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ALNY

🏥 Healthcare

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Conservative #309Aggressive #26Moderate RiskHigh 83
$327.36-1.65%
Day High$334.42
Day Low$325.04
Volume0.7M
Mkt Cap$43.4B
52W Low $20652W High $496
Market Cap
$41.7B
P/E Ratio
134.9
Sector avg: 252.3
Rev Growth
65.2%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
212.8%
Profit Margin
8.4%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
1.62

Why This Score

ALNY scores 59.5 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 39.8% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (27%) — steady appreciation without overheating.
  • ML model assigns a high-conviction signal (98/100), indicating strong pattern recognition across 82 features.
  • High conviction (83/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated valuation at 134.9x earnings — requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (10.5%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.62) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Moderate penalties (-4.8 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score59.5
Fundamental Score50.9
ML Score98.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
58.4
6 Month
65.3
Primary
1 Year
68.7

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
71
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
69
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
100
Grade A
Base
60.3
SHAP
+1.7
Factors
+1.1
Conviction
+1.1
Divergence
-4.8
Final
59.5
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

57AVG
Value40
Quality70
Growth90
Stability45
Investment40

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)64.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)47.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)85.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-5.2% to +1.2%
Medium-term
-7.8% to +1.8%
Long-term
-10.4% to +2.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 98

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score68.6/100
Target Upside+39.1%
Coverage51 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score71.2/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum+0.3%
6M Momentum-0.3%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+57.0%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.93)
Relative Strength vs Sector+3.0%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.6)
Momentum Quality+0.189
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P89
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P4
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P66
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 60 relative to sector peers60/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 68th percentileP68
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +2.4pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (59.7) + 9% ML (68.0) + SHAP(+2.4) = 62.8
Factor quality: +1.6pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 10.5%. Max drawdown 31% (-9.2 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: +2.0 points ($41.7B market cap)+2.0 pts
Conviction bonus: +1.6pt (conviction=83)
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade A: strong earnings quality and financial health. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade A
Quality concern: High leverage: D/E ratio of 1.6x — elevated balance sheet risk; R&D-adjusted ROIC: 61.1% (original: 122.2%). Biotechnology has ~40% R&D intensity. Capitalizing R&D over 5 years increases invested capital by ~100%.Flag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #41 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
ALNY59.5134.965.2%8.4%$41.7B
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$20.1B
GMAB85.513.122.8%36.4%$18.5B
CPRX82.213.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$126.0B
ASND75.716.698.0%-31.7%$13.3B
NBIX74.726.521.4%16.7%$12.5B
ALKS74.616.5-6.4%23.9%$5.5B
AMGN73.826.010.0%21.0%$199.0B
ARGX73.635.178.6%38.0%$50.9B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.719.41.0%31.4%$84.9B
ISRG72.361.720.5%28.4%$172.5B
EXEL71.915.17.0%33.7%$11.7B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
HALO70.216.822.4%43.7%$9.3B
Sector Average37.1252.3161.5%-3292.7%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy51 analysts
Buy: 39Hold: 11Sell: 1
Price Target
$461consensus
Low $351Median $465High $549
+40.8% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on discovering, developing, and commercializing novel therapeutics based on ribonucleic acid interference. The company's pipeline of investigational RNAi therapeutics focuses on genetic medicines, cardio-metabolic diseases, hepatic infectious diseases, and central nervous system (CNS)/ocular diseases. Its marketed products include ONPATTRO (patisiran), a lipid complex injection for the treatment of the polyneuropathy of hereditary transthyretin-mediated amyloidosis in adults; GIVLAARI for the treatment of adults with acute hepatic porphyria (AHP); and OXLUMO (lumasiran) for the treatment of primary hyperoxaluria type 1 (PH1). In addition, the company is developing givosiran for the treatment of adolescent patients with AHP; patisiran for the treatment of transthyretin amyloidosis, or ATTR amyloidosis, with cardiomyopathy; cemdisiran to treat complement-mediated diseases; ALN-AAT02 for the treatment of AAT deficiency-associated liver disease; ALN-HBV02 to treat chronic HBV infection; Zilebesiran to treat hypertension; and ALN-HSD to treat NASH. Further, it offers Fitusiran for the treatment of hemophilia and rare bleeding disorders, Inclisiran to treat hypercholesterolemia, lumasiran for the treatment of advanced PH1 and recurrent renal stones, and vutrisiran for the treatment of ATTR amyloidosis, which is in phase 3 clinical trial. Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. has strategic collaborations with Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. to discover, develop, and commercialize RNAi therapeutics for a range of diseases by addressing therapeutic targets expressed in the eye and CNS; and Sanofi Genzyme to discover, develop, and commercialize RNAi therapeutics. It also has license and collaboration agreements with Novartis AG; Vir Biotechnology, Inc.; Dicerna Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; and PeptiDream, Inc. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

CEO
Yvonne L. Greenstreet
Employees
2,230
Beta
0.35
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
37.6
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-33.9%
High: $495.55
From 52W Low
+59%
Low: $205.87
Moving Averages
10-Day
$327.60
Below
20-Day
$332.80
Below
50-Day
$364.80
Below
200-Day
$389.60
Below
60-Day Support
$298
60-Day Resistance
$479.79
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 17/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-16%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+10.81%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.83x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
31
Confidence: 40%
Recent Gap Down

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$1.1B$1.2B$774M$594M
Gross Profit$829M$1.1B$631M$523M
Operating Income$132M$368M$-16M$18M
Net Income$186M$251M$-66M$-57M
EPS (Diluted)$1.37$1.84$-0.51$-0.44
Gross Margin75.6%84.2%81.5%88.0%
Operating Margin12.0%29.5%-2.1%3.0%
Net Margin17.0%20.1%-8.6%-9.7%

Why This Stock

HealthcareRevenue growth 65.2%Earnings quality grade A

Tradability FilterGrade A — 100/100Score impact: -7.4pt

Volume
100
1.6M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$518M/day
Float
100
131M shares
Mkt Cap
97
$41.7B
Range
100
141% spread
Composite Liquidity Score100/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$125.08$212.0051.6%Wide
2022$117.58$242.9769.6%Wide
2023$148.10$242.3948.3%Wide
2024$141.98$304.3972.8%Wide
2025$205.87$495.5582.6%Wide
3-Year Range
110.9%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.15x dampening
weinstein declining

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
99.1%
Outstanding Shares
133M
Bid-Ask Spread
141.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.