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41

ROCK

🏭 Industrials

Gibraltar Industries, Inc.

Conservative #837Aggressive #1223Moderate RiskHigh 100
$49.02-0.39%
Day High$50.41
Day Low$47.25
Volume0.3M
Mkt Cap$1.4B
52W Low $4352W High $75
Market Cap
$1.6B
P/E Ratio
372.2
Sector avg: 49.9
Rev Growth
-5.0%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
24.3%
Profit Margin
0.3%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
0.05

Why This Score

ROCK scores 42.0 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.05) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • High conviction (100/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated valuation at 372.2x earnings — requires sustained growth to justify the premium.

Moderate penalties (-4.3 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score42.0
Fundamental Score48.4
ML Score18.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
68.0
6 Month
76.0
Primary
1 Year
80.0

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality — weak profitability or high leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
33
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
66
Grade B
Base
40.3
SHAP
+1.5
Factors
+0.7
Conviction
+1.8
Divergence
-2.3
Final
42.0
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

53AVG
Value33
Quality28
Growth53
Stability77
Investment75

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)42.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)51.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)58.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-1.9% to +4.4%
Medium-term
-2.5% to +7.0%
Long-term
-3.1% to +9.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 18

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score32.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum-0.2%
6M Momentum-0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-4.1%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.75)
Relative Strength vs Sector-27.3%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (1.9)
Momentum Quality-0.125
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
1%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P14
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P1
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P77
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 48 relative to sector peers48/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 18th percentileP18
Blended score: 80% fundamental (48) + 20% ML (18) = 42.342.3
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 25% → 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
SHAP feature alignment: +1.5pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: +1.8pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Divergence penalty: -2.3pt (ML 30pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials — Rank #85 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
ROCK42.0372.2-5.0%0.3%$1.6B
FER84.112.27.4%35.3%$52.6B
NDSN77.235.13.8%17.4%$16.2B
OMAB76.420.14.3%32.7%$6.1B
ODFL76.339.8-0.9%20.4%$40.8B
FAST73.142.68.7%15.3%$51.7B
CSX71.526.5-3.1%20.5%$78.9B
WWD71.347.87.3%12.4%$23.0B
LECO71.331.5-4.4%11.6%$15.6B
PCAR71.028.2-4.2%12.4%$65.1B
CTAS70.841.97.7%17.5%$80.3B
RYAAY69.913.03.8%11.6%$36.1B
CPRT69.523.09.7%33.4%$35.6B
FELE69.335.5-2.1%8.9%$4.3B
NSSC68.934.5-3.8%24.7%$1.7B
AEIS68.081.221.4%8.3%$12.3B
Sector Average45.849.919.0%-48.2%

Company Overviewvia FMP

Gibraltar Industries, Inc. manufactures and distributes building products for the renewable energy, residential, agtech, and infrastructure markets in North America and Asia. It operates through four segments: Renewables, Residential, Agtech, and Infrastructure. The Renewables segment designs, engineers, manufactures, and installs solar racking and electrical balance of systems. The Residential segment offers roof and foundation ventilation products and accessories, such as solar powered units; mail and electronic package solutions, including single mailboxes, cluster style mail and parcel boxes for single and multi-family housing, and electronic package locker systems; roof edgings and flashings; soffits and trims; drywall corner beads; metal roofing products and accessories; rain dispersion products comprising gutters and accessories; and exterior retractable awnings. This segment also provides electronic parcel lockers, rooftop safety kits, chimney caps, heat trace coils and exterior products, remote-controlled deck awnings for sun protection, and solar-powered ventilation products. The Agtech segment offers growing and processing solutions, including the designing, engineering, manufacturing, and installation of greenhouses; and botanical extraction systems. The Infrastructure segment offers expansion joints, structural bearings, rubber pre-formed seals and other sealants, elastomeric concrete, and bridge cable protection systems. It serves solar developers, institutional and commercial growers of food and plants, home improvement retailers, wholesalers, distributors, and contractors. Gibraltar Industries, Inc. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Buffalo, New York.

CEO
William T. Bosway
Employees
2,097
Beta
1.33
Industry
Construction
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
37.6
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-34.7%
High: $75.08
From 52W Low
+14.4%
Low: $42.86
Moving Averages
10-Day
$52.00
Below
20-Day
$52.40
Below
50-Day
$51.90
Below
200-Day
$58.50
Below
60-Day Support
$43.28
60-Day Resistance
$58.53
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 17/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-16.2%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-3.83%
Falling
Volume Ratio
0.72x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
74
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$225M$311M$310M$290M
Gross Profit$57M$83M$88M$78M
Operating Income$18M$40M$40M$26M
Net Income$12M$-89M$26M$21M
EPS (Diluted)$4.67$-2.98$0.87$0.69
Gross Margin25.3%26.6%28.4%26.8%
Operating Margin7.9%12.8%12.8%8.8%
Net Margin5.2%-28.6%8.4%7.3%

Why This Stock

IndustrialsValuation below sector median (P/E 372.2)

Tradability FilterGrade B — 66/100Score impact: +3.8pt

Volume
62
320K avg/day
Dollar Vol
72
$16M/day
Float
59
29M shares
Mkt Cap
50
$1.6B
Range
98
75% spread
Composite Liquidity Score66/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$60.28$99.3348.9%Wide
2022$36.58$68.7261%Wide
2023$44.98$81.1557.4%Wide
2024$58.28$87.4040%Wide
2025$42.86$75.0854.6%Wide
3-Year Range
68.4%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.35x dampening
weinstein basingrevenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
99.0%
Outstanding Shares
30M
Bid-Ask Spread
75.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.