedite freight transportation services to commercial and government customers; premium logistics services, such as deployment of specialized equipment to meet linehaul requirements; and international freight transportation with air, ocean, and ground services. It also offers third-party transportation brokerage services by sourcing various capacity solutions, including dry van over the road and intermodal, temperature-controlled and refrigerated, flatbed, intermodal or container shipping, and specialized equipment; full-container and less-than-container load ocean transportation services; warehousing and distribution services; managed transportation services; and moving services to 'do-it-yourself' consumer, as well as provides final mile, time critical, product launch, warehousing, retail logistics, supply chain optimization, and trade show shipping services. The FleetNet segment provides roadside repair solutions and vehicle maintenance management services for commercial and private fleets through a network of third-party service providers. The company was formerly known as Arkansas Best Corporation and changed its name to ArcBest Corporation in May 2014. ArcBest Corporation was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Fort Smith, Arkansas.

CEO
Seth K. Runser
Employees
14,000
Beta
1.50
Industry
Trucking
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
38.7
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-10%
High: $112.92
From 52W Low
+84.2%
Low: $55.19
Moving Averages
10-Day
$102.20
Below
20-Day
$102.60
Below
50-Day
$91.10
Above
200-Day
$76.50
Above
60-Day Support
$61.56
60-Day Resistance
$112.92
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 86/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+32.9%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+7.17%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.77x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
53
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$973M$1.0B$1.0B$967M
Gross Profit$-8M$86M$84M$56M
Operating Income$-8M$55M$37M$7M
Net Income$-8M$39M$26M$3M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.36$1.72$1.12$0.13
Gross Margin-0.8%8.2%8.2%5.7%
Operating Margin-0.8%5.2%3.6%0.7%
Net Margin-0.8%3.7%2.5%0.3%

Why This Stock

IndustrialsValuation below sector median (P/E 39.3)

Tradability FilterGrade B — 74/100Score impact: -12.4pt

Volume
70
404K avg/day
Dollar Vol
93
$40M/day
Float
52
22M shares
Mkt Cap
61
$2.4B
Range
100
105% spread
Composite Liquidity Score74/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$52.86$125.0081.1%Wide
2022$65.16$124.0362.2%Wide
2023$68.23$125.4859.1%Wide
2024$91.01$153.6051.2%Wide
2025$55.19$103.6361%Wide
3-Year Range
94.3%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
slight revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
98.0%
Outstanding Shares
23M
Bid-Ask Spread
105.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.